148 Sunset Dr · Longwood, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$332,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ACTIVE WITH CONTRACT - BACK ON THE MARKET due to Buyer not able to obtain financing - Therefore, hurry and make an offer, while this property lasts - It will go QUICK!!! Not a Short Sale - MOVE IN READY - Beautiful 3 Bedroom, 3 Bath Pool Home with Lake View. Home has been UPDATED throughout. Features Include: 2 MASTER BEDROOMS, New Paint Inside & Out, New Tile & Wood Flooring, New Light Fixtures throughout, Updated Bathrooms, Master Bath has Dual Vessel Sinks with Granite Countertops, Upgraded Kitchen with Solid Wood Cabinets, Granite Countertops & Stainless Steel Appliances which are all included with the home. Washer & Dryer also included. Screen doors open to Pool Deck. Enjoy Lake Views while Swimming Laps in the Pool. Walking Distance to Shadow Hill Park. SELLER WILL PAY UP TO 3% TOWARDS CLOSING COSTS WITH FULL PRICE CONTRACT.
Key facts
- Private pool
- Newer fence
- Lake view
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $332k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $316k (4.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (23.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $253k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.0% in Longwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in FL, #1,438 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F.
- Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Woodlands Elementary School (math 79% / reading 78%, grade A, #141 of 2,144 statewide, top 7%, 798 students, 35% FRL); Lake Mary High School (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #198 of 667 statewide, top 30%, 2,684 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $332k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.17%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $447,051
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Sunset Dr | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 2,139 (0%) | 1mo | $332,500 | $155 | 99 |
| 1665 Grange Cir | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 2,189 (+2%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $176 | 67 |
| 731 Crestbrook Loop | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 2,140 (0%) | 3mo | $395,350 | $185 | 66 |
| 1386 S Ridge Lake Cir | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,263 (+6%) | 2mo | $547,000 | $242 | 62 |
| 836 Maraval Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,953 (-9%) | 4mo | $449,000 | $230 | 59 |
| 1328 N Marcy Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,831 (-14%) | 2mo | $449,000 | $245 | 56 |
| 113 Rose Briar Dr | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,369 (+11%) | 3mo | $495,000 | $209 | 55 |
| 721 Rock Creek Loop | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,998 (-7%) | 3mo | $385,000 | $193 | 54 |
| 216 Tollgate Trl | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,011 (-6%) | 1mo | $399,000 | $198 | 46 |
| 101 Nicole Ln | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,334 (+9%) | 4mo | $599,100 | $257 | 43 |
| 108 Hickory Tree Rd | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,950 (-9%) | 4mo | $360,000 | $185 | 41 |
| 140 Rangeline Woods Cv | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,351 (+10%) | 1mo | $565,000 | $240 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-57,479
- Equity at exit
- $49,577
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-48,332
- Equity at exit
- $28,749
Cash invested: $93,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32750
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,529 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,744
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$139
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$531
- Net cashflow
- $-91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $97 | -5% $3 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-185 | +10% $-279 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-291 | -5% $-191 | +0% $-91 | +5% $9 | +10% $109 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $76 | -0.5pp $-6 | base $-91 | +0.5pp $-177 | +1.0pp $-265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,125
- Closing costs
- $9,975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Sunset Dr Longwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1968 | $2,200 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 107 Margo Ln Longwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $2,720 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1025 Wentworth Ct Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 6d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 919 Rangeline Rd Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1640 Overlook Rd Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,475 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1000 Huntington Ct Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1774 | $3,000 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1321 Myrtle Dr Longwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2054 | $2,695 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 240 Slade Dr Longwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2390 | $2,797 | $1.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1709 Pine Bay Dr Lake Mary, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1713 Pine Bay Dr Lake Mary, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2142 | $2,850 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 161 Sheridan Ave Longwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1859 | $2,691 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 506 Parson Brown Way Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,275 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 881 W Warren Ave Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1071 | $2,827 | $2.64 | 2d | 26 | 1.26mi |
| 745 Silverwood Dr Lake Mary, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2112 | $3,650 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1580 Banks St Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $2,445 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-16$332,500 Active
-
2013-07-01soldstatus $175,000
-
2013-06-21soldstatus $175,000 867-char remark
Show marketing remark (867 chars)
ACTIVE WITH CONTRACT - BACK ON THE MARKET due to Buyer not able to obtain financing - Therefore, hurry and make an offer, while this property lasts - It will go QUICK!!! Not a Short Sale - MOVE IN READY - Beautiful 3 Bedroom, 3 Bath Pool Home with Lake View. Home has been UPDATED throughout. Features Include: 2 MASTER BEDROOMS, New Paint Inside & Out, New Tile & Wood Flooring, New Light Fixtures throughout, Updated Bathrooms, Master Bath has Dual Vessel Sinks with Granite Countertops, Upgraded Kitchen with Solid Wood Cabinets, Granite Countertops & Stainless Steel Appliances which are all included with the home. Washer & Dryer also included. Screen doors open to Pool Deck. Enjoy Lake Views while Swimming Laps in the Pool. Walking Distance to Shadow Hill Park. SELLER WILL PAY UP TO 3% TOWARDS CLOSING COSTS WITH FULL PRICE CONTRACT.
-
2012-08-08$187,750 867-char remark
Show marketing remark (867 chars)
ACTIVE WITH CONTRACT - BACK ON THE MARKET due to Buyer not able to obtain financing - Therefore, hurry and make an offer, while this property lasts - It will go QUICK!!! Not a Short Sale - MOVE IN READY - Beautiful 3 Bedroom, 3 Bath Pool Home with Lake View. Home has been UPDATED throughout. Features Include: 2 MASTER BEDROOMS, New Paint Inside & Out, New Tile & Wood Flooring, New Light Fixtures throughout, Updated Bathrooms, Master Bath has Dual Vessel Sinks with Granite Countertops, Upgraded Kitchen with Solid Wood Cabinets, Granite Countertops & Stainless Steel Appliances which are all included with the home. Washer & Dryer also included. Screen doors open to Pool Deck. Enjoy Lake Views while Swimming Laps in the Pool. Walking Distance to Shadow Hill Park. SELLER WILL PAY UP TO 3% TOWARDS CLOSING COSTS WITH FULL PRICE CONTRACT.
-
2012-06-05soldstatus $105,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
CHECK OUT THIS GREAT VALUE! 3 BEDROOMS 3 BATHS PLUS A POOL. TRUE DIAMOND IN THE ROUGH WITH A LITTLE TLC THIS HOME WILL REALLY SHINE. BoA prequal is REQUIRED for all financed offers. Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response.
-
2012-01-24$99,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
CHECK OUT THIS GREAT VALUE! 3 BEDROOMS 3 BATHS PLUS A POOL. TRUE DIAMOND IN THE ROUGH WITH A LITTLE TLC THIS HOME WILL REALLY SHINE. BoA prequal is REQUIRED for all financed offers. Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response.
-
2000-02-10soldstatus $107,000
-
1975-01-01soldstatus $35,500
-
1974-01-01soldstatus $341,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,484 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,760 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,625
- − Property taxes
- −$2,484
- − Insurance
- −$1,662
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,428
- − Management
- −$2,428
- − Depreciation
- −$9,673
- Taxable loss
- −$6,948
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,668
- After-tax cash flow
- $576/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole
- NCES district ID
- 1201710
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,478
- Composite
- 51.05/100
- National rank
- #1769
- State rank
- #13 of 73 in FL
Livability — Longwood
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #1438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longwood, FL
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- City population
- 55,088
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,164
- Household income
- $86,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 515,494 people
- By 2030
- 545,713 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 598,068 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 640,663 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 724,461 · +40.5%
- By 2100
- 755,530 · +46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Black 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.13%
- Current HPI
- 335.7221
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-2.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $332,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2013-06-21 Sold (MLS) $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-08 Listed $187,750 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-05 Sold (MLS) $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-24 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 1975-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
- 1974-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $341,300 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,484 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…