210 Maynard Dr · Tupelo, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This adorable cottage is ready to go! Great back yard and covered parking. All info subject to verification.
Key facts
- Back yard
- Covered parking
- 9,375 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-story single family home; Traditional style; Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 75 x 125
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Storm windows; Vinyl flooring; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#26 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, employment D+.
- Tupelo Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #28 of 130 in MS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.84%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,239
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -24.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Augusta St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,086 (+2%) | 13mo | $139,000 | $128 | 71 |
| 2307 Woods | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 1,178 (+10%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $51 | 69 |
| 1513 Reed St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,066 (-0%) | 15mo | $133,000 | $125 | 59 |
| 214 S Highland Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (-3%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $130 | 55 |
| 420 Lakeview Dr | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (-8%) | 21mo | $70,000 | $71 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $6,181
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $47,685
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38801
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,090 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $277 | +0% $246 | +5% $215 | +10% $184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $160 | -5% $203 | +0% $246 | +5% $289 | +10% $332 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $269 | base $246 | +0.5pp $223 | +1.0pp $199 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Lumpkin Ave Tupelo, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 44d | 2 | 0.50mi |
| 508 Lumpkin Ave Tupelo, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 2 | 0.61mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-09status $89,000 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$89,000 Active 108-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,046
- − Management
- −$1,046
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $1,632
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$392
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,560/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tupelo Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804320
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,002
- Composite
- 37.26/100
- National rank
- #4456
- State rank
- #28 of 130 in MS
Livability — Tupelo
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #26
- US rank
- #6369
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tupelo, MS
- County
- Lee County · 52,445 people
- City population
- 46,551
- Metro
- Tupelo, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,858
- Household income
- $62,946
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 890.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,253 people
- By 2030
- 92,125 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 94,914 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 95,841 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 94,189 · +4.4%
- By 2100
- 83,736 · -7.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -30.5pp · 2024: -38.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.8 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+30.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.12%
- Current HPI
- 173.1355
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.30%
- Metro
- Tupelo, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Pending — NEMSBD
- 2026-05-15 Listed $89,000 NEMSBD
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…