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1715 Pontiac Dr
B- Composite 69.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

1715 Pontiac Dr · Roswell, NM 88201
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,048 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1949 5,400 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for your next project fixer upper? This is it! Three bedroom, 1 bath with original hardwood floors ready for a makeover to make a great rental or starter home with some work.

Key facts

  • 5,400 sq ft lot
  • Built 1949
  • Listed 3 days

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Fenced front and back yard with chain link fencing; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Concrete
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood window frames with blinds

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in NM, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Roswell Independent Schools (town): math 11% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 29 in NM (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Military Heights Elementary (math 27% / reading 67%, grade D-, #28 of 68 statewide, top 40%, 404 students, 100% FRL); Berrendo Middle (math 11% / reading 57%, grade F, #8 of 27 statewide, top 27%, 663 students, 100% FRL); Goddard High (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #59 of 110 statewide, top 53%, 1,155 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Chaves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $65k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
19.50%
Cash-on-cash
47.17%
DSCR
3.10
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.0%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$36,946
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
52.3%
Equity multiple
6.44×
Total profit
$98,922
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88201

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,426 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $519/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$715

Break-even live

Break-even rent $521
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1025 Crescent Dr Roswell, NM 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,400 $1.17 43d 1 0.16mi
1600 N Sycamore Ave Roswell, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 813 $1,575 $1.94 43d 9 1.20mi
208 W 8th St Unit 003 Roswell, NM 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 43d 1 1.24mi
2604 N Grand Ave Unit A A Roswell, NM 2.0 2.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 43d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $65,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    remarks 182-char remark
  5. 2026-05-31
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$519 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$520 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$1/yr ($0/mo · 0.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,112
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$519
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,369
− Management
−$1,369
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,920
After-tax cash flow
$6,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roswell Independent Schools
NCES district ID
3502250
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 23.00%
Median HH income
$38,848
Composite
26.21/100
National rank
#7262
State rank
#16 of 29 in NM

Livability — Roswell

Score
75/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#4339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roswell, NM
County
Chaves County · 56,277 people
City population
56,277
Metro
Roswell, NM
Population (ZIP)
27,524
Household income
$61,780
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
603.0

Population outlook (Chaves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,122 people
By 2030
66,351 · +0.3%
By 2040
66,818 · +1.1%
By 2050
66,928 · +1.2%
By 2075
65,474 · -1.0%
By 2100
58,943 · -10.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chaves

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.8% · R 71.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+24.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -130.52%
Current HPI
149.3526
Rent YoY
▲ 4.32%
Metro
Roswell, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+124.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $65,000 NMMLS
  • 2004-12-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $519 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…