6602 Sidney St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your next home ready for you personal touch, for your future home, rental home, family home, office, or future new development.
Key facts
- 5,148 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1938
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces east; One story; Entry level: first floor
- Construction: Built in 1938; Wood siding; Block foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced private yard; Back yard fencing; Subdivision lot setting
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (approx. 13 x 11)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor (approx. 13 x 12 each)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central gas heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Quartz counters; Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cullen Middle (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,641 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Yates H S (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 851 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 467 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.72%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,865
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -47.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4407 Alice St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+5%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $106 | 71 |
| 4209 Short St | 0.37mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+5%) | 0mo | $42,000 | $47 | 69 |
| 3919 Daphne St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (-7%) | 10mo | $149,990 | $188 | 67 |
| 6718 Calhoun Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+1%) | 15mo | $128,000 | $148 | 62 |
| 6418 Calhoun Rd | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 | 945 (+10%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $201 | 59 |
| 3930 Ward St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 910 (+6%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $137 | 53 |
| 6741 Goforth St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 976 (+14%) | 8mo | $139,000 | $142 | 52 |
| 6803 Foster St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 730 (-15%) | 18mo | $114,950 | $157 | 49 |
| 3903 Luca St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 955 (+11%) | 15mo | $144,000 | $151 | 47 |
| 6616 New York St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 984 (+15%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $183 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $5,590
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $25,271
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77021
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 467
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,195 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,722/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $293
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6420 Conley St Unit 7 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $975 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4007 Corder St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $885 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3603 Alice St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3603 Alice St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3603 Alice St Unit 3725-B Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $999 | $1.18 | 7d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3603 Alice St Unit 15 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $999 | $1.18 | 7d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 6030 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $850 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6215 Tierwester St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 24d | 3 | 0.89mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,048 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3611 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,037 | $1.03 | 12d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1047 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,088 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 324 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,048 | $1.04 | 7d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3581 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,083 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3581 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,087 | $1.08 | 10d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1187 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,045 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5918 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6811 Del Rio St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 598 | $999 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6811 Del Rio St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $999 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3426 Tampa St Unit 4272026 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1046 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1600 Jester St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,395 | $1.97 | 2d | 4 | 1.10mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 3387 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,315 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $991 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $966 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2292 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $998 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,323 | $1.37 | 7d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4722 Old Spanish Trl Unit B301 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $1,695 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,347 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3716 Southmore Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7812 Tierwester St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 16d | 2 | 1.30mi |
| 7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,149 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3629 N MacGregor Way Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3620 Southmore Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 12d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5610 Royal Palms St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $875 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$99,000 Active 127-char remark
-
2025-09-03status Pending
-
2025-09-03historical
-
2025-08-25$150,000 Active
-
2024-07-25soldstatus
-
2024-06-26soldstatus
-
2024-06-11soldstatus
-
2024-06-11soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,722 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,722 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,338
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$2,722
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,147
- − Management
- −$1,147
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,564
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$615
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,153
- Household income
- $45,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2532.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.22%
- Current HPI
- 230.2869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-50.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $75,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2025-09-03 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
- 2024-07-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-06-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-06-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,722 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…