5310 26th St W #2702 · Bayshore Gardens, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELCOME HOME! THIS 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH CONDO COULD BE YOURS! FEATURING A COMMUNITY POOL AND SCREENED IN PATIO! LOCATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO TWO COLLEGES, SHOPPING, SCHOOLS, RESTAURANTS AND PUBLIC SAFETY FACILITIES! CASH ONLY OFFERS PLEASE. .. SOLD AS-IS with right to inspect. No seller's disclosure. Seller never occupied & buyers are encouraged to make inspections prior to making a home buying decision. HURRY, HURRY, HURRY! Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. This property is eligible underthe Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through August 2, 2013. Freddie Mac will offer owner occupant homebuyers, NSP grantees and non-profits engaged in community stabilization efforts the ability to purchase HomeSteps homes during their initial 15 days of listing. Details and affidavit attached as attachments in MLS.
Key facts
- $385 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease restrictions apply; Total monthly fees reported as $385; total annual fees reported as $4,620
- HOA & community: HOA (Sunvast/Jason) with required association approval; Monthly HOA fee of $385 (includes pool, insurance, maintenance, management, pest control, sewer, trash, water, escrow reserves and recreational facilities); Community clubhouse, fitness center, pool and sidewalks; Community has deed restrictions and community mailbox; Pets allowed with limits (max 35 lb; number/size limits apply); Buyer approval required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; One story; North-facing; Entry on first floor
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Membrane roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of building number 2700
- Exterior features: Lighting; Rain gutters; Sidewalk; Sliding doors
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Living room/dining room combo; Window treatments; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet; Irrigation equipment
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-545/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $92k (8.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.7% in Bayshore Gardens — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#72 in FL, #1,180 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute C-, schools F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $100k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.94%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-22,638
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- -46.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.32×
- Total profit
- $-37,078
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34207
- Rents YoY
- -5.5%
- Active inventory
- 361
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,295 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,406/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$385
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $-45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $11 | -5% $-17 | +0% $-45 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $-97 | +0% $-45 | +5% $6 | +10% $57 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5 | -0.5pp $-20 | base $-45 | +0.5pp $-71 | +1.0pp $-98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5400 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,358 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5310 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,250 | $1.58 | 4d | 4 | 0.13mi |
| 5310 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,250 | $1.58 | 12d | 5 | 0.13mi |
| 5310 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,250 | $1.58 | 20d | 5 | 0.13mi |
| 2803 52nd Avenue Dr W Unit 2803 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,599 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2835 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,269 | $1.49 | 4d | 16 | 0.49mi |
| 5001 22nd St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,700 | $2.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4705 27th St W Unit A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,325 | $1.77 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5531 16th St W Unit 5537 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,650 | $2.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2547 60th Ave W Unit L-36 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,100 | $1.91 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4148 53rd Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $1,451 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4148 53rd Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $1,868 | $2.08 | 22d | 10 | 0.86mi |
| 2028 Canal Dr Unit M26 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,050 | $1.82 | 11d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1874 Sunny Dr Unit F32 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $950 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5955 Palm Ln Unit A33 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,150 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5858 Welcome Rd Unit J23 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,150 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1875 Sunny Dr Unit G32 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,100 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1859 Restful Dr Unit L26 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,150 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6050 34th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,185 | $1.61 | 2d | 19 | 0.94mi |
| 1807 Restful Dr Unit N4 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 733 | $1,150 | $1.57 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4515 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,249 | $1.55 | 2d | 14 | 0.98mi |
| 5908 17th St W Unit C36 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $950 | $1.65 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5888 17th St W Unit C23 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,100 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1825 Flamingo Blvd Unit O26 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,000 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1839 Sunny Dr Unit E36 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,350 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1566 Pleasant Rd Unit J24 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 733 | $1,150 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 915 50th Avenue Plz W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 707 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,150 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4325 40th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,325 | $1.71 | 11d | 9 | 1.36mi |
| 4801 47th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $1,415 | $1.39 | 3d | 32 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $385 · $4,620/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-07$100,000 Active
-
2013-08-27soldstatus $25,000 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
WELCOME HOME! THIS 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH CONDO COULD BE YOURS! FEATURING A COMMUNITY POOL AND SCREENED IN PATIO! LOCATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO TWO COLLEGES, SHOPPING, SCHOOLS, RESTAURANTS AND PUBLIC SAFETY FACILITIES! CASH ONLY OFFERS PLEASE. .. SOLD AS-IS with right to inspect. No seller's disclosure. Seller never occupied & buyers are encouraged to make inspections prior to making a home buying decision. HURRY, HURRY, HURRY! Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. This property is eligible underthe Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through August 2, 2013. Freddie Mac will offer owner occupant homebuyers, NSP grantees and non-profits engaged in community stabilization efforts the ability to purchase HomeSteps homes during their initial 15 days of listing. Details and affidavit attached as attachments in MLS.
-
2013-07-18$24,900 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
WELCOME HOME! THIS 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH CONDO COULD BE YOURS! FEATURING A COMMUNITY POOL AND SCREENED IN PATIO! LOCATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO TWO COLLEGES, SHOPPING, SCHOOLS, RESTAURANTS AND PUBLIC SAFETY FACILITIES! CASH ONLY OFFERS PLEASE. .. SOLD AS-IS with right to inspect. No seller's disclosure. Seller never occupied & buyers are encouraged to make inspections prior to making a home buying decision. HURRY, HURRY, HURRY! Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. This property is eligible underthe Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through August 2, 2013. Freddie Mac will offer owner occupant homebuyers, NSP grantees and non-profits engaged in community stabilization efforts the ability to purchase HomeSteps homes during their initial 15 days of listing. Details and affidavit attached as attachments in MLS.
-
2006-03-29soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,406
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,243
- − Management
- −$1,243
- − HOA
- −$4,620
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable loss
- −$1,985
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$477
- After-tax cash flow
- $-68/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bayshore Gardens
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #1180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bayshore Gardens, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 33,840
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,081
- Household income
- $45,010
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1474.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -305.32%
- Current HPI
- 369.9899
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.50%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-20.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-27 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-18 Listed $24,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,406 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…