437 Washington St · Shenandoah, PA 17976

$70,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,844 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 89 Days on market

Built 1900 $38/sqft · 47% below area Est $133k · 47% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +6.9/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2 FAMILY HOME FIX UPPER IN NEED OF REPAIRS, PROPERTY DID NOT PASS INSPECTION FROM SHENANDOAH BOROUGH. BUYER SHOULD CONTACT TOWNSHIP BEFORE MAKING AN OFFER

Key facts

• Listed 89 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $571/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 26.8% vs local median 12.3% in Shenandoah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#720 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, commute F, employment F.
• Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
• Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $18k; list at $70k implies a 289% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $65,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 26.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 73.32%
• DSCR: 4.26
• GRM: 2.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $133,187
• List price: $70,000
• Delta: -47.44%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 6 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
17 E Cherry St	0.48mi	5/— (+1)	1,960 (+6%)	3mo	$156,000	$80	60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 75.3%
• Equity multiple: 5.31×
• Total profit: $84,416
• Equity at exit: $34,855

10-year hold

• IRR: 74.2%
• Equity multiple: 10.94×
• Total profit: $194,896
• Equity at exit: $56,507

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17976

• Home prices YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 63
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,138 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax from tax record: −$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$56 /mo · $666/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$449
• Net cashflow: $1,142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $692

Max offer price $70,000

Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,182	-5% $1,162	+0% $1,142	+5% $1,122	+10% $1,102
Rent	-10% $973	-5% $1,058	+0% $1,142	+5% $1,226	+10% $1,311
Rate	-1.0pp $1,177	-0.5pp $1,160	base $1,142	+0.5pp $1,124	+1.0pp $1,105

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1	$2,138
Total (2 units)			$2,138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,500
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
25 E Oak St Shenandoah, PA	4.0	1.5	2220	$1,450	$0.65	44d	1	0.47mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $70,000 Active 89 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $70,000 Active 87 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $70,000 Active 86 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $70,000 Active 85 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $70,000 Active 84 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $70,000 Active 82 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $70,000 Active 81 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $70,000 Active 78 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $70,000 Active 77 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 76 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 75 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $70,000 Active 72 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 71 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 70 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 69 DOM
16. 2026-03-24
    listed $70,000 Active 154-char remark

    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    2 FAMILY HOME FIX UPPER IN NEED OF REPAIRS, PROPERTY DID NOT PASS INSPECTION FROM SHENANDOAH BOROUGH. BUYER SHOULD CONTACT TOWNSHIP BEFORE MAKING AN OFFER

17. 2005-11-14
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,143 · $95/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,143 · $95/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,656
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$1,143
• − Insurance: −$1,016
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,052
• − Management: −$2,052
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $13,435
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,224
• After-tax cash flow: $10,480/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Shenandoah Valley SD
• NCES district ID: 4221490
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $31,968
• Composite: 23.58/100
• National rank: #7851
• State rank: #454 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shenandoah

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #720
• US rank: #7134

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shenandoah, PA
• City population: 5,988
• Population (ZIP): 5,988

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 137,447 people
• By 2030: 133,121 · -3.1%
• By 2040: 124,172 · -9.7%
• By 2050: 115,611 · -15.9%
• By 2075: 100,796 · -26.7%
• By 2100: 86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 63% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 11%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 20% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 68% English-only · Spanish 30% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.84%
• Current HPI: 308.8036
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

+288.9% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-24 Listed $70,000 LCAR
• 2005-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,143 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.