130 Larkspur Ln · Columbia, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
At 130 Larkspur Lane, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,308 square feet of comfortable, easy living. The open floorplan creates a natural flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas, while ceiling fans add everyday comfort throughout. The kitchen features electric appliances and a convenient breakfast bar, perfect for casual meals or morning coffee. A bright sunroom provides extra space to relax, unwind, or enjoy a good book. Outside, the front yard is mowed and maintained for you, adding to the home’s low-maintenance appeal. Conveniently located close to shops and restaurants, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore
Key facts
- Electric appliances
- Open floorplan
- Ceiling fans
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From Hard Scrabble Rd, turn onto Elders Pond Dr. Turn Right onto Elders Pond Circle. Turn Left onto Larkspur Ln. Home is on the Right
- HOA & community: Has association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 parking space)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Paved road access; Public water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Central heating and central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rice Creek Elementary (math 36% / reading 34%, grade F, #339 of 597 statewide, top 57%, 737 students, 76% FRL); Ridge View High (math 43% / reading 76%, grade C+, #110 of 196 statewide, top 58%, 1,711 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 38% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.16%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,896
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Elders Pond Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,422 (+9%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $162 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,279
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $33,209
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29229
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 406
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,645 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $663/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 Elders Pond Cir Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,475 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5 Elders Pond Ct Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1640 | $1,795 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4500 Hard Scrabble Rd Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1031 | $1,348 | $1.31 | 2d | 4 | 0.20mi |
| 214 Elders Pond Dr Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 11d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1116 Waverly Place Ln Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,875 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1214 Waverly Place Ln Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 11d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 108 Quinton Ln Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,749 | $1.66 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3 Glen Knoll Ct Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,699 | $1.29 | 11d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 109 Jaybird Ln Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,679 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 500 Castle Ridge Dr Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1753 | $2,150 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3 Long Glen Ct Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,849 | $1.41 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 201 Trowbridge Rd Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,649 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 21 Winslow Ct Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,649 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 225 Lawson Dr Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,580 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 13 Tomafield Ct Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-08$140,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $663 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $798 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$135/yr (+$11/mo · 20.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,745
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$663
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,580
- − Management
- −$1,580
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $2,648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$636
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland 02
- NCES district ID
- 4503390
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,684
- Composite
- 36.2/100
- National rank
- #4730
- State rank
- #29 of 80 in SC
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #2436
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Richland County · 389,530 people
- City population
- 335,994
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,861
- Household income
- $74,043
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1939.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 459,667 people
- By 2030
- 487,524 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 542,035 · +17.9%
- By 2050
- 595,371 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 732,998 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 820,415 · +78.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 24% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.11%
- Current HPI
- 186.782
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.81%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $140,000 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $663 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…