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3221 25th St N
C+ Composite 63.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$95,000

3221 25th St N · Birmingham, AL 35207
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1985 6,969 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CHECK OUT THIS GREAT STARTER HOME, INVESTOR OR RENTAL PROPERTY. 3BR 2 FULL BATHS, EAT IN KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM AND NEW HVAC. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. COME TAKE A LOOK

Key facts

  • Functional layout
  • Newer hvac system
  • 6,969 sq ft lot

Tags

SPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHENDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMNEWER HVAC SYSTEMFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTRECENT MODERN UPDATES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hudson Keight School (math 0% / reading 7%, grade F, #627 of 627 statewide, top 100%, 633 students, 94% FRL); George Washington Carver High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 531 students, 87% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.03%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,024
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2129 N 30th Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,042 (-1%) 9mo $45,000 $43 72
2312 32nd Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,102 (+4%) 12mo $159,000 $144 71
2700 24th St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,056 (0%) 20mo $82,500 $78 64
3120 24th St 0.13mi 3/1.0 925 (-12%) 15mo $50,000 $54 61
2115 32nd Ave N 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+8%) 17mo $99,000 $87 52
1925 33rd Ave N 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,156 (+10%) 17mo $32,000 $28 48
2808 38th Ave N 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+11%) 11mo $20,000 $17 45
2418 Finley Blvd 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+8%) 20mo $50,000 $44 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$63,062
Equity at exit
$85,584
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
7.65×
Total profit
$176,763
Equity at exit
$184,564

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35207

Home prices YoY
18.7%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$996 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $850/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $770
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $232 -5% $205 +0% $178 +5% $151 +10% $124
Rent -10% $99 -5% $139 +0% $178 +5% $217 +10% $257
Rate -1.0pp $226 -0.5pp $202 base $178 +0.5pp $153 +1.0pp $128

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2129 30th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,000 $0.96 44d 1 0.37mi
2015 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1468 $1,190 $0.81 24d 1 0.49mi
1721 35th Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1184 $875 $0.74 44d 1 0.70mi
3016 33rd Ct N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 44d 1 0.70mi
1709 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 970 $1,350 $1.39 44d 1 0.72mi
2129 30th Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,000 $0.96 24d 1 0.74mi
1625 29th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 16d 1 0.80mi
2428 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $975 $1.39 11d 1 0.95mi
2428 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $975 $1.39 3d 1 0.95mi
2428 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $975 $1.39 2d 1 0.95mi
2108 25th St N Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1446 $1,300 $0.90 44d 1 0.96mi
2300 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $880 $1.26 44d 2 0.99mi
2608 20th Ave N Unit 5 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $875 $1.17 44d 1 1.01mi
2608 20th Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 44d 1 1.01mi
2000 Stouts Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $880 $1.26 44d 2 1.07mi
2400 19th Ave N Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 22d 1 1.09mi
2212 20th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1141 $895 $0.78 44d 1 1.13mi
1911 19th Ct N Apt 1 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $845 $1.13 12d 1 1.18mi
1917 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 15d 1 1.22mi
2012 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 11d 1 1.22mi
2010 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 11d 1 1.22mi
2004 18th Pl N Unit 2004 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 15d 1 1.22mi
1994 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 15d 1 1.22mi
3373 33rd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,150 $1.26 4d 1 1.23mi
1954 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 44d 1 1.23mi
1940 18th Pl N Unit 1940 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 15d 1 1.23mi
1938 18th Pl N Unit 1938 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 15d 1 1.23mi
3732 4th St W Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1185 $900 $0.76 44d 1 1.23mi
1909 18th St N Unit 1909 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 15d 1 1.25mi
1906 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $799 $0.89 15d 1 1.27mi
3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 12d 1 1.27mi
3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 24d 1 1.27mi
3001 Norwood Blvd Birmingham, AL 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 4d 1 1.28mi
3417 4th St W Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,000 $0.78 44d 1 1.33mi
1576 20th St N Apt D Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $725 $0.81 44d 1 1.37mi
1742 17th St N Unit 2 Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 16d 1 1.40mi
3311 16th Ave N Unit 3321 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 24d 1 1.41mi
3311 16th Ave N Unit 3317 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 44d 1 1.41mi
3311 16th Ave N Unit 3323 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 2d 1 1.41mi
424 34th Ave W Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 969 $1,050 $1.08 24d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2025-08-06
    status Pending
  2. 2025-07-30
    listed $95,000 Active
  3. 2023-04-10
    soldstatus $63,500
  4. 2023-04-06
    soldstatus $63,500 Sold 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    CHECK OUT THIS GREAT STARTER HOME, INVESTOR OR RENTAL PROPERTY. 3BR 2 FULL BATHS, EAT IN KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM AND NEW HVAC. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. COME TAKE A LOOK

  5. 2023-03-15
    historical Contingent 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    CHECK OUT THIS GREAT STARTER HOME, INVESTOR OR RENTAL PROPERTY. 3BR 2 FULL BATHS, EAT IN KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM AND NEW HVAC. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. COME TAKE A LOOK

  6. 2023-03-13
    listed $63,500 Active 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    CHECK OUT THIS GREAT STARTER HOME, INVESTOR OR RENTAL PROPERTY. 3BR 2 FULL BATHS, EAT IN KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM AND NEW HVAC. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. COME TAKE A LOOK

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$850 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$850 · $71/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,948
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$850
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$956
− Management
−$956
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$627
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$150
After-tax cash flow
$1,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
City population
210,422
Population (ZIP)
6,824

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 35.95%
Current HPI
228.5664
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+49.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-06 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-07-30 Listed $95,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records
  • 2023-04-06 Sold (MLS) $63,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-03-15 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-03-13 Listed $63,500 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $850 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…