15844 Wildemere St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1923
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Other architectural style; Built in 1923; Living area 825
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Public water; 0.07-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.80%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $35,475
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15893 Alden St | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 | 836 (+1%) | 1mo | $24,000 | $29 | 91 |
| 15798 Muirland St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 943 (+14%) | 1mo | $29,000 | $31 | 72 |
| 6362 Globe St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (+8%) | 0mo | $15,000 | $17 | 64 |
| 15721 Log Cabin St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+2%) | 11mo | $23,000 | $27 | 62 |
| 15865 Princeton St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 714 (-14%) | 16mo | $59,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 7300 Ellsworth St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+1%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $36 | 55 |
| 14890 Holmur St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 779 (-6%) | 10mo | $40,598 | $52 | 54 |
| 16230 Santa Rosa Dr | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 895 (+8%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $134 | 51 |
| 1952 Louise St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 882 (+7%) | 2mo | $33,000 | $37 | 50 |
| 7326 Ellsworth St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-8%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $46 | 40 |
| 1983 Brighton St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 921 (+12%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $43 | 38 |
| 1931 Pilgrim St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 931 (+13%) | 13mo | $65,000 | $70 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $16,087
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.27×
- Total profit
- $59,509
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,102 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,711/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $360
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $397 | -5% $379 | +0% $360 | +5% $342 | +10% $324 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $273 | -5% $317 | +0% $360 | +5% $404 | +10% $448 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $393 | -0.5pp $377 | base $360 | +0.5pp $344 | +1.0pp $327 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15906 Alden St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 16174 Princeton St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 16174 Princeton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2623 W McNichols Rd Unit 23106 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 7350 Globe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 16927 Inverness St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,650 | $1.84 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14950 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 17215 Warrington Dr Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 17150 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 17145 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 15771 Turner St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,049 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 17147 Monica St Unit 2 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 10 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $895 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 5 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $895 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1875 Ewald Cir Unit 2E Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $875 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2034 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 17551 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,095 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3808 Kendall St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2433 Pasadena St Unit 2435 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,025 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 941 Merton Rd Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,015 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 13 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,015 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 17461 Manderson Rd Unit 5 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,015 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 17497 Manderson Rd Unit 17A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,015 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 17497 Manderson Rd Unit 18A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $91,015 | $130.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 17497 Manderson Rd Unit 17 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,015 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3266 Pasadena St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $700 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 13639 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 13639 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 13641 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 17701 Manderson Rd Unit 202 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 17701 Manderson Rd Unit 104 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 17701 MANDERSON Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 17d | 9 | 1.14mi |
| 2341 Ewald Cir Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 17765 Manderson Rd Unit 8 Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,215 | $1.22 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-26$64,900 Active
-
2026-05-25$64,900 Active
-
2026-05-25$64,900 Active
-
2024-12-18soldstatus $50,000
-
2024-11-26soldstatus $50,000 Sold
-
2024-11-26soldstatus $50,000 Closed
-
2024-10-23status Pending
-
2024-10-23status Pending
-
2024-10-07$55,000 Active
-
2024-10-07$55,000 Active
-
2021-05-14soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,711 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,711 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,222
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$1,711
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,058
- − Management
- −$1,058
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $3,548
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$851
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,474/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+32.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-25 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-25 Listed $64,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-26 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-26 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-23 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-23 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-10-07 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-07 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,711 · -27.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…