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3433 Fillmore St
C Composite 58.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

3433 Fillmore St · Davenport, IA 52806
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,139 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1941 7,405 sqft lot $127/sqft · 10% below area Est $162k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Several parks
  • Unfinished basement
  • Convenience stores

Tags

CENTRAL DAVENPORTSEVERAL PARKSCONVENIENCE STORESWILLIAMS MIDDLE SCHOOLOVERSIZED TWO CAR GARAGEUNFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 parking spaces total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Approximately 81–90 years old
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot (50 x 145)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Eating area / table space
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (carpet); Bedroom on main level (11 x 8, carpet); Bedroom on main level (11 x 8, carpet); Bedroom on second level (9 x 25, carpet)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate in kitchen; Carpet in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished full attic; Unfinished full basement; Kitchen/dining combo; 7 total rooms; Hardwood flooring in living areas
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement (9 x 10); Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.78%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,890
List price
$145,000
Delta
-10.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1336 W 38th Pl Pl 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (+0%) 4mo $175,000 $153 78
3418 Taylor St 0.04mi 3/1.0 (-1) 983 (-14%) 2mo $87,000 $89 68
1514 W Garfield St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,148 (+1%) 6mo $170,500 $149 66
3719 Wilkes Ave 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,152 (+1%) 7mo $192,000 $167 63
1602 W George Washington Blvd 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,202 (+6%) 10mo $199,900 $166 57
1818 W 38th St 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,080 (-5%) 9mo $206,000 $191 54
1611 W Garfield St 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,067 (-6%) 8mo $227,500 $213 53
2819 Pacific St 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,134 (-0%) 10mo $220,000 $194 52
1548 W Central Park Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,206 (+6%) 2mo $154,900 $128 50
1833 W Kimberly Rd 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (+10%) 4mo $172,500 $138 48
2705 Fillmore Ln 0.54mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,242 (+9%) 9mo $250,000 $201 45
709 W 30th St 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,004 (-12%) 7mo $186,375 $186 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-12,806
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,185
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52806

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,487 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,904/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,240
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $278 -5% $237 +0% $196 +5% $155 +10% $114
Rent -10% $78 -5% $137 +0% $196 +5% $254 +10% $313
Rate -1.0pp $269 -0.5pp $232 base $196 +0.5pp $158 +1.0pp $120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2809 N Main St Davenport, IA 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,350 $1.35 21d 1 1.00mi
102 W 35th St Unit 105W_35 Davenport, IA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,150 $0.77 44d 1 1.00mi
105 Colony Dr Davenport, IA 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,700 $1.13 44d 1 1.38mi
5337 Villa Dr Davenport, IA 2.0–3.0 2.5 1650 $2,045 $1.24 14d 1 1.44mi
537 W 16th St Davenport, IA 3.0 1.0 1311 $1,400 $1.07 44d 1 1.44mi
915 W 14th St Davenport, IA 3.0 1.0 1390 $900 $0.65 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 487-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $145,000 Active 487-char remark
  3. 2021-08-06
    historical
  4. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $115,000
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.

  5. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $115,000
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.

  6. 2021-02-22
    listed $110,000
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.

  7. 2021-02-22
    listed $110,000
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.

  8. 2017-09-22
    soldstatus $71,500
  9. 2017-09-22
    soldstatus $71,500
  10. 2017-06-06
    listed $77,500
  11. 2017-06-06
    listed $77,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,904 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,090 · $174/mo
Expected delta
+$186/yr (+$16/mo · 9.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,849
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,904
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,428
− Management
−$1,428
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$24
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6
After-tax cash flow
$2,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davenport Community School District
NCES district ID
1908580
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,157
Composite
39.49/100
National rank
#3951
State rank
#288 of 289 in IA

Livability — Davenport

Score
79/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#2312

Category grades

Amenities A Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Davenport, IA
County
Scott County · 144,583 people
City population
103,319
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
26,871
Household income
$74,297
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
735.0

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
188,878 people
By 2030
196,648 · +4.1%
By 2040
210,860 · +11.6%
By 2050
224,359 · +18.8%
By 2075
258,884 · +37.1%
By 2100
286,447 · +51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -127.41%
Current HPI
185.0808
Rent YoY
▲ 1.80%
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+87.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-22 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-22 Listed $110,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-22 Sold (MLS) $71,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-22 Sold (MLS) $71,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-06 Listed $77,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-06 Listed $77,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,904 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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