3433 Fillmore St · Davenport, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Several parks
- Unfinished basement
- Convenience stores
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 parking spaces total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Approximately 81–90 years old
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot (50 x 145)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Eating area / table space
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (carpet); Bedroom on main level (11 x 8, carpet); Bedroom on main level (11 x 8, carpet); Bedroom on second level (9 x 25, carpet)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate in kitchen; Carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full attic; Unfinished full basement; Kitchen/dining combo; 7 total rooms; Hardwood flooring in living areas
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement (9 x 10); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,890
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -10.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1336 W 38th Pl Pl | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+0%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $153 | 78 |
| 3418 Taylor St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 983 (-14%) | 2mo | $87,000 | $89 | 68 |
| 1514 W Garfield St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (+1%) | 6mo | $170,500 | $149 | 66 |
| 3719 Wilkes Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,152 (+1%) | 7mo | $192,000 | $167 | 63 |
| 1602 W George Washington Blvd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,202 (+6%) | 10mo | $199,900 | $166 | 57 |
| 1818 W 38th St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 9mo | $206,000 | $191 | 54 |
| 1611 W Garfield St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,067 (-6%) | 8mo | $227,500 | $213 | 53 |
| 2819 Pacific St | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,134 (-0%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $194 | 52 |
| 1548 W Central Park Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,206 (+6%) | 2mo | $154,900 | $128 | 50 |
| 1833 W Kimberly Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+10%) | 4mo | $172,500 | $138 | 48 |
| 2705 Fillmore Ln | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,242 (+9%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $201 | 45 |
| 709 W 30th St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,004 (-12%) | 7mo | $186,375 | $186 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-12,806
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,185
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52806
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,487 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,904/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $278 | -5% $237 | +0% $196 | +5% $155 | +10% $114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $78 | -5% $137 | +0% $196 | +5% $254 | +10% $313 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $269 | -0.5pp $232 | base $196 | +0.5pp $158 | +1.0pp $120 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2809 N Main St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 102 W 35th St Unit 105W_35 Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,150 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 105 Colony Dr Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5337 Villa Dr Davenport, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,045 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 537 W 16th St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1311 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 915 W 14th St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $900 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending 487-char remark
-
2026-04-27$145,000 Active 487-char remark
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-03-26soldstatus $115,000
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.
-
2021-03-26soldstatus $115,000
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.
-
2021-02-22$110,000
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.
-
2021-02-22$110,000
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great location and potential in this 4 bedroom home in Davenport, close to shopping, schools and parks! Really nice 2 car garage, fenced yard, newer windows and siding, large kitchen and more! Home being sold as-is.
-
2017-09-22soldstatus $71,500
-
2017-09-22soldstatus $71,500
-
2017-06-06$77,500
-
2017-06-06$77,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,904 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,090 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$186/yr (+$16/mo · 9.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,849
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,904
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,428
- − Management
- −$1,428
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $24
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davenport Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908580
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,157
- Composite
- 39.49/100
- National rank
- #3951
- State rank
- #288 of 289 in IA
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #2312
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davenport, IA
- County
- Scott County · 144,583 people
- City population
- 103,319
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,871
- Household income
- $74,297
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 735.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 188,878 people
- By 2030
- 196,648 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 210,860 · +11.6%
- By 2050
- 224,359 · +18.8%
- By 2075
- 258,884 · +37.1%
- By 2100
- 286,447 · +51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.41%
- Current HPI
- 185.0808
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.80%
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+87.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-22 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-22 Listed $110,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-22 Sold (MLS) $71,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-22 Sold (MLS) $71,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-06 Listed $77,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-06 Listed $77,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,904 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…