725 W Thornton #157 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New price on this well-maintained senior community double-wide manufactured home featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an open floor plan. Recent upgrades include a new roof and flooring, plus washer and dryer are included. Located in a highly desirable community with a small dog park, and close to shopping with easy access to the 10, 60, and 215 freeways.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Newer toilets
- Charming brick wall
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,996/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $522 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.27%
- DSCR
- 3.86
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,780
- List price
- $75,500
- Delta
- -52.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725 W Thornton Ave #109 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $23,900 | $17 | 96 |
| 601 Bermuda | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (0%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $208 | 86 |
| 1631 Bella Vis | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 0mo | $147,115 | $102 | 69 |
| 970 Vista Grande | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (+3%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $128 | 66 |
| 1279 Sorrel Dr | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $128 | 65 |
| 1545 El Cerrito | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 3mo | $226,100 | $157 | 64 |
| 944 S Elk | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-5%) | 3mo | $71,000 | $52 | 59 |
| 930 S Santa Victoria | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,356 (-6%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $103 | 52 |
| 1020 Tierra Linda | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,640 (+14%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $110 | 51 |
| 1536 S State St #219 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $108 | 51 |
| 1470 San Marcos | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,600 (+11%) | 4mo | $221,000 | $138 | 47 |
| 1262 Sorrel | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+8%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $138 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $57,397
- Equity at exit
- $11,257
- IRR
- 66.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.29×
- Total profit
- $132,918
- Equity at exit
- $6,528
Cash invested: $21,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,996 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$396
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $204/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $1,132
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,875
- Closing costs
- $2,265
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1025 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,320 | $2.61 | 1d | 8 | 0.39mi |
| 1005 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,825 | $1.87 | 24d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 409 E Thornton Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,912 | $1.97 | 2d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 390 Magnolia Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $2,400 | $2.31 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 640 Vista del Monte Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,650 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 735 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 716 Robert Dr Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,300 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 120 Santa Lucia Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 853 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 101 San Mateo Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,725 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 678 Monterey Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,995 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 876 W Whittier Ave Unit 878 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $2,150 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 860 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,895 | $1.51 | 7d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 700 Johnston Ave Unit 708 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1241 Sandlewood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1504 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1955 Silver Oak Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1521 W Westmont Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 424 W Mayberry Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $850 | $0.51 | 7d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,750 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 415 S Tahquitz Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,900 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 363 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 363 S Gilbert St Unit B Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,800 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,561 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 733 S San Jacinto St Unit B Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1354 Jasmine Way Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,448 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1287 Olive Tree Ln Unit C Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1287 Olive Tree Ln Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,599 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 26450 San Jacinto St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,295 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2971 Peach Tree St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1834 | $2,395 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 26416 S San Jacinto St Unit 26416 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,675 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $75,500 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
New price on this well-maintained senior community double-wide manufactured home featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an open floor plan. Recent upgrades include a new roof and flooring, plus washer and dryer are included. Located in a highly desirable community with a small dog park, and close to shopping with easy access to the 10, 60, and 215 freeways.
-
2026-03-11$79,884 Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
New price on this well-maintained senior community double-wide manufactured home featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an open floor plan. Recent upgrades include a new roof and flooring, plus washer and dryer are included. Located in a highly desirable community with a small dog park, and close to shopping with easy access to the 10, 60, and 215 freeways.
-
2024-09-23soldstatus $58,000 Closed Sale 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome home to this cozy manufactured home. It boasts 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with indoor laundry. This property is handicap accessible, with a large wheelchair ramp entrance. The kitchen is fully equipped and functional ready for you to get to cooking. Enjoy breezy trees and well-maintained common grounds. A Shaded community pool and spa are available for all residents to enjoy. Community events are on the calendar, well attended by residents, and sure to brighten your day. This property is well cared for and priced to sell.
-
2024-08-30historical Active Under Contract 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome home to this cozy manufactured home. It boasts 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with indoor laundry. This property is handicap accessible, with a large wheelchair ramp entrance. The kitchen is fully equipped and functional ready for you to get to cooking. Enjoy breezy trees and well-maintained common grounds. A Shaded community pool and spa are available for all residents to enjoy. Community events are on the calendar, well attended by residents, and sure to brighten your day. This property is well cared for and priced to sell.
-
2024-08-24status Pending Sale 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome home to this cozy manufactured home. It boasts 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with indoor laundry. This property is handicap accessible, with a large wheelchair ramp entrance. The kitchen is fully equipped and functional ready for you to get to cooking. Enjoy breezy trees and well-maintained common grounds. A Shaded community pool and spa are available for all residents to enjoy. Community events are on the calendar, well attended by residents, and sure to brighten your day. This property is well cared for and priced to sell.
-
2024-08-19$59,900 Active 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome home to this cozy manufactured home. It boasts 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with indoor laundry. This property is handicap accessible, with a large wheelchair ramp entrance. The kitchen is fully equipped and functional ready for you to get to cooking. Enjoy breezy trees and well-maintained common grounds. A Shaded community pool and spa are available for all residents to enjoy. Community events are on the calendar, well attended by residents, and sure to brighten your day. This property is well cared for and priced to sell.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $204 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$370/yr (+$31/mo · 181.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,948
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,229
- − Property taxes
- −$204
- − Insurance
- −$378
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,916
- − Management
- −$1,916
- − Depreciation
- −$2,196
- Taxable income
- $13,109
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,146
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+26.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $75,500 CRMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $79,884 CRMLS
- 2024-09-23 Sold (MLS) $58,000 CRMLS
- 2024-08-30 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2024-08-24 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-08-19 Listed $59,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $204 · +88.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…