38 Cedar Rdg · Hawley, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$339,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 38 Cedar Ridge Road in Woodledge Village -- a stunning Katahdin cedar log home set on a full acre in beautiful Hawley, PA. From the moment you arrive, you'll appreciate the warmth and craftsmanship that only a true cedar log home can offer. This spacious residence features 6 bedrooms and 4 full bathrooms, making it ideal for large households or those seeking flexible living space. One of the standout features is the presence of two full kitchens, creating the perfect setup for multi-generational living, extended guests, or private in-law accommodations. The main kitchen is beautifully appointed with granite countertops, offering both style and durability for everyday living and entertaining. Throughout the home, you'll find an abundance of closet space -- something rarely seen in log homes -- along with generous room sizes and versatile layout options to fit your lifestyle needs. The detached two-car garage provides plenty of space for vehicles, storage, or hobby use. Situated on a full acre, the property offers privacy while still being part of the desirable Woodledge Village community. If you've been searching for character, space, and flexibility -- all wrapped in timeless cedar craftsmanship -- this Hawley property delivers. All information and measurements are approximate and not warranted or guaranteed.
Key facts
- Full acre
- Two full kitchens
- 1.01 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $339k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-406 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (21.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (26.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 4.0% in Hawley — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#898 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $222k; list at $339k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.13%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $564,434
- List price
- $339,000
- Delta
- -39.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2058 Route 590 | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,340 (+10%) | 8mo | $500,000 | $214 | 56 |
| 173 Covered Bridge Dr | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 2,000 (-6%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $128 | 46 |
| 90 Rocky View Dr | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,890 (-11%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $180 | 41 |
| 151 Garrity Rd | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 | 2,308 (+9%) | 17mo | $360,000 | $156 | 36 |
| 112 Rocky View Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 2,323 (+10%) | 22mo | $460,000 | $198 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $158,832
- Equity at exit
- $305,398
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.14×
- Total profit
- $488,190
- Equity at exit
- $658,602
Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18428
- Home prices YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 371
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,778
- Tax from tax record
- −$422 /mo · $5,064/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $-406
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-214 | -5% $-310 | +0% $-406 | +5% $-502 | +10% $-598 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-603 | -5% $-505 | +0% $-406 | +5% $-307 | +10% $-208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-235 | -0.5pp $-320 | base $-406 | +0.5pp $-494 | +1.0pp $-583 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,750
- Closing costs
- $10,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Hutchinson Ct Hawley, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-17status $339,000 Pending 108 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $339,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $339,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $339,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $339,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $339,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-04-09price $339,000 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome to 38 Cedar Ridge Road in Woodledge Village -- a stunning Katahdin cedar log home set on a full acre in beautiful Hawley, PA. From the moment you arrive, you'll appreciate the warmth and craftsmanship that only a true cedar log home can offer. This spacious residence features 6 bedrooms and 4 full bathrooms, making it ideal for large households or those seeking flexible living space. One of the standout features is the presence of two full kitchens, creating the perfect setup for multi-generational living, extended guests, or private in-law accommodations. The main kitchen is beautifully appointed with granite countertops, offering both style and durability for everyday living and entertaining. Throughout the home, you'll find an abundance of closet space -- something rarely seen in log homes -- along with generous room sizes and versatile layout options to fit your lifestyle needs. The detached two-car garage provides plenty of space for vehicles, storage, or hobby use. Situated on a full acre, the property offers privacy while still being part of the desirable Woodledge Village community. If you've been searching for character, space, and flexibility -- all wrapped in timeless cedar craftsmanship -- this Hawley property delivers. All information and measurements are approximate and not warranted or guaranteed.
-
2026-03-15price $355,000 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome to 38 Cedar Ridge Road in Woodledge Village -- a stunning Katahdin cedar log home set on a full acre in beautiful Hawley, PA. From the moment you arrive, you'll appreciate the warmth and craftsmanship that only a true cedar log home can offer. This spacious residence features 6 bedrooms and 4 full bathrooms, making it ideal for large households or those seeking flexible living space. One of the standout features is the presence of two full kitchens, creating the perfect setup for multi-generational living, extended guests, or private in-law accommodations. The main kitchen is beautifully appointed with granite countertops, offering both style and durability for everyday living and entertaining. Throughout the home, you'll find an abundance of closet space -- something rarely seen in log homes -- along with generous room sizes and versatile layout options to fit your lifestyle needs. The detached two-car garage provides plenty of space for vehicles, storage, or hobby use. Situated on a full acre, the property offers privacy while still being part of the desirable Woodledge Village community. If you've been searching for character, space, and flexibility -- all wrapped in timeless cedar craftsmanship -- this Hawley property delivers. All information and measurements are approximate and not warranted or guaranteed.
-
2026-03-14status Active 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome to 38 Cedar Ridge Road in Woodledge Village -- a stunning Katahdin cedar log home set on a full acre in beautiful Hawley, PA. From the moment you arrive, you'll appreciate the warmth and craftsmanship that only a true cedar log home can offer. This spacious residence features 6 bedrooms and 4 full bathrooms, making it ideal for large households or those seeking flexible living space. One of the standout features is the presence of two full kitchens, creating the perfect setup for multi-generational living, extended guests, or private in-law accommodations. The main kitchen is beautifully appointed with granite countertops, offering both style and durability for everyday living and entertaining. Throughout the home, you'll find an abundance of closet space -- something rarely seen in log homes -- along with generous room sizes and versatile layout options to fit your lifestyle needs. The detached two-car garage provides plenty of space for vehicles, storage, or hobby use. Situated on a full acre, the property offers privacy while still being part of the desirable Woodledge Village community. If you've been searching for character, space, and flexibility -- all wrapped in timeless cedar craftsmanship -- this Hawley property delivers. All information and measurements are approximate and not warranted or guaranteed.
-
2026-03-05status Pending 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome to 38 Cedar Ridge Road in Woodledge Village -- a stunning Katahdin cedar log home set on a full acre in beautiful Hawley, PA. From the moment you arrive, you'll appreciate the warmth and craftsmanship that only a true cedar log home can offer. This spacious residence features 6 bedrooms and 4 full bathrooms, making it ideal for large households or those seeking flexible living space. One of the standout features is the presence of two full kitchens, creating the perfect setup for multi-generational living, extended guests, or private in-law accommodations. The main kitchen is beautifully appointed with granite countertops, offering both style and durability for everyday living and entertaining. Throughout the home, you'll find an abundance of closet space -- something rarely seen in log homes -- along with generous room sizes and versatile layout options to fit your lifestyle needs. The detached two-car garage provides plenty of space for vehicles, storage, or hobby use. Situated on a full acre, the property offers privacy while still being part of the desirable Woodledge Village community. If you've been searching for character, space, and flexibility -- all wrapped in timeless cedar craftsmanship -- this Hawley property delivers. All information and measurements are approximate and not warranted or guaranteed.
-
2026-02-17$380,000 Active 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcome to 38 Cedar Ridge Road in Woodledge Village -- a stunning Katahdin cedar log home set on a full acre in beautiful Hawley, PA. From the moment you arrive, you'll appreciate the warmth and craftsmanship that only a true cedar log home can offer. This spacious residence features 6 bedrooms and 4 full bathrooms, making it ideal for large households or those seeking flexible living space. One of the standout features is the presence of two full kitchens, creating the perfect setup for multi-generational living, extended guests, or private in-law accommodations. The main kitchen is beautifully appointed with granite countertops, offering both style and durability for everyday living and entertaining. Throughout the home, you'll find an abundance of closet space -- something rarely seen in log homes -- along with generous room sizes and versatile layout options to fit your lifestyle needs. The detached two-car garage provides plenty of space for vehicles, storage, or hobby use. Situated on a full acre, the property offers privacy while still being part of the desirable Woodledge Village community. If you've been searching for character, space, and flexibility -- all wrapped in timeless cedar craftsmanship -- this Hawley property delivers. All information and measurements are approximate and not warranted or guaranteed.
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2020-04-17soldstatus $222,101
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2020-04-17soldstatus $222,101
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2020-04-17soldstatus
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2020-04-17soldstatus $222,101
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2019-10-28$189,900
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2019-08-13$189,900
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2019-08-13$189,900
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2019-08-13$189,900
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2016-08-16$399,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,064 · $422/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,210 · $434/mo
- Expected delta
- +$146/yr (+$12/mo · 2.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,989
- − Property taxes
- −$5,064
- − Insurance
- −$1,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$9,862
- Taxable loss
- −$10,890
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,614
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallenpaupack Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3345
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hawley
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #898
- US rank
- #9570
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,446
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.60%
- Current HPI
- 340.8254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-15.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $339,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $355,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-14 Relisted — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-05 Pending — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-17 Listed $380,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) $222,101 PWMLS
- 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) — PWMLS
- 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) $222,101 PMAR
- 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) $222,101 PWMLS
- 2019-10-28 Listed $189,900 PMAR
- 2019-08-13 Listed $189,900 PWMLS
- 2019-08-13 Listed $189,900 PWMLS
- 2019-08-13 Listed $189,900 PWMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listed $399,000 PMAR
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $5,064 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…