CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
None
C- Composite 51.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

None · Winchester, NV 89169
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 863 sqft · Condo public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1970 $570/mo HOA · 31% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This corner 1st floor condo tucked away in Las Brias community boasts 863sq ft of living space. 2B/1B. Open airy concept private patio. Sparkling gated pool. Only mins from Sunrise Hospital, freeway and shopping. Great for first time homeowners or investors. Great rental income. Come see it today.

Key facts

  • Gated pool
  • Las brias community
  • Private patio

Tags

PRIVATE PATIOGATED POOLLAS BRIAS COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#3 in NV, #2,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.4%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,857/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2744% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.21%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-18,063
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-25,075
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89169

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
-4.4%
Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,857 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $406/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$570
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,695
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
900 E Desert Inn Rd Las Vegas, NV 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1077 $1,800 $1.67 43d 5 0.76mi
3152 S Eastern Ave Las Vegas, NV 2.0 1.0 987 $1,450 $1.47 23d 1 0.89mi
3168 S Eastern Ave #48 Las Vegas, NV 1.0 1.0 671 $1,050 $1.56 23d 1 0.89mi
2831 Geary Pl #2909 Las Vegas, NV 2.0 1.0 1112 $1,899 $1.71 43d 1 0.92mi
1040 Canosa Ave Las Vegas, NV 2.0 1.0 969 $1,745 $1.80 43d 1 0.92mi
511 E Sahara Ave Las Vegas, NV 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 43d 3 1.08mi
322 Karen Ave Las Vegas, NV 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1109 $3,500 $3.15 3d 3 1.11mi
322 Karen Ave Las Vegas, NV 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 1109 $3,500 $3.15 3d 3 1.11mi
1021 Griffith Ave Las Vegas, NV 3.0 2.0 1094 $2,200 $2.01 43d 1 1.15mi
1601 E Katie Ave Las Vegas, NV 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 809 $1,852 $2.29 43d 13 1.19mi
222 Karen Ave #2904 Las Vegas, NV 1.0 1.5 814 $2,200 $2.70 1d 1 1.19mi
222 Karen Ave #3005 Las Vegas, NV 1.0 1.5 814 $2,400 $2.95 23d 1 1.19mi
222 Karen Ave #3203 Las Vegas, NV 1.0 2.0 814 $2,500 $3.07 43d 1 1.19mi
222 Karen Ave #306 Las Vegas, NV 1.0 2.0 814 $2,300 $2.83 43d 1 1.19mi
222 Karen Ave #1105 Las Vegas, NV 1.0 1.5 814 $1,990 $2.44 43d 1 1.19mi
222 Karen Ave #1004 Las Vegas, NV 1.0 1.5 814 $2,300 $2.83 23d 1 1.19mi
2137 E Saint Louis Ave Las Vegas, NV 3.0 1.0 1028 $1,700 $1.65 43d 1 1.20mi
1700 E Viking Rd Las Vegas, NV 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,662 $1.53 43d 3 1.25mi
525 E Saint Louis Ave Las Vegas, NV 2.0 2.0 1094 $1,525 $1.39 43d 1 1.27mi
595 S Royal Crest Cir #18 Las Vegas, NV 2.0 1.0 816 $1,575 $1.93 43d 1 1.32mi
3550 Paradise Rd Las Vegas, NV 3.0 1.0–2.0 947 $1,425 $1.50 43d 20 1.40mi
3930 University Center Dr Las Vegas, NV 2.0 2.0–3.0 1200 $1,725 $1.44 43d 2 1.47mi
3200 McLeod Dr Las Vegas, NV 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 726 $1,612 $2.22 1d 19 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$570 · $6,840/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 370-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-04-12
    price $129,900 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    This corner 1st floor condo tucked away in Las Brias community boasts 863sq ft of living space. 2B/1B. Open airy concept private patio. Sparkling gated pool. Only mins from Sunrise Hospital, freeway and shopping. Great for first time homeowners or investors. Great rental income. Come see it today.

  15. 2026-04-12
    listed $129,000 Active 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    This corner 1st floor condo tucked away in Las Brias community boasts 863sq ft of living space. 2B/1B. Open airy concept private patio. Sparkling gated pool. Only mins from Sunrise Hospital, freeway and shopping. Great for first time homeowners or investors. Great rental income. Come see it today.

  16. 2026-04-11
    price $1,200
  17. 2026-03-16
    listed $1,350
  18. 2025-01-06
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Open Spacious Floor Plan! Minutes from the Las Vegas Strip! Oversized Bedrooms; Large Living Room; Kitchen Offers Lots of Storage, Counter Space and Light from Multiple Windows; Close to Pool and Laundry Room; Covered and Extended Patio. Easy Access to Strip, Entertainment, Sports, Schools, Dining, Shopping and Parks.

  19. 2025-01-06
    soldstatus $135,000
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Open Spacious Floor Plan! Minutes from the Las Vegas Strip! Oversized Bedrooms; Large Living Room; Kitchen Offers Lots of Storage, Counter Space and Light from Multiple Windows; Close to Pool and Laundry Room; Covered and Extended Patio. Easy Access to Strip, Entertainment, Sports, Schools, Dining, Shopping and Parks.

  20. 2024-12-11
    status Pending 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Open Spacious Floor Plan! Minutes from the Las Vegas Strip! Oversized Bedrooms; Large Living Room; Kitchen Offers Lots of Storage, Counter Space and Light from Multiple Windows; Close to Pool and Laundry Room; Covered and Extended Patio. Easy Access to Strip, Entertainment, Sports, Schools, Dining, Shopping and Parks.

  21. 2024-11-26
    listed $139,900 Active 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Open Spacious Floor Plan! Minutes from the Las Vegas Strip! Oversized Bedrooms; Large Living Room; Kitchen Offers Lots of Storage, Counter Space and Light from Multiple Windows; Close to Pool and Laundry Room; Covered and Extended Patio. Easy Access to Strip, Entertainment, Sports, Schools, Dining, Shopping and Parks.

  22. 2023-12-14
    historical $1,100
  23. 2023-12-09
    listed $1,100
  24. 2021-09-20
    soldstatus $117,000 Closed
  25. 2021-09-20
    soldstatus $117,000
  26. 2021-08-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  27. 2021-08-11
    listed $117,000 Active
  28. 2021-08-11
    historical $117,000
  29. 2021-06-16
    soldstatus $73,000
  30. 2019-06-12
    historical
  31. 2019-06-04
    status Active
  32. 2019-05-08
    status Pending
  33. 2019-04-22
    listed $83,000 Active
  34. 2018-04-24
    soldstatus $80,000 Sold
  35. 2018-04-24
    soldstatus $79,999
  36. 2018-04-10
    historical Contingent Offer
  37. 2018-03-30
    price $79,999
  38. 2018-03-28
    listed $80,000 Active
  39. 2012-06-29
    soldstatus $42,000
  40. 2011-08-02
    soldstatus $21,000 Sold
  41. 2011-07-08
    historical Contingent Offer
  42. 2011-06-24
    price $21,500 Exclusive Right
  43. 2011-06-24
    status Exclusive Right
  44. 2011-06-13
    historical Contingent Offer
  45. 2011-06-01
    price $23,600
  46. 2011-05-10
    listed $25,900 Exclusive Right
  47. 2011-02-18
    historical
  48. 2010-01-25
    listed Contingent Offer
  49. 2005-11-09
    soldstatus $120,000
  50. 1992-01-09
    soldstatus $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$406 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$766 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$361/yr (+$30/mo · 89.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,280
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$406
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,782
− Management
−$1,782
− HOA
−$6,840
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$57
After-tax cash flow
$1,588/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clark County School District
NCES district ID
3200060
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$53,611
Composite
26.48/100
National rank
#7211
State rank
#11 of 17 in NV

Livability — Winchester

Score
79/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#2272

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Winchester, NV
County
Clark County · 2,306,105 people
City population
39,883
Metro
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
Population (ZIP)
22,171
Household income
$40,904
Rent vs Own
80.7% rent · 19.3% own
Severe rent burden
2744.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,504,101 people
By 2030
2,693,770 · +7.6%
By 2040
3,061,208 · +22.2%
By 2050
3,400,072 · +35.8%
By 2075
4,139,522 · +65.3%
By 2100
4,596,916 · +83.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 33% White 30% Black 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, China
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.91%
Current HPI
272.6449
Rent YoY
▼ -4.43%
Metro
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+319.0% since first listed
38 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $129,900 GLVAR
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $129,000 GLVAR
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $1,200 REDFIN
  • 2026-03-16 Listed for Rent $1,350 REDFIN
  • 2025-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-06 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GLVAR
  • 2024-12-11 Pending GLVAR
  • 2024-11-26 Listed $139,900 GLVAR
  • 2023-12-14 Rental Removed $1,100 GLVAR
  • 2023-12-09 Listed for Rent $1,100 GLVAR
  • 2021-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-20 Sold (MLS) $117,000 GLVAR
  • 2021-08-19 Contingent GLVAR
  • 2021-08-11 Listed $117,000 GLVAR
  • 2021-08-11 Coming Soon $117,000 GLVAR
  • 2021-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 2019-06-12 Listing Removed GLVAR
  • 2019-06-04 Relisted GLVAR
  • 2019-05-08 Pending GLVAR
  • 2019-04-22 Listed $83,000 GLVAR
  • 2018-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $79,999 Public Records
  • 2018-04-24 Sold (MLS) $80,000 GLVAR
  • 2018-04-10 Contingent GLVAR
  • 2018-03-30 Price Changed $79,999 GLVAR
  • 2018-03-28 Listed $80,000 GLVAR
  • 2012-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 2011-08-02 Sold (MLS) $21,000 GLVAR
  • 2011-07-08 Contingent GLVAR
  • 2011-06-24 Relisted GLVAR
  • 2011-06-24 Price Changed $21,500 GLVAR
  • 2011-06-13 Contingent GLVAR
  • 2011-06-01 Price Changed $23,600 GLVAR
  • 2011-05-10 Listed $25,900 GLVAR
  • 2011-02-18 Listing Removed GLVAR
  • 2010-01-25 Listed GLVAR
  • 2005-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 1992-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
  • 1972-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $406 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…