4359 Deerland Rd · Oscoda, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Northern Michigan recreation country. Featuring a one-car attached garage and a cozy pellet stove, this home offers comfort and functionality year-round. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a new roof installed in April 2026 and a new drain field completed in May 2026. Inside, youll find newer kitchen cabinets topped with beautiful butcher block counters, new vinyl plank flooring, and an expanded downstairs bedroom. The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet, while the upstairs has been improved with replaced drywall and insulation along with additional electrical outlets for added convenience. Located near the scenic Au Sable River and close to endless outdoor opportunities including fishing, kayaking, trails, and more, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to enjoy all that Northern Michigan has to offer.
Key facts
- New drain field
- Pellet stove
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic system
- Home design: Residential 2-story home; Built in 1970; Entry on main level
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Corner lot in a subdivision; No water features
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen on main level (23 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Main-level bedroom (7 x 9) with carpet; Upper-level bedroom (13 x 16)
- Flooring: Carpet in at least one bedroom
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level and one upstairs)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; LP/Propane fuel
- Interior features: Loft
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in Oscoda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#641 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Oscoda Area Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #313 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Iosco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iosco County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.76%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,700
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4320 Camp Rd | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-9%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $153 | 67 |
| 2347 M-65 | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (+4%) | 11mo | $48,000 | $51 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-11,008
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,146
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48750
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,085 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $539/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $201 | -5% $167 | +0% $133 | +5% $99 | +10% $65 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $47 | -5% $90 | +0% $133 | +5% $176 | +10% $219 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $194 | -0.5pp $164 | base $133 | +0.5pp $102 | +1.0pp $71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$130,000 Active 945-char remark
Show marketing remark (945 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Northern Michigan recreation country. Featuring a one-car attached garage and a cozy pellet stove, this home offers comfort and functionality year-round. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a new roof installed in April 2026 and a new drain field completed in May 2026. Inside, youll find newer kitchen cabinets topped with beautiful butcher block counters, new vinyl plank flooring, and an expanded downstairs bedroom. The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet, while the upstairs has been improved with replaced drywall and insulation along with additional electrical outlets for added convenience. Located near the scenic Au Sable River and close to endless outdoor opportunities including fishing, kayaking, trails, and more, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to enjoy all that Northern Michigan has to offer.
-
2026-05-28$130,000 Active
Show marketing remark (945 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Northern Michigan recreation country. Featuring a one-car attached garage and a cozy pellet stove, this home offers comfort and functionality year-round. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a new roof installed in April 2026 and a new drain field completed in May 2026. Inside, youll find newer kitchen cabinets topped with beautiful butcher block counters, new vinyl plank flooring, and an expanded downstairs bedroom. The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet, while the upstairs has been improved with replaced drywall and insulation along with additional electrical outlets for added convenience. Located near the scenic Au Sable River and close to endless outdoor opportunities including fishing, kayaking, trails, and more, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to enjoy all that Northern Michigan has to offer.
-
2024-09-13soldstatus $85,000
-
2024-09-09status Pending 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Best deal in Oscoda. ! Within a short distance to the Ausable River Camp and Eagle Ridge Golf Club open to the public. Enjoy the tranquility and the up north living. 2 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, one Car Attached Garage, corner lot with extra outhouse. TLC needed. Seller is selling "AS IS" and will not make any repairs. Potential is limitless. First floor bedroom and a huge open second bedroom with full bath on 2nd floor. Great weekend getaway! Fireplace in great room and furniture included. Hurry, utilities working!
-
2024-09-09status Pending
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Best deal in Oscoda. ! Within a short distance to the Ausable River Camp and Eagle Ridge Golf Club open to the public. Enjoy the tranquility and the up north living. 2 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, one Car Attached Garage, corner lot with extra outhouse. TLC needed. Seller is selling "AS IS" and will not make any repairs. Potential is limitless. First floor bedroom and a huge open second bedroom with full bath on 2nd floor. Great weekend getaway! Fireplace in great room and furniture included. Hurry, utilities working!
-
2024-09-06soldstatus $85,000
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Best deal in Oscoda. ! Within a short distance to the Ausable River Camp and Eagle Ridge Golf Club open to the public. Enjoy the tranquility and the up north living. 2 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, one Car Attached Garage, corner lot with extra outhouse. TLC needed. Seller is selling "AS IS" and will not make any repairs. Potential is limitless. First floor bedroom and a huge open second bedroom with full bath on 2nd floor. Great weekend getaway! Fireplace in great room and furniture included. Hurry, utilities working!
-
2024-09-06soldstatus $85,000 Sold 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Best deal in Oscoda. ! Within a short distance to the Ausable River Camp and Eagle Ridge Golf Club open to the public. Enjoy the tranquility and the up north living. 2 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, one Car Attached Garage, corner lot with extra outhouse. TLC needed. Seller is selling "AS IS" and will not make any repairs. Potential is limitless. First floor bedroom and a huge open second bedroom with full bath on 2nd floor. Great weekend getaway! Fireplace in great room and furniture included. Hurry, utilities working!
-
2024-09-06soldstatus $85,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Best deal in Oscoda. ! Within a short distance to the Ausable River Camp and Eagle Ridge Golf Club open to the public. Enjoy the tranquility and the up north living. 2 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, one Car Attached Garage, corner lot with extra outhouse. TLC needed. Seller is selling "AS IS" and will not make any repairs. Potential is limitless. First floor bedroom and a huge open second bedroom with full bath on 2nd floor. Great weekend getaway! Fireplace in great room and furniture included. Hurry, utilities working!
-
2024-09-06soldstatus $85,000
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Best deal in Oscoda. ! Within a short distance to the Ausable River Camp and Eagle Ridge Golf Club open to the public. Enjoy the tranquility and the up north living. 2 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, one Car Attached Garage, corner lot with extra outhouse. TLC needed. Seller is selling "AS IS" and will not make any repairs. Potential is limitless. First floor bedroom and a huge open second bedroom with full bath on 2nd floor. Great weekend getaway! Fireplace in great room and furniture included. Hurry, utilities working!
-
2024-09-05$85,000
-
2024-09-05$85,000
-
2024-08-06$104,900 Active 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Best deal in Oscoda. ! Within a short distance to the Ausable River Camp and Eagle Ridge Golf Club open to the public. Enjoy the tranquility and the up north living. 2 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, one Car Attached Garage, corner lot with extra outhouse. TLC needed. Seller is selling "AS IS" and will not make any repairs. Potential is limitless. First floor bedroom and a huge open second bedroom with full bath on 2nd floor. Great weekend getaway! Fireplace in great room and furniture included. Hurry, utilities working!
-
2024-08-05$104,900 Active
-
2024-07-29historical
-
2024-07-29historical
-
2024-06-30$85,000 Active
-
2024-06-30$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,194 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$654/yr (+$55/mo · 121.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$539
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,042
- − Management
- −$1,042
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$411
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$99
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oscoda Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2626970
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,275
- Composite
- 28.6/100
- National rank
- #6714
- State rank
- #313 of 540 in MI
Livability — Oscoda
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #641
- US rank
- #21680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,281
Population outlook (Iosco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,366 people
- By 2030
- 23,622 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 22,021 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 20,877 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 18,792 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 15,465 · -36.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Iosco
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.6) · D 34.0% · R 64.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -30.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.6 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.75%
- Current HPI
- 157.6759
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+52.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-09-09 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-06 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-06 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-06 Sold (MLS) $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-09-06 Sold (MLS) $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-09-05 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-05 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-06 Listed $104,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-05 Listed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-06-30 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-30 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $539 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…