852 E Grangeville Blvd #2 · Hanford, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 49 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 50 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If You Are Looking for Peaceful, Enter This Forest Respite! 3BR 2BA Manufactured Home in Great Condition! Brand New Wall Oven & Gas Cooktop! Brand New Flooring Throughout! Move-in Ready! Washer & Dryer Included! HVAC & Gas Water Heater Have Just Been Serviced! Close to Park Entrance, Pool & Clubhouse!
Key facts
- New gas cooktop
- Dual-pane windows
- Hvac unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No solar
- HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse; RV/boat storage; Lake/pond
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electric service on; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home (Viking Pinedale); Park space rented
- Construction: Metal siding; Composition roof; Wood subfloor foundation
- Exterior features: Single-level; Covered patio; Deck; Shed(s); Urban setting; Private pool (fenced, in-ground, community access)
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range/oven; Gas and electric appliances; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located in isolated areas
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms; Tub/shower and separate shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling
- Interior features: Isolated bedroom; Isolated bathroom; Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry in utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
- Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hanford High (1,549 students, 80% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 434 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.95%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $128,160
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852 E Grangeville Blvd #17 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $90 | 92 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #80 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $90 | 83 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #1 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 15mo | $99,000 | $69 | 78 |
| 860 E Grangeville, Space 85 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 16mo | $60,000 | $42 | 77 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #153 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $89 | 76 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #67 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $90 | 74 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #11 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $78 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $24,011
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $77,266
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93230
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 434
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,978 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $699
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $785 | -5% $742 | +0% $699 | +5% $655 | +10% $612 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $542 | -5% $620 | +0% $699 | +5% $777 | +10% $855 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $762 | -0.5pp $730 | base $699 | +0.5pp $666 | +1.0pp $633 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1823 N 10th Ave Unit 1819 Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1819 N 10th Ave Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| SAND CYN Outside Area (Inside Ca), CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 949 | $2,809 | $2.96 | 14d | 3 | 0.34mi |
| 2144 Beechwood Ct Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2337 N 10th Ave Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,795 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2403 Cherrywood Ct Hanford, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $2,450 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 140 W Terrace Dr Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $1,995 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1373 Van Ct Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 630 Neville St Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1399 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1920 N 11th Ave Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 345 Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $2,400 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $125,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $126,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $126,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $126,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $126,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $126,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $126,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $126,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $126,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $126,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $126,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $126,000
-
2026-05-01price $127,000
-
2026-01-14price $128,900
-
2025-11-12$130,000 Active
-
2025-08-15$130,000 Active
-
2021-11-22soldstatus $90,000 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
If You Are Looking for Peaceful, Enter This Forest Respite! 3BR 2BA Manufactured Home in Great Condition! Brand New Wall Oven & Gas Cooktop! Brand New Flooring Throughout! Move-in Ready! Washer & Dryer Included! HVAC & Gas Water Heater Have Just Been Serviced! Close to Park Entrance, Pool & Clubhouse!
-
2021-11-15$92,000 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
If You Are Looking for Peaceful, Enter This Forest Respite! 3BR 2BA Manufactured Home in Great Condition! Brand New Wall Oven & Gas Cooktop! Brand New Flooring Throughout! Move-in Ready! Washer & Dryer Included! HVAC & Gas Water Heater Have Just Been Serviced! Close to Park Entrance, Pool & Clubhouse!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 49 unhealthy d/yr today · 50 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,899
- − Management
- −$1,899
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $6,798
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,631
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanford Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616500
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,265
- Composite
- 35.8/100
- National rank
- #9626
- State rank
- #765 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Hanford
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #4255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hanford, CA
- County
- Kings County · 107,655 people
- City population
- 69,684
- Metro
- Hanford-Corcoran, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,684
- Household income
- $76,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2081.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 147,136 people
- By 2030
- 145,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 146,017 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 145,239 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 131,479 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 103,967 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.4% · R 60.4% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+12.2 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -267.79%
- Current HPI
- 321.3409
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.87%
- Metro
- Hanford-Corcoran, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+37.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $126,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $127,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $128,900 FRESNOMLS
- 2025-11-12 Listed $130,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $130,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2021-11-22 Sold (MLS) $90,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2021-11-15 Listed $92,000 FRESNOMLS
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $168 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…