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852 E Grangeville Blvd #2
B Composite 71.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

852 E Grangeville Blvd #2 · Hanford, CA 93230
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 221 Days on market
Built 1972 Est $128k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If You Are Looking for Peaceful, Enter This Forest Respite! 3BR 2BA Manufactured Home in Great Condition! Brand New Wall Oven & Gas Cooktop! Brand New Flooring Throughout! Move-in Ready! Washer & Dryer Included! HVAC & Gas Water Heater Have Just Been Serviced! Close to Park Entrance, Pool & Clubhouse!

Key facts

  • New gas cooktop
  • Dual-pane windows
  • Hvac unit

Tags

NEW GAS COOKTOPDUAL-PANE WINDOWSHVAC UNITTANKLESS WATER HEATERBRAND NEW EXTERIOR PAINTNEW TOILET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No solar
  • HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse; RV/boat storage; Lake/pond

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Electric service on; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Viking Pinedale); Park space rented
  • Construction: Metal siding; Composition roof; Wood subfloor foundation
  • Exterior features: Single-level; Covered patio; Deck; Shed(s); Urban setting; Private pool (fenced, in-ground, community access)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range/oven; Gas and electric appliances; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located in isolated areas
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms; Tub/shower and separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Isolated bedroom; Isolated bathroom; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry in utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
  • Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hanford High (1,549 students, 80% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 434 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.00%
Cash-on-cash
23.95%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,160
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
852 E Grangeville Blvd #17 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 10mo $130,000 $90 92
860 E Grangeville Blvd #80 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 8mo $130,000 $90 83
860 E Grangeville Blvd #1 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 15mo $99,000 $69 78
860 E Grangeville, Space 85 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 16mo $60,000 $42 77
860 E Grangeville Blvd #153 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 9mo $120,000 $89 76
860 E Grangeville Blvd #67 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 12mo $130,000 $90 74
860 E Grangeville Blvd #11 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 6mo $105,000 $78 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$24,011
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$77,266
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93230

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
434
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,978 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$699

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $785 -5% $742 +0% $699 +5% $655 +10% $612
Rent -10% $542 -5% $620 +0% $699 +5% $777 +10% $855
Rate -1.0pp $762 -0.5pp $730 base $699 +0.5pp $666 +1.0pp $633

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1823 N 10th Ave Unit 1819 Hanford, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 14d 1 0.14mi
1819 N 10th Ave Hanford, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 14d 1 0.16mi
SAND CYN Outside Area (Inside Ca), CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 949 $2,809 $2.96 14d 3 0.34mi
2144 Beechwood Ct Hanford, CA 3.0 2.0 1466 $1,950 $1.33 14d 1 0.42mi
2337 N 10th Ave Hanford, CA 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,795 $1.44 14d 1 0.70mi
2403 Cherrywood Ct Hanford, CA 4.0 2.0 1311 $2,450 $1.87 14d 1 0.72mi
140 W Terrace Dr Hanford, CA 2.0 2.0 1664 $1,995 $1.20 22d 1 0.75mi
1373 Van Ct Hanford, CA 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,900 $1.54 22d 1 0.97mi
630 Neville St Hanford, CA 2.0 1.0 1399 $1,550 $1.11 22d 1 1.20mi
1920 N 11th Ave Hanford, CA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,650 $1.10 22d 1 1.20mi
345 Hanford, CA 3.0 2.0 1509 $2,400 $1.59 14d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 221 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 219 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 218 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 217 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 216 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 215 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 213 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $125,000 Active 212 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $126,000 Active 210 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $126,000 Active 209 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $126,000 Active 208 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $126,000 Active 207 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $126,000 Active 204 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $126,000 Active 203 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $126,000 Active 202 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $126,000 Active 201 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $126,000 Active 200 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $126,000 Active 199 DOM
  19. 2026-05-18
    price $126,000
  20. 2026-05-01
    price $127,000
  21. 2026-01-14
    price $128,900
  22. 2025-11-12
    listed $130,000 Active
  23. 2025-08-15
    listed $130,000 Active
  24. 2021-11-22
    soldstatus $90,000 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    If You Are Looking for Peaceful, Enter This Forest Respite! 3BR 2BA Manufactured Home in Great Condition! Brand New Wall Oven & Gas Cooktop! Brand New Flooring Throughout! Move-in Ready! Washer & Dryer Included! HVAC & Gas Water Heater Have Just Been Serviced! Close to Park Entrance, Pool & Clubhouse!

  25. 2021-11-15
    listed $92,000 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    If You Are Looking for Peaceful, Enter This Forest Respite! 3BR 2BA Manufactured Home in Great Condition! Brand New Wall Oven & Gas Cooktop! Brand New Flooring Throughout! Move-in Ready! Washer & Dryer Included! HVAC & Gas Water Heater Have Just Been Serviced! Close to Park Entrance, Pool & Clubhouse!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 49 unhealthy d/yr today · 50 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,733
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,899
− Management
−$1,899
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$6,798
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,631
After-tax cash flow
$6,752/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hanford Joint Union High
NCES district ID
0616500
Math proficiency
20% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$47,265
Composite
35.8/100
National rank
#9626
State rank
#765 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Hanford

Score
75/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#4255

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hanford, CA
County
Kings County · 107,655 people
City population
69,684
Metro
Hanford-Corcoran, CA
Population (ZIP)
69,684
Household income
$76,023
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
2081.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
147,136 people
By 2030
145,623 · -1.0%
By 2040
146,017 · -0.8%
By 2050
145,239 · -1.3%
By 2075
131,479 · -10.6%
By 2100
103,967 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49%
Common ancestry
Russian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.4% · R 60.4% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+12.2 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+14.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -267.79%
Current HPI
321.3409
Rent YoY
▲ 2.87%
Metro
Hanford-Corcoran, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $126,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $127,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $128,900 FRESNOMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $130,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $130,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-11-22 Sold (MLS) $90,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-11-15 Listed $92,000 FRESNOMLS

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $168 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…