891B INVERNESS Ct Unit B · Leisure Village East, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 891 Inverness Court, Unit B -- the Eton model located in the desirable Leisure Village East, a gated 55+ community offering true resort-style living. This bright and sunny 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features an open-concept living and dining area, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy additional living space in the enclosed porch -- ideal for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. Residents enjoy a wide range of amenities including a saltwater pool for ultimate relaxation, an active clubhouse with social events, a fitness center (minimal fee), a 9-hole golf course, scenic lake views, and a library. Conveniently located with easy access to the Garden State Parkway and Route 70, as well as nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss the o
Key facts
- Gated community
- Active clubhouse
- Fitness center
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lead paint form: Yes
- HOA & community: Monthly maintenance fee of $312; Leisure Village East community
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 1 car; Other parking (see remarks)
- Security: Community security
- Utilities: Electric power
- Home design: Condo/Co-op (unit in Leisure Village East)
- Construction: Exterior finished with aluminum/vinyl and brick
- Exterior features: Aluminum/vinyl and brick exterior; Community amenities include community room, exercise room/health club, pool, and security; Pets not allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (Level 1)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Washer and Dryer; Electric oven/range; Central A/C
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($950/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.5% in Leisure Village East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#518 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing B+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 419 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.34%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,136
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -9.45%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 944F Aberdeen Dr | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 4mo | $127,500 | $192 | 92 |
| 949 Aberdeen Dr Unit B | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 10mo | $135,200 | $204 | 89 |
| 885A Inverness Ct | 0.08mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 11mo | $158,000 | $238 | 87 |
| 1019A Aberdeen Dr | 0.26mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $219 | 85 |
| 1034 Aberdeen Dr Unit E | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $255 | 77 |
| 1175D Clydebank Ct Unit D | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 0mo | $117,500 | $177 | 72 |
| 1118A Argyll Cir | 0.29mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $234 | 72 |
| 873C Balmoral Ct | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $226 | 71 |
| 1244D Hamilton Ct | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 12mo | $162,000 | $244 | 69 |
| 875C Balmoral Ct | 0.38mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 18mo | $143,000 | $216 | 67 |
| 1175C Clydebank Ct | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 6mo | $102,500 | $155 | 67 |
| 1257B Argyll Cir | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 | 663 (0%) | 19mo | $150,000 | $226 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-18,234
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-8,495
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 419
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,764 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$312
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $79
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $312 · $3,744/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgymsecurity
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$145,000 Active 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Welcome to 891 Inverness Court, Unit B -- the Eton model located in the desirable Leisure Village East, a gated 55+ community offering true resort-style living. This bright and sunny 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features an open-concept living and dining area, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy additional living space in the enclosed porch -- ideal for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. Residents enjoy a wide range of amenities including a saltwater pool for ultimate relaxation, an active clubhouse with social events, a fitness center (minimal fee), a 9-hole golf course, scenic lake views, and a library. Conveniently located with easy access to the Garden State Parkway and Route 70, as well as nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss the o
-
2026-05-01$145,000 Active 884-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Welcome to 891 Inverness Court, Unit B -- the Eton model located in the desirable Leisure Village East, a gated 55+ community offering true resort-style living. This bright and sunny 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features an open-concept living and dining area, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy additional living space in the enclosed porch -- ideal for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. Residents enjoy a wide range of amenities including a saltwater pool for ultimate relaxation, an active clubhouse with social events, a fitness center (minimal fee), a 9-hole golf course, scenic lake views, and a library. Conveniently located with easy access to the Garden State Parkway and Route 70, as well as nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss the o
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,163
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,693
- − Management
- −$1,693
- − HOA
- −$3,744
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,207
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$290
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1-bedroom townhouse in Leisure Village East is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Appliances — Dated and possibly non-functional
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Dated and possibly non-functional
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace linoleum flooring — New flooring improves aesthetics
- Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances attract more buyers
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Appliances · Dated and possibly non-functional | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated and possibly non-functional | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace linoleum flooring — New flooring improves aesthetics ↑
- Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances attract more buyers ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village East
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #518
- US rank
- #22166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village East, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 439,426 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5757.0
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $145,000 HCMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $145,000 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…