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891B INVERNESS Ct Unit B
C- Composite 51.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

891B INVERNESS Ct Unit B · Leisure Village East, NJ 08701
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 663 sqft · SingleFamily · 48 Days on market
Good condition $219/sqft · 9% below area Est $160k · 9% under $312/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 891 Inverness Court, Unit B -- the Eton model located in the desirable Leisure Village East, a gated 55+ community offering true resort-style living. This bright and sunny 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features an open-concept living and dining area, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy additional living space in the enclosed porch -- ideal for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. Residents enjoy a wide range of amenities including a saltwater pool for ultimate relaxation, an active clubhouse with social events, a fitness center (minimal fee), a 9-hole golf course, scenic lake views, and a library. Conveniently located with easy access to the Garden State Parkway and Route 70, as well as nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss the o

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Active clubhouse
  • Fitness center

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYSALTWATER POOLACTIVE CLUBHOUSEFITNESS CENTER9-HOLE GOLF COURSESCENIC LAKE VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lead paint form: Yes
  • HOA & community: Monthly maintenance fee of $312; Leisure Village East community

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking for 1 car; Other parking (see remarks)
  • Security: Community security
  • Utilities: Electric power
  • Home design: Condo/Co-op (unit in Leisure Village East)
  • Construction: Exterior finished with aluminum/vinyl and brick
  • Exterior features: Aluminum/vinyl and brick exterior; Community amenities include community room, exercise room/health club, pool, and security; Pets not allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (Level 1)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Washer and Dryer; Electric oven/range; Central A/C
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($950/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.5% in Leisure Village East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#518 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing B+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 419 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.34%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,136
List price
$145,000
Delta
-9.45%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
944F Aberdeen Dr 0.09mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 4mo $127,500 $192 92
949 Aberdeen Dr Unit B 0.06mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 10mo $135,200 $204 89
885A Inverness Ct 0.08mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 11mo $158,000 $238 87
1019A Aberdeen Dr 0.26mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 4mo $145,000 $219 85
1034 Aberdeen Dr Unit E 0.35mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 8mo $169,000 $255 77
1175D Clydebank Ct Unit D 0.60mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 0mo $117,500 $177 72
1118A Argyll Cir 0.29mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 18mo $155,000 $234 72
873C Balmoral Ct 0.35mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 15mo $150,000 $226 71
1244D Hamilton Ct 0.46mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 12mo $162,000 $244 69
875C Balmoral Ct 0.38mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 18mo $143,000 $216 67
1175C Clydebank Ct 0.59mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 6mo $102,500 $155 67
1257B Argyll Cir 0.53mi 1/1.0 663 (0%) 19mo $150,000 $226 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-18,234
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-8,495
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08701

Active inventory
419
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,764 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$312
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,663
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ 1.0 1.0 663 $1,600 $2.41 25d 1 0.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$312 · $3,744/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgymsecurity

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    listed $145,000 Active 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Welcome to 891 Inverness Court, Unit B -- the Eton model located in the desirable Leisure Village East, a gated 55+ community offering true resort-style living. This bright and sunny 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features an open-concept living and dining area, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy additional living space in the enclosed porch -- ideal for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. Residents enjoy a wide range of amenities including a saltwater pool for ultimate relaxation, an active clubhouse with social events, a fitness center (minimal fee), a 9-hole golf course, scenic lake views, and a library. Conveniently located with easy access to the Garden State Parkway and Route 70, as well as nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss the o

  16. 2026-05-01
    listed $145,000 Active 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Welcome to 891 Inverness Court, Unit B -- the Eton model located in the desirable Leisure Village East, a gated 55+ community offering true resort-style living. This bright and sunny 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features an open-concept living and dining area, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy additional living space in the enclosed porch -- ideal for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. Residents enjoy a wide range of amenities including a saltwater pool for ultimate relaxation, an active clubhouse with social events, a fitness center (minimal fee), a 9-hole golf course, scenic lake views, and a library. Conveniently located with easy access to the Garden State Parkway and Route 70, as well as nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss the o

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,163
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,693
− Management
−$1,693
− HOA
−$3,744
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$290
After-tax cash flow
$1,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 1-bedroom townhouse in Leisure Village East is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Appliances — Dated and possibly non-functional
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — Dated and possibly non-functional

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace linoleum flooring — New flooring improves aesthetics
  • Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances attract more buyers
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Appliances · Dated and possibly non-functional Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated and possibly non-functional Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace linoleum flooring — New flooring improves aesthetics
  • Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances attract more buyers
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakewood Township School District
NCES district ID
3408220
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,301
Composite
19.21/100
National rank
#8813
State rank
#417 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Leisure Village East

Score
57/100
State rank
#518
US rank
#22166

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leisure Village East, NJ
County
Ocean County · 439,426 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
139,149
Household income
$64,959
Rent vs Own
48.5% rent · 51.5% own
Severe rent burden
5757.0

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -682.83%
Current HPI
465.344
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $145,000 HCMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $145,000 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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