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🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 49.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$495,000

8533 Amadwe Unit A/b St · Houston, TX 77051
6 bd · 5.0 ba · 2,840 sqft · MultiFamily · 42 Days on market
Built 2025 4,400 sqft lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Stunning New Construction Duplex offering modern design and functionality. Each unit features 3 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and an open-concept layout with 10’ ceilings. Gourmet kitchens include quartz countertops, tile backsplash, large islands with breakfast areas, stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and walk-in pantry. Seller willing to offer refrigerator, washer & dryer. Enjoy luxury vinyl plank and tile flooring throughout. Additional highlights: mud bench at entry, study nook/work space, and an attached garage. Upstairs, primary suites feature en-suite baths with double sinks and frameless glass showers; secondary baths also offer dual vanities. Property is fenc

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Large islands
  • Gourmet kitchens

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTION DUPLEXOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTGOURMET KITCHENSQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHLARGE ISLANDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $495,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $519,720.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $495k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-42/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $444k (10.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $444k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bastian El (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 648 students, 99% FRL); Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,439/mo this rent would consume 142% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$89k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($480k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $443,900 (10.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$519,720
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8107 Calhoun Rd 0.25mi 6/6.0 2,608 (-8%) 2mo $534,000 $205 69
4614 Galesburg St Unit A/B 0.19mi 6/2.0 3,140 (+11%) 17mo $539,000 $172 48
3902 Mckinley A/b 0.66mi 6/3.0 2,571 (-10%) 12mo $469,999 $183 35
4101 Stassen St Unit A-B 0.60mi 6/2.0 2,500 (-12%) 14mo $459,900 $184 28
3833 Mckinley St 0.70mi 6/4.0 3,240 (+14%) 17mo $479,500 $148 25
8449 Jutland Rd Unit A/B 0.59mi 6/2.0 3,189 (+12%) 20mo $548,800 $172 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$285,760
Equity at exit
$468,205
10-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
6.93×
Total profit
$863,442
Equity at exit
$1,009,702

Cash invested: $145,522 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77051

Home prices YoY
9.7%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
321
Price-to-rent
18.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,439 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,725
Tax est. 1.5%
$650 /mo · $7,796/yr
Insurance
$217
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$932
Net cashflow
$-85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,546
Max offer price $507,441
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $274 -5% $95 +0% $-85 +5% $-264 +10% $-444
Rent -10% $-436 -5% $-260 +0% $-85 +5% $90 +10% $266
Rate -1.0pp $177 -0.5pp $47 base $-85 +0.5pp $-220 +1.0pp $-357

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,439

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$129,930
Closing costs
$15,592
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-04
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-21
    price $495,000
  4. 2026-02-25
    listed $525,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$53,268
− Mortgage interest
−$29,112
− Property taxes
−$7,796
− Insurance
−$2,599
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,261
− Management
−$4,261
− Depreciation
−$15,119
Taxable loss
−$9,881
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,371
After-tax cash flow
$1,353/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,795
Household income
$37,415
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
1446.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.02%
Current HPI
180.4283
Rent YoY
▲ 4.77%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $495,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $525,000 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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