8533 Amadwe Unit A/b St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$495,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Stunning New Construction Duplex offering modern design and functionality. Each unit features 3 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and an open-concept layout with 10’ ceilings. Gourmet kitchens include quartz countertops, tile backsplash, large islands with breakfast areas, stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and walk-in pantry. Seller willing to offer refrigerator, washer & dryer. Enjoy luxury vinyl plank and tile flooring throughout. Additional highlights: mud bench at entry, study nook/work space, and an attached garage. Upstairs, primary suites feature en-suite baths with double sinks and frameless glass showers; secondary baths also offer dual vanities. Property is fenc
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Large islands
- Gourmet kitchens
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $495k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-42/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $444k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $444k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bastian El (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 648 students, 99% FRL); Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,439/mo this rent would consume 142% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$89k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($480k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.70%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $519,720
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8107 Calhoun Rd | 0.25mi | 6/6.0 | 2,608 (-8%) | 2mo | $534,000 | $205 | 69 |
| 4614 Galesburg St Unit A/B | 0.19mi | 6/2.0 | 3,140 (+11%) | 17mo | $539,000 | $172 | 48 |
| 3902 Mckinley A/b | 0.66mi | 6/3.0 | 2,571 (-10%) | 12mo | $469,999 | $183 | 35 |
| 4101 Stassen St Unit A-B | 0.60mi | 6/2.0 | 2,500 (-12%) | 14mo | $459,900 | $184 | 28 |
| 3833 Mckinley St | 0.70mi | 6/4.0 | 3,240 (+14%) | 17mo | $479,500 | $148 | 25 |
| 8449 Jutland Rd Unit A/B | 0.59mi | 6/2.0 | 3,189 (+12%) | 20mo | $548,800 | $172 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $285,760
- Equity at exit
- $468,205
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.93×
- Total profit
- $863,442
- Equity at exit
- $1,009,702
Cash invested: $145,522 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77051
- Home prices YoY
- 9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 18.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,439 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,725
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$650 /mo · $7,796/yr
- Insurance
- −$217
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$932
- Net cashflow
- $-85
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $95 | +0% $-85 | +5% $-264 | +10% $-444 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-436 | -5% $-260 | +0% $-85 | +5% $90 | +10% $266 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $177 | -0.5pp $47 | base $-85 | +0.5pp $-220 | +1.0pp $-357 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2.5 | $4,440 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.5 | $2,220 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.5 | $2,220 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,439 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $129,930
- Closing costs
- $15,592
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-04-04status Pending
-
2026-03-21price $495,000
-
2026-02-25$525,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,268
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,112
- − Property taxes
- −$7,796
- − Insurance
- −$2,599
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,261
- − Management
- −$4,261
- − Depreciation
- −$15,119
- Taxable loss
- −$9,881
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,371
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,353/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,795
- Household income
- $37,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1446.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.02%
- Current HPI
- 180.4283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.77%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-5.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $495,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $525,000 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…