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1163 Kirkwall Dr
D Composite 41.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

1163 Kirkwall Dr · Fort Worth, TX 76134
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,199 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1964 8,407 sqft lot Est $218k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this charming and well-maintained gem nestled in an established Fort Worth neighborhood! This solid 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom pier and beam home offers the perfect blend of classic character and modern updates, truly move-in ready from day one. Step inside and you'll immediately notice the fresh, new paint throughout that gives the home a bright, clean feel, complemented by newer carpet and flooring that add warmth and style to every room. The updated bathrooms provide a polished, modern touch while maintaining the home's timeless appeal. With 1,199 square feet of well-utilized living space, the layout is comfortable and functional, ideal for families, first-time buyers, or inve

Key facts

  • 8,407 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1964

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot under 0.5 acre (approx. 0.193 acres); Parcel number available
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Driveway
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Master gas meter; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Built in 1964; Not attached to another property; Subdivision: Highland Hills West Add; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Year built: 1964
  • Exterior features: Attached grill; Deck; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Level 1) — approx. 12 x 10
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Pantry; Two living areas; One dining area; Accessible full bath
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($838/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harlean Beal El (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 322 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 73% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,261 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.36%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,218
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5656 Conroy St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,168 (-3%) 1mo $210,000 $180 85
1300 Limerick Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,235 (+3%) 2mo $225,000 $182 81
5416 Whitten St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,178 (-2%) 11mo $185,000 $157 78
5633 Conroy St 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,072 (-11%) 5mo $215,000 $201 73
1101 Glasgow Rd 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,087 (-9%) 3mo $175,000 $161 71
1409 Cloverdale Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,215 (+1%) 6mo $244,000 $201 68
5544 De Cory Rd 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,118 (-7%) 10mo $159,500 $143 66
5341 Hensley Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,112 (-7%) 4mo $210,000 $189 66
1208 Savage Dr 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,115 (-7%) 13mo $185,000 $166 62
1171 Dublin Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,376 (+15%) 12mo $250,000 $182 62
5509 Cloverdale Dr 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,137 (-5%) 9mo $230,000 $202 56
1561 Milmo Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,102 (-8%) 1mo $145,000 $132 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-32,557
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-28,107
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76134

Home prices YoY
-6.9%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,903 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,254/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,814
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $194 -5% $132 +0% $70 +5% $8 +10% $-55
Rent -10% $-80 -5% $-5 +0% $70 +5% $145 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $181 -0.5pp $126 base $70 +0.5pp $13 +1.0pp $-45

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5345 Hensley Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1053 $1,700 $1.61 26d 1 0.28mi
5500 Oak Grove Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,750 $1.45 46d 1 0.44mi
6608 South Fwy Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1047 $1,495 $1.43 4d 8 1.07mi
4709 Fair Park Blvd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,795 $1.57 26d 1 1.18mi
105 DuPont Cir Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,850 $1.50 7d 1 1.28mi
1200 E Seminary Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,625 $1.76 17d 7 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $220,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,254 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,026 · $336/mo
Expected delta
+$1,772/yr (+$148/mo · 78.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,831
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$2,254
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,827
− Management
−$1,827
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$2,899
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$696
After-tax cash flow
$1,534/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Worth ISD
NCES district ID
4819700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,109
Composite
19.61/100
National rank
#8753
State rank
#742 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,949
Household income
$70,945
Rent vs Own
40.2% rent · 59.8% own
Severe rent burden
1539.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% Black 31% Two or more races 21% White 19% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 31% Vietnamese 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.91%
Current HPI
323.2306
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $220,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,254 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…