1163 Kirkwall Dr · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this charming and well-maintained gem nestled in an established Fort Worth neighborhood! This solid 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom pier and beam home offers the perfect blend of classic character and modern updates, truly move-in ready from day one. Step inside and you'll immediately notice the fresh, new paint throughout that gives the home a bright, clean feel, complemented by newer carpet and flooring that add warmth and style to every room. The updated bathrooms provide a polished, modern touch while maintaining the home's timeless appeal. With 1,199 square feet of well-utilized living space, the layout is comfortable and functional, ideal for families, first-time buyers, or inve
Key facts
- 8,407 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1964
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot under 0.5 acre (approx. 0.193 acres); Parcel number available
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Driveway
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Master gas meter; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Built in 1964; Not attached to another property; Subdivision: Highland Hills West Add; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Year built: 1964
- Exterior features: Attached grill; Deck; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Level 1) — approx. 12 x 10
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Pantry; Two living areas; One dining area; Accessible full bath
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($838/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (13.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harlean Beal El (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 322 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 73% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.36%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,218
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5656 Conroy St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,168 (-3%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $180 | 85 |
| 1300 Limerick Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,235 (+3%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $182 | 81 |
| 5416 Whitten St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (-2%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $157 | 78 |
| 5633 Conroy St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,072 (-11%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $201 | 73 |
| 1101 Glasgow Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,087 (-9%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $161 | 71 |
| 1409 Cloverdale Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (+1%) | 6mo | $244,000 | $201 | 68 |
| 5544 De Cory Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,118 (-7%) | 10mo | $159,500 | $143 | 66 |
| 5341 Hensley Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (-7%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $189 | 66 |
| 1208 Savage Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,115 (-7%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $166 | 62 |
| 1171 Dublin Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (+15%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $182 | 62 |
| 5509 Cloverdale Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,137 (-5%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $202 | 56 |
| 1561 Milmo Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (-8%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $132 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-32,557
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-28,107
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76134
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,903 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,254/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $70
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $194 | -5% $132 | +0% $70 | +5% $8 | +10% $-55 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-80 | -5% $-5 | +0% $70 | +5% $145 | +10% $220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $181 | -0.5pp $126 | base $70 | +0.5pp $13 | +1.0pp $-45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5345 Hensley Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,700 | $1.61 | 26d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5500 Oak Grove Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,750 | $1.45 | 46d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6608 South Fwy Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1047 | $1,495 | $1.43 | 4d | 8 | 1.07mi |
| 4709 Fair Park Blvd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,795 | $1.57 | 26d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 105 DuPont Cir Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1200 E Seminary Dr Fort Worth, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,625 | $1.76 | 17d | 7 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$220,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,254 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,026 · $336/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,772/yr (+$148/mo · 78.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,831
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$2,254
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,827
- − Management
- −$1,827
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$2,899
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$696
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,534/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Worth ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,109
- Composite
- 19.61/100
- National rank
- #8753
- State rank
- #742 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,949
- Household income
- $70,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1539.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% Black 31% Two or more races 21% White 19% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 31% Vietnamese 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.91%
- Current HPI
- 323.2306
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $220,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,254 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…