107 Scotland Dr · Athens, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice brick "fixer-upper" home with large backyard...3 bedroom, 1 1/2 baths, living room, kitchen/dining room/family room combo...attached laundry room with entrance from inside and outside. Sliding glass doors open to the patio. Nice carport...lot has trees...convenient location...located off Hwy 31 S. Please check it out ... call for private showing
Key facts
- Flexible space
- Open layout
- Outdoor space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.6% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Athens City (town): math 27% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 129 in AL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Athens Middle School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #121 of 257 statewide, top 50%, 958 students, 59% FRL); Athens High School (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #56 of 305 statewide, top 18%, 1,173 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $150k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.64%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,046
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Welch Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,085 (-2%) | 13mo | $193,000 | $178 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-9,922
- Equity at exit
- $22,291
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,616
- Equity at exit
- $12,926
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35611
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 546
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,504 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $904/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 Congress Dr Athens, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,690 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 340 French Farms Blvd Athens, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $1,330 | $1.46 | 14d | 137 | 0.69mi |
| 19254 Autumn Falls Way Athens, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,239 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19254 Autumn Falls Way Athens, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,469 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 710 S Clinton St Athens, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1056 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 14d | 6 | 1.33mi |
| 16305 Athens-Limestone Blvd Athens, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 14d | 18 | 1.46mi |
| 100 Henry Dr Athens, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,249 | $1.16 | 14d | 4 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-02-27$149,500 Active
-
2026-02-23historical $1,295
-
2026-01-09$1,295
-
2024-10-06historical $1,195
-
2024-09-26price $1,195
-
2024-09-05price $1,295
-
2024-08-29price $1,395
-
2024-08-21$1,435
-
2022-11-20historical
-
2019-02-04soldstatus $57,000
-
2018-07-02soldstatus $93,000
-
2016-10-13soldstatus $42,500 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Nice brick "fixer-upper" home with large backyard...3 bedroom, 1 1/2 baths, living room, kitchen/dining room/family room combo...attached laundry room with entrance from inside and outside. Sliding glass doors open to the patio. Nice carport...lot has trees...convenient location...located off Hwy 31 S. Please check it out ... call for private showing
-
2016-07-15$52,000 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Nice brick "fixer-upper" home with large backyard...3 bedroom, 1 1/2 baths, living room, kitchen/dining room/family room combo...attached laundry room with entrance from inside and outside. Sliding glass doors open to the patio. Nice carport...lot has trees...convenient location...located off Hwy 31 S. Please check it out ... call for private showing
-
2009-11-24soldstatus $37,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $904 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $904 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$904
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,444
- − Management
- −$1,444
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable income
- $787
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$189
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,011/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens City
- NCES district ID
- 0100120
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,479
- Composite
- 33.14/100
- National rank
- #5555
- State rank
- #29 of 129 in AL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens, AL
- County
- Limestone County · 80,439 people
- City population
- 55,492
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,969
- Household income
- $57,377
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 811.0
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.98%
- Current HPI
- 185.0264
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+293.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $149,500 VMLS
- 2026-02-23 Rental Removed $1,295 TENANTTURNER2
- 2026-01-09 Listed for Rent $1,295 TENANTTURNER2
- 2024-10-06 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-26 Price Changed $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-05 Price Changed $1,295 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-29 Price Changed $1,395 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-21 Listed for Rent $1,435 APPFOLIO
- 2022-11-20 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2019-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-13 Sold (MLS) $42,500 VMLS
- 2016-07-15 Listed $52,000 VMLS
- 2009-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $37,950 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $904 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…