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421 Cushing Rd
D Composite 40.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.2/10.0
  • Schools +6.8/10.0
  • Cash flow +2.6/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$350,000

421 Cushing Rd · Cushing, ME 04563
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 0 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 259 Days on market
Built 2006 4.50 ac lot Est $486k · 28% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

Key facts

  • Finished basement
  • Tiled floor
  • High ceilings

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTHARDWOOD FLOORSHIGH CEILINGSSKYLIGHTFINISHED BASEMENTTILED FLOOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (60.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (64.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (64.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • RSU 13 (town): math 77% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #84 of 112 in ME (top 75%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Cushing Community School (math 90% / reading 90%, grade A+, #42 of 294 statewide, top 17%, 72 students, 47% FRL); Oceanside Middle School (math 74% / reading 86%, grade A+, #59 of 85 statewide, top 71%, 349 students, 52% FRL); Oceanside High School (math 82% / reading 87%, grade A, #75 of 108 statewide, top 83%, 525 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 160 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (58 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
  • Knox County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,318 (64.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 64% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.36%
Cap rate
2.18%
Cash-on-cash
-14.70%
DSCR
0.35
GRM
23.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$486,310
List price
$350,000
Delta
-28.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

6.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$31,403
Equity at exit
$227,416
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$150,306
Equity at exit
$418,944

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04563

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
23.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,514/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$-1,201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,773
Max offer price $137,881
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,003 -5% $-1,102 +0% $-1,201 +5% $-1,300 +10% $-1,399
Rent -10% $-1,300 -5% $-1,250 +0% $-1,201 +5% $-1,151 +10% $-1,102
Rate -1.0pp $-1,024 -0.5pp $-1,112 base $-1,201 +0.5pp $-1,291 +1.0pp $-1,384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $350,000 Pending 259 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 259 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 258 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 257 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 255 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 252 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 251 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 250 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 249 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $350,000 Active Under Contract 245 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    status $350,000 Active Under Contract 244 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $350,000 Active 244 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $350,000 Active 243 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Active 242 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Active 241 DOM
  16. 2026-04-07
    status Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

  17. 2026-01-13
    historical 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

  18. 2025-09-24
    price $360,000 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

  19. 2025-08-22
    price $370,000 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

  20. 2025-08-22
    status Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

  21. 2025-08-14
    historical Active Under Contract 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

  22. 2025-07-22
    status Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

  23. 2025-07-14
    historical Active Under Contract 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

  24. 2025-07-10
    listed $375,000 Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Spacious, Private, and Move-In Ready! Tucked into a peaceful, wooded setting, this home offers over 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open-concept layout with beautiful hardwood floors. Enjoy a kitchen and living area with high ceilings and skylight that let the sun pour in. The finished basement adds extra versatility, with a tiled floor, built-in bar, and a sliding door that leads to the backyard. Perfect for friend and family gatherings, Additional features include a 2-car garage tucked neatly under the house and plenty of room to spread out on this 4.5 acre lot. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a quiet summer retreat, this property is worth a look. Septic pumped in July, leach field updated and repaired in August.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,514 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,637 · $303/mo
Expected delta
+$1,123/yr (+$94/mo · 44.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,038
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$2,514
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$21,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,141
After-tax cash flow
$-9,269/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
RSU 13
NCES district ID
2314787
Math proficiency
77% ▲ 51.00%
Reading proficiency
85% ▲ 36.00%
Median HH income
$43,177
Composite
67.81/100
National rank
#363
State rank
#84 of 112 in ME

Livability — Cushing

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,407

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,304 people
By 2030
38,497 · -2.1%
By 2040
36,090 · -8.2%
By 2050
33,681 · -14.3%
By 2075
29,934 · -23.8%
By 2100
24,633 · -37.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 4% Russian 4%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
D (+18.6) · D 58.2% · R 39.6% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 18.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.6 2020: D+19.9 2016: D+14.3 2012: D+22.6 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.33%
Current HPI
231.4232
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted MREIS
  • 2026-01-13 Delisted MREIS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $360,000 MREIS
  • 2025-08-22 Price Changed $370,000 MREIS
  • 2025-08-22 Relisted MREIS
  • 2025-08-14 Contingent MREIS
  • 2025-07-22 Relisted MREIS
  • 2025-07-14 Contingent MREIS
  • 2025-07-10 Listed $375,000 MREIS

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2018): $2,514 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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