2245 Taft St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home. If you are looking for a home that feels manageable, practical, and full of original charm, this classic 1924 ranch delivers. Natural light fills the main living area, highlighting hardwood floors and traditional trim details that give the home warmth and personality. The layout offers defined living and dining spaces that feel connected yet purposeful, creating room to relax, host friends, or set up a comfortable work from home area. The kitchen provides generous cabinet storage, functional counter space, and newer flooring built for everyday use. Its efficient footprint makes cooking and daily routines simple while still offering potential for future personalization. Both bedrooms featurehardwood flooring and comfortable proportions, giving flexibility for sleeping space, guests, or a home office setup. The full bathroom includes a tub and shower combination with updated flooring for durability and easy maintenance. This Michigan basement is dry and offers ceiling height suitable for someone approximately six feet tall, making it genuinely usable for storage, hobbies, tools, or organized seasonal space. That added functionality increases everyday convenience without increasing square footage above grade. The roof is approximately 14 years old, providing additional confidence in the home's overall upkeep. Outside, the large covered front porch creates an inviting entry and a space to enjoy fresh air, morning coffee, or quiet evenings. Newer front steps improve both accessibility and curb appeal. The long driveway provides ample off street parking, a practical benefit whether you have multiple vehicles, frequent guests or could just use the space. The 0.11 acre lot is easy to maintain while still offering room for outdoor seating, light gardening, or simple landscaping improvements. Located within Saginaw, the home offers convenient access to local parks, schools, shopping areas, and commuter routes throughout the city while also maximizing it's proximity to all that the Township has to offer. I
Key facts
- Full bathroom
- Hardwood floors
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas water heater; Public water
- Home design: Ranch-style single family residence; Single-story; Built in 1924; Living area approximately 885
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Composition roof; Built in 1924
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gravity heating
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full Michigan-style basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($924 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 8.2% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.17%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,650
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2515 Dow Pl | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 872 (-2%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $166 | 70 |
| 2524 N Carolina St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 845 (-4%) | 7mo | $78,000 | $92 | 69 |
| 1815 W Genesee | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 818 (-8%) | 1mo | $74,000 | $90 | 65 |
| 2105 Mershon St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (-7%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $146 | 65 |
| 2513 Barnard St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 966 (+9%) | 3mo | $41,000 | $42 | 63 |
| 2125 State St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 986 (+11%) | 4mo | $40,200 | $41 | 62 |
| 2312 Durand St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 849 (-4%) | 4mo | $24,750 | $29 | 60 |
| 2821 Cooper Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 917 (+4%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $104 | 59 |
| 1719 N Charles St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+8%) | 1mo | $37,000 | $39 | 56 |
| 1523 W Genesee St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+6%) | 3mo | $53,500 | $57 | 55 |
| 2250 Mershon St | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 1,005 (+14%) | 6mo | $104,000 | $103 | 51 |
| 1608 Congress Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 948 (+7%) | 3mo | $64,000 | $68 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $10,180
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $36,264
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $924 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,605/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $316 | -5% $300 | +0% $284 | +5% $269 | +10% $253 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $248 | +0% $284 | +5% $321 | +10% $357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $298 | base $284 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-02-26$60,000 Active
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Welcome home. If you are looking for a home that feels manageable, practical, and full of original charm, this classic 1924 ranch delivers. Natural light fills the main living area, highlighting hardwood floors and traditional trim details that give the home warmth and personality. The layout offers defined living and dining spaces that feel connected yet purposeful, creating room to relax, host friends, or set up a comfortable work from home area. The kitchen provides generous cabinet storage, functional counter space, and newer flooring built for everyday use. Its efficient footprint makes cooking and daily routines simple while still offering potential for future personalization. Both bedrooms feature
-
2026-02-26$60,000 Active 2044-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Welcome home. If you are looking for a home that feels manageable, practical, and full of original charm, this classic 1924 ranch delivers. Natural light fills the main living area, highlighting hardwood floors and traditional trim details that give the home warmth and personality. The layout offers defined living and dining spaces that feel connected yet purposeful, creating room to relax, host friends, or set up a comfortable work from home area. The kitchen provides generous cabinet storage, functional counter space, and newer flooring built for everyday use. Its efficient footprint makes cooking and daily routines simple while still offering potential for future personalization. Both bedrooms feature
-
2026-02-26$60,000 Active 713-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Welcome home. If you are looking for a home that feels manageable, practical, and full of original charm, this classic 1924 ranch delivers. Natural light fills the main living area, highlighting hardwood floors and traditional trim details that give the home warmth and personality. The layout offers defined living and dining spaces that feel connected yet purposeful, creating room to relax, host friends, or set up a comfortable work from home area. The kitchen provides generous cabinet storage, functional counter space, and newer flooring built for everyday use. Its efficient footprint makes cooking and daily routines simple while still offering potential for future personalization. Both bedrooms feature
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2022-06-28soldstatus $49,000
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2022-06-20soldstatus $49,000
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2022-06-20soldstatus $49,000
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2022-06-20$49,000
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2022-06-20$49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,605 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,605 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,605
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$887
- − Management
- −$887
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $2,748
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$660
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,754/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+22.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-26 Listed $60,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-20 Listed $49,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-06-20 Listed $49,000 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2022-06-20 Sold (MLS) $49,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-06-20 Sold (MLS) $49,000 Greater Lansing AoR
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,605 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…