14475 Alpha St · Greenwood, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$217,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautiful, recently remodeled, 3 bed, 2 bath, class c, ranch/rambler. This house is located in the heart of the peninsula, only a few hours away from major cities and less than an hour away from the Delaware beaches. As you walk into this impeccable home, you will find a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen w/ new appliances, a hallway restroom, a laundry room, and bedrooms. You will particularly love the spacious master suite, complete with an en suite bath. Seller has Class C letter and Class H septic inspection. Schedule your appointment today!
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- Built 1973
- Listed 40 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property assessed as being in good condition; Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade finished living area recorded by assessor
Exterior
- Parking: Dirt driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Well water; Gravity septic field; Electric service 200+ amps; Electric heating fuel; Electric hot water; Cable available; Electric available; No municipal trash service
- Home design: Manufactured home; East-facing main entrance
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation with crawl space; Permanent foundation; Shed on property; Building not winterized; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Chain-link fencing (partial, rear); Additional parcel included; Partly wooded lot; Rear yard; No-thru street; Road frontage; Rural setting; Dirt road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: 90% efficient forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Not furnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#14 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Woodbridge School District (rural): math 17% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #21 of 26 in DE (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.75%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $348,298
- List price
- $217,500
- Delta
- -37.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-21,141
- Equity at exit
- $38,081
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,750
- Equity at exit
- $28,658
Cash invested: $60,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19950
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,803 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,141
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $638/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $140
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,375
- Closing costs
- $6,525
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $217,500 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $217,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $217,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $217,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $217,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $217,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $217,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $217,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $217,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $217,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $217,500 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $217,500 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $217,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $217,500 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $217,500 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-09$217,500 Active 355-char remark
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2026-05-08historical $217,500 355-char remark
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2026-04-28historical
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2026-03-31price $229,900
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2026-01-16price $239,900
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2026-01-15price $229,900
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2026-01-15status Active
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2025-12-13historical Active Under Contract
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2025-11-29$249,900 Active
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2025-11-19historical
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2023-02-16soldstatus $175,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful, recently remodeled, 3 bed, 2 bath, class c, ranch/rambler. This house is located in the heart of the peninsula, only a few hours away from major cities and less than an hour away from the Delaware beaches. As you walk into this impeccable home, you will find a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen w/ new appliances, a hallway restroom, a laundry room, and bedrooms. You will particularly love the spacious master suite, complete with an en suite bath. Seller has Class C letter and Class H septic inspection. Schedule your appointment today!
-
2023-01-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful, recently remodeled, 3 bed, 2 bath, class c, ranch/rambler. This house is located in the heart of the peninsula, only a few hours away from major cities and less than an hour away from the Delaware beaches. As you walk into this impeccable home, you will find a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen w/ new appliances, a hallway restroom, a laundry room, and bedrooms. You will particularly love the spacious master suite, complete with an en suite bath. Seller has Class C letter and Class H septic inspection. Schedule your appointment today!
-
2022-12-29status Active
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful, recently remodeled, 3 bed, 2 bath, class c, ranch/rambler. This house is located in the heart of the peninsula, only a few hours away from major cities and less than an hour away from the Delaware beaches. As you walk into this impeccable home, you will find a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen w/ new appliances, a hallway restroom, a laundry room, and bedrooms. You will particularly love the spacious master suite, complete with an en suite bath. Seller has Class C letter and Class H septic inspection. Schedule your appointment today!
-
2022-12-28historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful, recently remodeled, 3 bed, 2 bath, class c, ranch/rambler. This house is located in the heart of the peninsula, only a few hours away from major cities and less than an hour away from the Delaware beaches. As you walk into this impeccable home, you will find a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen w/ new appliances, a hallway restroom, a laundry room, and bedrooms. You will particularly love the spacious master suite, complete with an en suite bath. Seller has Class C letter and Class H septic inspection. Schedule your appointment today!
-
2022-12-09status Pending
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful, recently remodeled, 3 bed, 2 bath, class c, ranch/rambler. This house is located in the heart of the peninsula, only a few hours away from major cities and less than an hour away from the Delaware beaches. As you walk into this impeccable home, you will find a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen w/ new appliances, a hallway restroom, a laundry room, and bedrooms. You will particularly love the spacious master suite, complete with an en suite bath. Seller has Class C letter and Class H septic inspection. Schedule your appointment today!
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2022-11-28$179,900 Active
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful, recently remodeled, 3 bed, 2 bath, class c, ranch/rambler. This house is located in the heart of the peninsula, only a few hours away from major cities and less than an hour away from the Delaware beaches. As you walk into this impeccable home, you will find a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen w/ new appliances, a hallway restroom, a laundry room, and bedrooms. You will particularly love the spacious master suite, complete with an en suite bath. Seller has Class C letter and Class H septic inspection. Schedule your appointment today!
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2016-10-04soldstatus $10,000
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2016-09-28soldstatus $10,000
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2015-06-15historical
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2015-04-20$12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $638 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $950 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$312/yr (+$26/mo · 48.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,183
- − Property taxes
- −$638
- − Insurance
- −$1,088
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,731
- − Management
- −$1,731
- − Depreciation
- −$6,327
- Taxable loss
- −$2,065
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$496
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodbridge School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001850
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,711
- Composite
- 22.28/100
- National rank
- #8137
- State rank
- #21 of 26 in DE
Livability — Greenwood
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #5920
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,822
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Hispanic 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.42%
- Current HPI
- 284.3
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+1712.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed $217,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Coming Soon $217,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $239,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-15 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-13 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-29 Listed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-19 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-02-16 Sold (MLS) $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-01-20 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-12-29 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-12-28 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-12-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-11-28 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-28 Sold (MLS) $10,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-06-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-04-20 Listed $12,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+34.7%/yrLatest (2025): $638 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…