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118 E Walnut St
B Composite 71.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

118 E Walnut St · Farmersville, OH 45325
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,436 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 148 Days on market
Built 1919 8,712 sqft lot $45/sqft · 67% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Farmersville home under 90K– Hard to find rehab in this quaint town, bring your tools and imagination and make this one yours! Over 1400 sq/ft of potential and possibilities, could be a 4bedrooms/2 bath home!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1919
  • Listed 148 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#275 in OH, #4,528 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Valley View Local (suburban): math 54% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #250 of 656 in OH (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $65k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
16.86%
Cash-on-cash
37.75%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$198,475
List price
$64,900
Delta
-67.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
53 Maple St 0.42mi 4/1.0 1,431 (-0%) 10mo $225,000 $157 68
40 Iris Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,388 (-3%) 6mo $211,000 $152 66
76 Meadowgate Ct 0.30mi 4/2.5 1,640 (+14%) 10mo $320,000 $195 52
54 Apple Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (+11%) 2mo $259,900 $163 52
57 Apple Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,276 (-11%) 6mo $191,000 $150 46
307 W Walnut St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,256 (-12%) 12mo $185,000 $147 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.8%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$25,994
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
40.8%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$69,921
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45325

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,449 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,470/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$572

Break-even live

Break-even rent $726
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $64,900 Pending 148 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $64,900 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 133 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-04-22
    price $69,900 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Farmersville home under 90K– Hard to find rehab in this quaint town, bring your tools and imagination and make this one yours! Over 1400 sq/ft of potential and possibilities, could be a 4bedrooms/2 bath home!

  14. 2026-03-23
    price $74,900 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Farmersville home under 90K– Hard to find rehab in this quaint town, bring your tools and imagination and make this one yours! Over 1400 sq/ft of potential and possibilities, could be a 4bedrooms/2 bath home!

  15. 2026-03-03
    price $79,900 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Farmersville home under 90K– Hard to find rehab in this quaint town, bring your tools and imagination and make this one yours! Over 1400 sq/ft of potential and possibilities, could be a 4bedrooms/2 bath home!

  16. 2026-01-19
    listed $86,900 Active 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Farmersville home under 90K– Hard to find rehab in this quaint town, bring your tools and imagination and make this one yours! Over 1400 sq/ft of potential and possibilities, could be a 4bedrooms/2 bath home!

  17. 1987-02-03
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,391
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$2,470
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,391
− Management
−$1,391
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$6,291
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,510
After-tax cash flow
$5,351/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley View Local
NCES district ID
3904874
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$60,457
Composite
53.26/100
National rank
#1495
State rank
#250 of 656 in OH

Livability — Farmersville

Score
74/100
State rank
#275
US rank
#4528

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmersville, OH
County
Montgomery · 506,435 people
Metro
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Population (ZIP)
2,746
Household income
$79,688
Rent vs Own
6.3% rent · 93.7% own
Severe rent burden
3.3

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.25%
Current HPI
228.4052
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $69,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $74,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $79,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $86,900 Dayton MLS
  • 1987-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,470 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…