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4691 E Appleby Ct
D Composite 42.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$420,000

4691 E Appleby Ct · Gilbert, AZ 85298
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,334 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 2002 6,219 sqft lot Est $436k · at est. $225/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

Key facts

  • 6,219 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association with quarterly fee (association covers grounds maintenance and street maintenance); Association rules prohibit visible trucks, trailers, RVs and boats; Community amenities include pool, community spa (heated), pickleball courts, tennis courts, golf, fitness center, community media room, biking/walking paths

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2-car garage with direct access and garage door opener
  • Security: Gated community with guarded entry
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Built with stucco and wood frame, painted with stone accents; Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Partial wrought-iron fencing; Sprinklers front and rear with automatic timers; Desert front and back landscaping; Corner lot; Private maintained road; City views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Water purifier / reverse osmosis; Kitchen island; Pantry; Laminate counters; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Double vanity; Breakfast bar; 9+ foot flat ceilings; No interior steps; Vaulted ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; 3/4 bath in master bedroom; Laminate counters; Dual-pane windows; Accessibility features including lever handles, lever faucets and bath grab bars
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage with washer/dryer hookup only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $420k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-682 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (28.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (36.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $265k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.2% in Gilbert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in AZ, #240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Higley Unified School District (4248) (suburban): math 56% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #21 of 249 in AZ (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Cortina Elementary (math 60% / reading 66%, grade B, #121 of 1,109 statewide, top 11%, 702 students, 10% FRL); Sossaman Middle School (math 59% / reading 60%, grade B, #4 of 218 statewide, top 1%, 1,043 students, 13% FRL); Higley High School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade D, #46 of 381 statewide, top 12%, 2,137 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $38k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$61k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($395k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $364k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $265,468 (36.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.34%
Cash-on-cash
-6.96%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$436,218
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5127 S Almond Ct 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,334 (0%) 3mo $420,000 $315 84
4684 E Walnut Rd 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,332 (-0%) 1mo $435,000 $327 75
4624 E Indigo St 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,437 (+8%) 4mo $425,000 $296 72
4687 E Mia Ct 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,433 (+7%) 2mo $460,000 $321 72
4532 E Indigo St 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,407 (+6%) 4mo $420,000 $299 72
4694 E Mia Ct 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,407 (+6%) 2mo $480,000 $341 70
5091 S Peachwood Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,412 (+6%) 3mo $477,500 $338 64
5020 S Citrus Ln 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,471 (+10%) 3mo $549,000 $373 63
4685 E Walnut Rd 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,437 (+8%) 3mo $470,000 $327 62
4613 E Walnut Rd 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,411 (+6%) 5mo $405,000 $287 62
4624 E Alfalfa Dr 0.49mi 2/2.0 1,153 (-14%) 2mo $400,000 $347 49
4673 E Alfalfa Dr 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,153 (-14%) 4mo $395,000 $343 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.36% appreciation · 4.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$142,864
Equity at exit
$329,511
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
4.87×
Total profit
$455,064
Equity at exit
$664,278

Cash invested: $117,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85298

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
340
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,655 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,203
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,125/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$225
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$557
Net cashflow
$-682

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,518
Max offer price $299,455
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-445 -5% $-564 +0% $-682 +5% $-801 +10% $-920
Rent -10% $-892 -5% $-787 +0% $-682 +5% $-578 +10% $-473
Rate -1.0pp $-471 -0.5pp $-576 base $-682 +0.5pp $-791 +1.0pp $-902

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$105,000
Closing costs
$12,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4502 E Narrowleaf Dr Gilbert, AZ 2.0 2.0 1604 $2,500 $1.56 26d 1 0.32mi
5141 S Eucalyptus Dr Gilbert, AZ 2.0 2.0 1604 $3,700 $2.31 0d 1 0.55mi
4554 E Strawberry Dr Gilbert, AZ 2.0 2.0 1407 $2,500 $1.78 26d 1 0.58mi
4269 E Cassia Ln Gilbert, AZ 2.0 2.0 1407 $2,495 $1.77 26d 1 0.69mi
4094 E Azalea Dr Gilbert, AZ 2.0 2.0 1308 $2,500 $1.91 26d 1 0.78mi
3710 E Lodgepole Dr Gilbert, AZ 3.0 2.0 1818 $2,650 $1.46 14d 1 1.27mi
3636 E Lodgepole Dr Gilbert, AZ 3.0 2.0 1818 $3,075 $1.69 18d 1 1.36mi
21009 S 194th St Queen Creek, AZ 3.0 2.0 1579 $2,799 $1.77 4d 1 1.37mi
7640 S Power Rd Gilbert, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 975 $1,391 $1.43 3d 4 1.47mi
4374 S Woodshed Rd Gilbert, AZ 3.0 2.5 1724 $2,249 $1.30 21d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$225 · $2,700/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgym

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $420,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    pricedays on market $420,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $426,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $426,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $426,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $426,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $426,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $426,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $426,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $426,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $426,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $426,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $426,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $426,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $426,000
  16. 2026-04-10
    listed $435,000 Active
  17. 2021-06-16
    soldstatus $363,750
  18. 2020-02-18
    status Pending 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

  19. 2020-02-18
    soldstatus $285,000 Closed 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

  20. 2020-02-18
    soldstatus $285,000
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

  21. 2020-02-17
    soldstatus $285,000 Closed 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

  22. 2020-01-18
    status Pending 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

  23. 2020-01-17
    status Pending 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

  24. 2020-01-17
    soldstatus $285,000 Closed 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

  25. 2020-01-16
    listed $285,000 Active 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Perfect Rosewood model available in the 55+ Active Adult Community of Trilogy at Power Ranch. Split floor plan 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms to allow for privacy to all. Wonderful open concept with vaulted Ceiling, Great Room, Dining area and kitchen all flow together to make a perfect space for entertaining. Master bedroom looks out to the back yard and en-suite bathroom with dual vanities, walk-in shower and walk-in closet. Lovely backyard with covered and extended patio and low maintenance landscape is perfect for full or part time residents. Garage has Epoxy floors, work bench and built-in cabinets. Newer A/C, Furnace (2019) and water heater. All furnishings and golf cart available for purchase on a separate Bill of Sale. Perfect arrangement for someone purchasing as a second home. Resort style living with amenities from Golf to Tennis, Pickle Ball, Bocce, Restaurant, Cafe, Fitness Center, Pools, Clubs and so much more.

  26. 2009-11-24
    soldstatus $205,000
  27. 2009-11-23
    soldstatus $205,000 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Gated Community 24/7, surrounded by premier Trilogy Golf Course in a Community For Active Adults. Ceramic tile in all the right places, Large Master suite with large walk-in closet. Great room with walnut kitchen cabinets, Large covered patio with extension for sun bathing. Water feature which resembles a babbling mountain stream, patio with flagstone extension for sun bathing. This home is fully furnished. The furnishings may be purchased separately. Newly painted interior and located 5 min. to freeway and major Mall. This home is very well cared for and is priced for today's market values.

  28. 2009-10-24
    historical 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Gated Community 24/7, surrounded by premier Trilogy Golf Course in a Community For Active Adults. Ceramic tile in all the right places, Large Master suite with large walk-in closet. Great room with walnut kitchen cabinets, Large covered patio with extension for sun bathing. Water feature which resembles a babbling mountain stream, patio with flagstone extension for sun bathing. This home is fully furnished. The furnishings may be purchased separately. Newly painted interior and located 5 min. to freeway and major Mall. This home is very well cared for and is priced for today's market values.

  29. 2009-09-15
    listed $209,000 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Gated Community 24/7, surrounded by premier Trilogy Golf Course in a Community For Active Adults. Ceramic tile in all the right places, Large Master suite with large walk-in closet. Great room with walnut kitchen cabinets, Large covered patio with extension for sun bathing. Water feature which resembles a babbling mountain stream, patio with flagstone extension for sun bathing. This home is fully furnished. The furnishings may be purchased separately. Newly painted interior and located 5 min. to freeway and major Mall. This home is very well cared for and is priced for today's market values.

  30. 2007-04-13
    historical
  31. 2007-01-07
    listed $262,500
  32. 2005-06-30
    soldstatus $265,500
  33. 2005-06-30
    soldstatus $265,500
  34. 2005-05-18
    historical
  35. 2005-03-08
    listed $265,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,125 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,772 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$647/yr (+$54/mo · 30.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,856
− Mortgage interest
−$23,527
− Property taxes
−$2,125
− Insurance
−$2,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,548
− Management
−$2,548
− HOA
−$2,700
− Depreciation
−$12,218
Taxable loss
−$15,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,818
After-tax cash flow
$-4,370/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Higley Unified School District (4248)
NCES district ID
0403780
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$82,526
Composite
51.7/100
National rank
#1688
State rank
#21 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Gilbert

Score
87/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#240

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gilbert, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
281,769
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
44,114
Household income
$156,425
Rent vs Own
8.9% rent · 91.1% own
Severe rent burden
173.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.36%
Current HPI
343.6932
Rent YoY
▲ 4.31%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.8% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $426,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $435,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $363,750 Public Records
  • 2020-02-18 Pending ARMLS
  • 2020-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
  • 2020-02-18 Sold (MLS) $285,000 ARMLS
  • 2020-02-17 Sold (MLS) $285,000 ARMLS
  • 2020-01-18 Pending ARMLS
  • 2020-01-17 Pending ARMLS
  • 2020-01-17 Sold (MLS) $285,000 ARMLS
  • 2020-01-16 Listed $285,000 ARMLS
  • 2009-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
  • 2009-11-23 Sold (MLS) $205,000 ARMLS
  • 2009-10-24 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2009-09-15 Listed $209,000 ARMLS
  • 2007-04-13 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2007-01-07 Listed $262,500 ARMLS
  • 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $265,500 Public Records
  • 2005-06-30 Sold (MLS) $265,500 ARMLS
  • 2005-05-18 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2005-03-08 Listed $265,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,125 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…