CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1016 N 4th St
A- Composite 80.54
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$73,500

1016 N 4th St · Quincy, IL 62301-1810
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 4,812 sqft · SingleFamily · 54 Days on market
Built 1876 0.47 ac lot $15/sqft · 18% below area Est $90k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into timeless charm with this beautifully 1876 mini mansion. This spacious home offers generously sized bedrooms and expansive living areas, providing both comfort and versatility for today’s lifestyle. Major improvements bring peace of mind, including a fully replaced sewer line from the street to the basement (2025, $14,000 investment by Vincent & Sill). Upstairs bathrooms plumbing replaced and bathroom remodeled. The home also features updated upstairs replacement windows. Furnace, A/C, and water heater believed to be replaced around 2017–2018, offering added efficiency and reliability. While some cosmetic updates remain, the home’s solid structure and though

Key facts

  • Bathroom remodeled
  • 0.47 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

FULLY REPLACED SEWER LINEBATHROOM REMODELED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels (built 1876)
  • Construction: Built in 1876
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot with dimensions approximately 106 x 189

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Breakfast nook on main level
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Upper-level bedrooms with egress windows (multiple rooms)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in multiple main and upper-level rooms; Carpet in at least one upper-level bedroom; Other flooring in some bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: One fireplace; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $71k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 4.3% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#506 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities D-.
  • Quincy SD 172 (town): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #328 of 620 in IL (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Colonel George Iles Elem Sch (math 29% / reading 29%, grade F, #727 of 2,056 statewide, top 36%, 519 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Jr High School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #295 of 665 statewide, top 45%, 1,348 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Sr High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 1,924 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 68 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($508 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $71,295 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
15.63%
Cash-on-cash
33.34%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,939
List price
$73,500
Delta
-18.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
601 Spring St 0.47mi 3/3.0 (-1) 4,500 (-6%) 7mo $275,000 $61 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$45,311
Equity at exit
$33,049
10-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
6.36×
Total profit
$110,328
Equity at exit
$50,932

Cash invested: $20,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62301-1810

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,402 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$385
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,438/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$572

Break-even live

Break-even rent $678
Max offer price $73,500
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $613 -5% $593 +0% $572 +5% $551 +10% $530
Rent -10% $461 -5% $516 +0% $572 +5% $627 +10% $683
Rate -1.0pp $609 -0.5pp $591 base $572 +0.5pp $553 +1.0pp $533

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,375
Closing costs
$2,205
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 36 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $73,500 Under Contract 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    historical Under Contract 980-char remark
  17. 2026-04-26
    listed $73,500 Active 980-char remark
  18. 2022-09-27
    historical
  19. 2022-09-27
    historical
  20. 2022-09-27
    historical
  21. 2017-04-11
    soldstatus $54,900
  22. 2017-04-07
    soldstatus $54,900
  23. 2017-04-07
    soldstatus $54,900
  24. 2017-04-07
    soldstatus $54,900
  25. 2016-06-28
    listed $56,900
  26. 2016-06-28
    listed $56,900
  27. 2016-06-28
    listed $56,900
  28. 2016-05-01
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,438 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,553 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$115/yr (+$10/mo · 8.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,825
− Mortgage interest
−$4,117
− Property taxes
−$1,438
− Insurance
−$368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,346
− Management
−$1,346
− Depreciation
−$2,138
Taxable income
$6,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,458
After-tax cash flow
$5,404/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quincy SD 172
NCES district ID
1733000
Math proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,132
Composite
21.91/100
National rank
#8229
State rank
#328 of 620 in IL

Livability — Quincy

Score
67/100
State rank
#506
US rank
#10458

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Quincy, IL

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,795 people
By 2030
64,436 · -2.1%
By 2040
61,007 · -7.3%
By 2050
56,851 · -13.6%
By 2075
46,424 · -29.4%
By 2100
34,305 · -47.9%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $73,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-27 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-27 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-27 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
  • 2017-04-07 Sold (MLS) $54,900 Quincy AOR
  • 2017-04-07 Sold (MLS) $54,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-07 Sold (MLS) $54,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-28 Listed $56,900 Quincy AOR
  • 2016-06-28 Listed $56,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-28 Listed $56,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,438 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…