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503 Franklin Ave
D Composite 41.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.0/30.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$169,900

503 Franklin Ave · Crosby, MN 56441
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 756 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1940 7,405 sqft lot $225/sqft · 20% below area Est $213k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and convenient one-level living on a corner lot in Crosby! This cozy 1-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is perfect for easy living, featuring a main floor primary bedroom and laundry. The functional layout includes a combined living/dining area with all appliances included. Stay comfortable year-round with central air and enjoy the convenience of a heated, detached single-stall garage. A full unfinished basement offers great storage or future potential. Don't miss this opportunity for a well-located and affordable home. Schedule your showing today

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-475 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $86k (49.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (53.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (53.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#471 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Crosby-Ironton Public School District (town): math 38% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #184 of 301 in MN (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 420 units permitted in Crow Wing County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Crow Wing County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $170k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,917 (53.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 54% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.46%
Cap rate
2.94%
Cash-on-cash
-11.98%
DSCR
0.47
GRM
17.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$212,694
List price
$169,900
Delta
-20.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$62,256
Equity at exit
$153,059
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
5.35×
Total profit
$207,046
Equity at exit
$330,078

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56441

Home prices YoY
23.3%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
17.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$789 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,638/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$166
Net cashflow
$-475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,390
Max offer price $86,021
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-379 -5% $-427 +0% $-475 +5% $-523 +10% $-571
Rent -10% $-537 -5% $-506 +0% $-475 +5% $-444 +10% $-412
Rate -1.0pp $-389 -0.5pp $-432 base $-475 +0.5pp $-519 +1.0pp $-564

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,900 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $169,900 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 79 DOM
  17. 2026-03-13
    listed $169,900 Active 554-char remark
    Show marketing remark (554 chars)

    Charming and convenient one-level living on a corner lot in Crosby! This cozy 1-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is perfect for easy living, featuring a main floor primary bedroom and laundry. The functional layout includes a combined living/dining area with all appliances included. Stay comfortable year-round with central air and enjoy the convenience of a heated, detached single-stall garage. A full unfinished basement offers great storage or future potential. Don't miss this opportunity for a well-located and affordable home. Schedule your showing today

  18. 2026-03-11
    historical $169,900 554-char remark
    Show marketing remark (554 chars)

    Charming and convenient one-level living on a corner lot in Crosby! This cozy 1-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is perfect for easy living, featuring a main floor primary bedroom and laundry. The functional layout includes a combined living/dining area with all appliances included. Stay comfortable year-round with central air and enjoy the convenience of a heated, detached single-stall garage. A full unfinished basement offers great storage or future potential. Don't miss this opportunity for a well-located and affordable home. Schedule your showing today

  19. 2016-03-03
    soldstatus $63,000 Sold 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Very well maintained one story home on a corner lot in town. One bedroom, two bath. Main floor bath has an walk-in tub. Main floor laundry, all new hardwood flooring, unfinished basement, heated workshop attached to insulated, heated one car garage, asphalt driveway.

  20. 2016-03-03
    soldstatus $63,000
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Very well maintained one story home on a corner lot in town. One bedroom, two bath. Main floor bath has an walk-in tub. Main floor laundry, all new hardwood flooring, unfinished basement, heated workshop attached to insulated, heated one car garage, asphalt driveway.

  21. 2016-02-11
    status Pending 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Very well maintained one story home on a corner lot in town. One bedroom, two bath. Main floor bath has an walk-in tub. Main floor laundry, all new hardwood flooring, unfinished basement, heated workshop attached to insulated, heated one car garage, asphalt driveway.

  22. 2016-02-02
    listed $64,900 Active 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Very well maintained one story home on a corner lot in town. One bedroom, two bath. Main floor bath has an walk-in tub. Main floor laundry, all new hardwood flooring, unfinished basement, heated workshop attached to insulated, heated one car garage, asphalt driveway.

  23. 2014-07-16
    soldstatus $59,900 Sold
  24. 2014-07-16
    soldstatus $59,900
  25. 2014-07-16
    soldstatus $59,900
  26. 2014-05-23
    status Pending
  27. 2014-05-19
    listed $59,900 Active
  28. 2014-05-18
    listed $59,900
  29. 2014-05-18
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,638 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,770 · $148/mo
Expected delta
+$132/yr (+$11/mo · 8.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,470
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,638
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$758
− Management
−$758
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$8,992
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,158
After-tax cash flow
$-3,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crosby-Ironton Public School District
NCES district ID
2709750
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$43,809
Composite
38.0/100
National rank
#4290
State rank
#184 of 301 in MN

Livability — Crosby

Score
66/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#11254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crosby, MN
Population (ZIP)
3,328

Population outlook (Crow Wing County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,187 people
By 2030
64,057 · -0.2%
By 2040
62,470 · -2.7%
By 2050
59,064 · -8.0%
By 2075
48,738 · -24.1%
By 2100
36,112 · -43.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 16% Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crow Wing

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+29.7 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 61.92%
Current HPI
327.34
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+183.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2016-03-03 Sold (MLS) $63,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-11 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-02 Listed $64,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-07-16 Sold (MLS) $59,900 LSAR
  • 2014-07-16 Sold (MLS) $59,900 RASM
  • 2014-07-16 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-23 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-19 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-18 Listed $59,900 LSAR
  • 2014-05-18 Listed $59,900 RASM

Property tax history

+17.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,638 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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