503 Franklin Ave · Crosby, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.0/30.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and convenient one-level living on a corner lot in Crosby! This cozy 1-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is perfect for easy living, featuring a main floor primary bedroom and laundry. The functional layout includes a combined living/dining area with all appliances included. Stay comfortable year-round with central air and enjoy the convenience of a heated, detached single-stall garage. A full unfinished basement offers great storage or future potential. Don't miss this opportunity for a well-located and affordable home. Schedule your showing today
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-475 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $86k (49.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (53.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $79k (53.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#471 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Crosby-Ironton Public School District (town): math 38% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #184 of 301 in MN (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 420 units permitted in Crow Wing County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Crow Wing County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $170k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 54% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.46% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.98%
- DSCR
- 0.47
- GRM
- 17.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,694
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -20.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $62,256
- Equity at exit
- $153,059
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.35×
- Total profit
- $207,046
- Equity at exit
- $330,078
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56441
- Home prices YoY
- 23.3%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 17.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $789 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,638/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$166
- Net cashflow
- $-475
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-379 | -5% $-427 | +0% $-475 | +5% $-523 | +10% $-571 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-537 | -5% $-506 | +0% $-475 | +5% $-444 | +10% $-412 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-389 | -0.5pp $-432 | base $-475 | +0.5pp $-519 | +1.0pp $-564 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $169,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $169,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $169,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-03-13$169,900 Active 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Charming and convenient one-level living on a corner lot in Crosby! This cozy 1-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is perfect for easy living, featuring a main floor primary bedroom and laundry. The functional layout includes a combined living/dining area with all appliances included. Stay comfortable year-round with central air and enjoy the convenience of a heated, detached single-stall garage. A full unfinished basement offers great storage or future potential. Don't miss this opportunity for a well-located and affordable home. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-03-11historical $169,900 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Charming and convenient one-level living on a corner lot in Crosby! This cozy 1-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is perfect for easy living, featuring a main floor primary bedroom and laundry. The functional layout includes a combined living/dining area with all appliances included. Stay comfortable year-round with central air and enjoy the convenience of a heated, detached single-stall garage. A full unfinished basement offers great storage or future potential. Don't miss this opportunity for a well-located and affordable home. Schedule your showing today
-
2016-03-03soldstatus $63,000 Sold 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Very well maintained one story home on a corner lot in town. One bedroom, two bath. Main floor bath has an walk-in tub. Main floor laundry, all new hardwood flooring, unfinished basement, heated workshop attached to insulated, heated one car garage, asphalt driveway.
-
2016-03-03soldstatus $63,000
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Very well maintained one story home on a corner lot in town. One bedroom, two bath. Main floor bath has an walk-in tub. Main floor laundry, all new hardwood flooring, unfinished basement, heated workshop attached to insulated, heated one car garage, asphalt driveway.
-
2016-02-11status Pending 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Very well maintained one story home on a corner lot in town. One bedroom, two bath. Main floor bath has an walk-in tub. Main floor laundry, all new hardwood flooring, unfinished basement, heated workshop attached to insulated, heated one car garage, asphalt driveway.
-
2016-02-02$64,900 Active 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Very well maintained one story home on a corner lot in town. One bedroom, two bath. Main floor bath has an walk-in tub. Main floor laundry, all new hardwood flooring, unfinished basement, heated workshop attached to insulated, heated one car garage, asphalt driveway.
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2014-07-16soldstatus $59,900 Sold
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2014-07-16soldstatus $59,900
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2014-07-16soldstatus $59,900
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2014-05-23status Pending
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2014-05-19$59,900 Active
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2014-05-18$59,900
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2014-05-18$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,638 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,770 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$132/yr (+$11/mo · 8.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,470
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,638
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$758
- − Management
- −$758
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$8,992
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,158
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crosby-Ironton Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2709750
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,809
- Composite
- 38.0/100
- National rank
- #4290
- State rank
- #184 of 301 in MN
Livability — Crosby
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #11254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crosby, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,328
Population outlook (Crow Wing County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,187 people
- By 2030
- 64,057 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 62,470 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 59,064 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 48,738 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 36,112 · -43.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 16% Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crow Wing
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+29.7 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 61.92%
- Current HPI
- 327.34
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+183.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-03 Sold (MLS) $63,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-11 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-02 Listed $64,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-16 Sold (MLS) $59,900 LSAR
- 2014-07-16 Sold (MLS) $59,900 RASM
- 2014-07-16 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-23 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-19 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-18 Listed $59,900 LSAR
- 2014-05-18 Listed $59,900 RASM
Property tax history
+17.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,638 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…