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66 Jacqueline Cir
D+ Composite 45.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

66 Jacqueline Cir · O'Fallon, MO 63368
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,777 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1993 8,276 sqft lot Est $339k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 66 Jacqueline Circle! Must see this 3 bedroom 2.5 bathroom ranch home. Located in lovely Kensington Place. The home has beautiful new laminate flooring throughout. Kitchen offers updated cabinets with soft close hinges, stainless appliance and a spacious panty. Just off the kitchen enjoy the summer nights from the deck overlooking the level yard. Living room features vaulted ceiling and a cozy wood burning fireplace. The lower level is partially finished with laundry room and half bath just waiting for your finishing touches. 2 car garage has been insulated and finished. Conveniently located in a desirable area close to shopping, restaurants and easy highway access. Schedule an appointment today to view this gorgeous home before it's gone!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Recent upgrades
  • Shaded deck

Tags

TURNKEY LIVINGOPEN FLOOR PLANVAULTED CEILINGSRECENT UPGRADESSHADED DECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (single phase); Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Basement: partially finished with 8 ft+ pour, concrete, sleeping area and sump pump
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Level lot; Chain link and perimeter fencing; Atrium and sliding doors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-517/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (2.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.2% in O'Fallon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ft. Zumwalt R-II (suburban): math 54% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #14 of 324 in MO (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Pheasant Point Elem. (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #118 of 1,115 statewide, top 11%, 436 students, 11% FRL); Ft. Zumwalt South High (math 57% / reading 70%, grade B-, #24 of 521 statewide, top 4%, 1,334 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,021 units permitted in St. Charles County in 2024 (568 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Charles County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $243,911 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.62%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$339,407
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
166 Christina Marie Dr 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,778 (+0%) 8mo $339,000 $191 86
178 Christina Marie Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,855 (+4%) 6mo $365,000 $197 79
6501 Sprucefield Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,728 (-3%) 6mo $265,000 $153 69
1 Royallprairie Ct 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,753 (-1%) 8mo $299,900 $171 62
1006 Golden Orchard Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,949 (+10%) 4mo $360,000 $185 60
817 Brimley Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,728 (-3%) 8mo $565,000 $327 59
6420 Long Timber Dr 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,740 (-2%) 5mo $305,000 $175 59
6519 Star Buck Dr 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,510 (-15%) 1mo $300,000 $199 56
2849 Royallvalley Way 0.50mi 3/3.5 1,978 (+11%) 1mo $400,000 $202 53
6355 Sprucefield Dr 0.65mi 3/3.0 1,941 (+9%) 7mo $320,000 $165 46
421 Jacobs Place Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 2,025 (+14%) 6mo $425,000 $210 38
255 Coachman Way 0.68mi 3/3.5 1,518 (-15%) 7mo $290,000 $191 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-54,799
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-64,974
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63368

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,439 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$272 /mo · $3,261/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$-43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,494
Max offer price $292,383
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $127 -5% $42 +0% $-43 +5% $-128 +10% $-213
Rent -10% $-236 -5% $-139 +0% $-43 +5% $53 +10% $150
Rate -1.0pp $108 -0.5pp $33 base $-43 +0.5pp $-121 +1.0pp $-200

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
124 Royallsprings Pkwy O Fallon, MO 4.0 2.5 2384 $2,906 $1.22 6d 1 0.45mi
209 Royallsprings Pkwy O Fallon, MO 3.0 2.5 1512 $2,431 $1.61 0d 1 0.64mi
256 Cherrywood Parc Dr O Fallon, MO 3.0 2.5 1590 $2,276 $1.43 6d 1 0.78mi
244 Sassafras Parc Dr O Fallon, MO 4.0 3.0 2601 $2,300 $0.88 14d 1 0.81mi
381 Erin Dr Saint Peters, MO 3.0 2.5 1288 $2,500 $1.94 25d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $300,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    listed $300,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,261 · $272/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,261 · $272/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,269
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$3,261
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,342
− Management
−$2,342
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$5,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,370
After-tax cash flow
$852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ft. Zumwalt R-II
NCES district ID
2908370
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,817
Composite
51.04/100
National rank
#1772
State rank
#14 of 324 in MO

Livability — O'Fallon

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
O'Fallon, MO
County
Saint Charles County · 399,703 people
City population
45,862
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
46,966
Household income
$124,297
Rent vs Own
18.0% rent · 82.0% own
Severe rent burden
538.0

Population outlook (St. Charles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,857 people
By 2030
461,707 · +5.4%
By 2040
503,222 · +14.9%
By 2050
534,684 · +22.1%
By 2075
597,047 · +36.4%
By 2100
609,682 · +39.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Asian 5% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Charles

2024 margin
R (+17.0) · D 40.8% · R 57.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-7.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.7pp · 2024: -17.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.0 2020: R+17.5 2016: R+26.4 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+9.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.32%
Current HPI
219.7731
Rent YoY
▲ 1.59%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.2% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $300,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-12 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-12 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $289,170 Public Records
  • 2024-04-11 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-11 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-02 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-02 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-28 Listed $265,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-24 Coming Soon $265,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-24 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-29 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-28 Price Changed $180,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-28 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-30 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-23 Listed $188,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-22 Coming Soon $188,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
  • 2016-12-02 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-18 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-10 Price Changed $154,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-06 Listed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 1994-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $84,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,261 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…