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445 Wheeler St
D Composite 40.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

445 Wheeler St · Rogersville, AL 35652
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,869 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market
Built 1972 0.44 ac lot $134/sqft · 8% below area Est $276k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious Brick Home Near Downtown Rogersville. Beautifully priced 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath brick home located close to downtown Rogersville, AL. This single-level home offers exceptional space and flexibility, featuring two primary bedrooms with en-suite baths, perfect for multi-generational living or guests. The New Roof and Newer HVAC are an added bonus. Enjoy easy access to Highway 72, providing a quick commute to Athens, Madison, Huntsville, or the Florence area. The home boasts a newly updated, stunning primary bathroom, generous living areas, and excellent functionality throughout. Outdoor features include a fenced backyard, covered carport, and a welcoming front porch—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. With its prime location, ample space, and outstanding value, this must-see home offers both comfort and convenience. Buyer to verify all info. Call for your private showing today.

Key facts

  • Brick home
  • Two primary bedrooms
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

BRICK HOMENEAR DOWNTOWN ROGERSVILLETWO PRIMARY BEDROOMSNEW ROOFNEWER HVACFENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-628/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (3.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (28.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.4% in Rogersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#153 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Lauderdale County (rural): math 19% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #53 of 129 in AL (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,000 (28.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.90%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$275,818
List price
$249,900
Delta
-9.40%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
590 Church St 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,859 (-0%) 9mo $295,000 $159 68
1292 Rose St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,855 (-1%) 9mo $335,000 $181 65
161 Lamoray Dr 0.16mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,000 (+7%) 13mo $270,000 $135 63
509 Zoey Grace Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,879 (+0%) 1mo $310,000 $165 62
415 Zoey Grace Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,925 (+3%) 9mo $304,000 $158 51
78 Rolling Brook Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,750 (-6%) 7mo $255,000 $146 47
472 Zoey Grace Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,030 (+9%) 6mo $346,000 $170 44
26 Greer St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,754 (-6%) 12mo $175,000 $100 43
641 Ayden Mannon St 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,906 (+2%) 20mo $339,900 $178 42
665 Ayden Mannon St 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,036 (+9%) 13mo $355,000 $174 35
300 Rose St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,019 (+8%) 18mo $340,000 $168 35
205 Dogwood Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-10%) 20mo $289,000 $172 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-43,956
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-43,089
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35652

Home prices YoY
-10.0%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $717/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$-52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,866
Max offer price $240,654
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $89 -5% $18 +0% $-52 +5% $-123 +10% $-194
Rent -10% $-195 -5% $-123 +0% $-52 +5% $19 +10% $90
Rate -1.0pp $74 -0.5pp $11 base $-52 +0.5pp $-117 +1.0pp $-183

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
530 Rose St Rogersville, AL 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,800 $1.00 24d 1 0.43mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $249,900 Active 151 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 150 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 149 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 148 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,900 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,900 Active 142 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 141 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $249,900 Active 136 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 135 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 134 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 133 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 132 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $249,900 Active 131 DOM
  18. 2026-04-23
    price $269,900 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Spacious Brick Home Near Downtown Rogersville. Beautifully priced 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath brick home located close to downtown Rogersville, AL. This single-level home offers exceptional space and flexibility, featuring two primary bedrooms with en-suite baths, perfect for multi-generational living or guests. The New Roof and Newer HVAC are an added bonus. Enjoy easy access to Highway 72, providing a quick commute to Athens, Madison, Huntsville, or the Florence area. The home boasts a newly updated, stunning primary bathroom, generous living areas, and excellent functionality throughout. Outdoor features include a fenced backyard, covered carport, and a welcoming front porch—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. With its prime location, ample space, and outstanding value, this must-see home offers both comfort and convenience. Buyer to verify all info. Call for your private showing today.

  19. 2026-03-12
    price $289,900 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Spacious Brick Home Near Downtown Rogersville. Beautifully priced 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath brick home located close to downtown Rogersville, AL. This single-level home offers exceptional space and flexibility, featuring two primary bedrooms with en-suite baths, perfect for multi-generational living or guests. The New Roof and Newer HVAC are an added bonus. Enjoy easy access to Highway 72, providing a quick commute to Athens, Madison, Huntsville, or the Florence area. The home boasts a newly updated, stunning primary bathroom, generous living areas, and excellent functionality throughout. Outdoor features include a fenced backyard, covered carport, and a welcoming front porch—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. With its prime location, ample space, and outstanding value, this must-see home offers both comfort and convenience. Buyer to verify all info. Call for your private showing today.

  20. 2026-02-25
    historical $1,650
  21. 2026-01-20
    listed $299,900 Active 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Spacious Brick Home Near Downtown Rogersville. Beautifully priced 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath brick home located close to downtown Rogersville, AL. This single-level home offers exceptional space and flexibility, featuring two primary bedrooms with en-suite baths, perfect for multi-generational living or guests. The New Roof and Newer HVAC are an added bonus. Enjoy easy access to Highway 72, providing a quick commute to Athens, Madison, Huntsville, or the Florence area. The home boasts a newly updated, stunning primary bathroom, generous living areas, and excellent functionality throughout. Outdoor features include a fenced backyard, covered carport, and a welcoming front porch—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. With its prime location, ample space, and outstanding value, this must-see home offers both comfort and convenience. Buyer to verify all info. Call for your private showing today.

  22. 2025-12-05
    listed $1,650

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$717 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,025 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$308/yr (+$26/mo · 43.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$717
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$5,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,222
After-tax cash flow
$594/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lauderdale County
NCES district ID
0102010
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,501
Composite
27.93/100
National rank
#6863
State rank
#53 of 129 in AL

Livability — Rogersville

Score
64/100
State rank
#153
US rank
#13925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rogersville, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,251

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,386 people
By 2030
93,634 · +0.3%
By 2040
93,114 · -0.3%
By 2050
91,586 · -1.9%
By 2075
88,667 · -5.1%
By 2100
81,098 · -13.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.05%
Current HPI
208.0064
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16257.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $269,900 SAARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $289,900 SAARMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Rental Removed $1,650 REDFIN
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $299,900 SAARMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,650 REDFIN

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $717 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…