445 Wheeler St · Rogersville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious Brick Home Near Downtown Rogersville. Beautifully priced 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath brick home located close to downtown Rogersville, AL. This single-level home offers exceptional space and flexibility, featuring two primary bedrooms with en-suite baths, perfect for multi-generational living or guests. The New Roof and Newer HVAC are an added bonus. Enjoy easy access to Highway 72, providing a quick commute to Athens, Madison, Huntsville, or the Florence area. The home boasts a newly updated, stunning primary bathroom, generous living areas, and excellent functionality throughout. Outdoor features include a fenced backyard, covered carport, and a welcoming front porch—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. With its prime location, ample space, and outstanding value, this must-see home offers both comfort and convenience. Buyer to verify all info. Call for your private showing today.
Key facts
- Brick home
- Two primary bedrooms
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-628/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (3.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.4% in Rogersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#153 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Lauderdale County (rural): math 19% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #53 of 129 in AL (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.90%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $275,818
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -9.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590 Church St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,859 (-0%) | 9mo | $295,000 | $159 | 68 |
| 1292 Rose St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,855 (-1%) | 9mo | $335,000 | $181 | 65 |
| 161 Lamoray Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (+7%) | 13mo | $270,000 | $135 | 63 |
| 509 Zoey Grace Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,879 (+0%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 415 Zoey Grace Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,925 (+3%) | 9mo | $304,000 | $158 | 51 |
| 78 Rolling Brook Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (-6%) | 7mo | $255,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 472 Zoey Grace Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,030 (+9%) | 6mo | $346,000 | $170 | 44 |
| 26 Greer St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,754 (-6%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $100 | 43 |
| 641 Ayden Mannon St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,906 (+2%) | 20mo | $339,900 | $178 | 42 |
| 665 Ayden Mannon St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,036 (+9%) | 13mo | $355,000 | $174 | 35 |
| 300 Rose St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,019 (+8%) | 18mo | $340,000 | $168 | 35 |
| 205 Dogwood Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-10%) | 20mo | $289,000 | $172 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-43,956
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-43,089
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35652
- Home prices YoY
- -10.0%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $717/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $-52
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $89 | -5% $18 | +0% $-52 | +5% $-123 | +10% $-194 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-195 | -5% $-123 | +0% $-52 | +5% $19 | +10% $90 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $74 | -0.5pp $11 | base $-52 | +0.5pp $-117 | +1.0pp $-183 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 530 Rose St Rogersville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $249,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $249,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $269,900 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Spacious Brick Home Near Downtown Rogersville. Beautifully priced 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath brick home located close to downtown Rogersville, AL. This single-level home offers exceptional space and flexibility, featuring two primary bedrooms with en-suite baths, perfect for multi-generational living or guests. The New Roof and Newer HVAC are an added bonus. Enjoy easy access to Highway 72, providing a quick commute to Athens, Madison, Huntsville, or the Florence area. The home boasts a newly updated, stunning primary bathroom, generous living areas, and excellent functionality throughout. Outdoor features include a fenced backyard, covered carport, and a welcoming front porch—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. With its prime location, ample space, and outstanding value, this must-see home offers both comfort and convenience. Buyer to verify all info. Call for your private showing today.
-
2026-03-12price $289,900 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Spacious Brick Home Near Downtown Rogersville. Beautifully priced 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath brick home located close to downtown Rogersville, AL. This single-level home offers exceptional space and flexibility, featuring two primary bedrooms with en-suite baths, perfect for multi-generational living or guests. The New Roof and Newer HVAC are an added bonus. Enjoy easy access to Highway 72, providing a quick commute to Athens, Madison, Huntsville, or the Florence area. The home boasts a newly updated, stunning primary bathroom, generous living areas, and excellent functionality throughout. Outdoor features include a fenced backyard, covered carport, and a welcoming front porch—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. With its prime location, ample space, and outstanding value, this must-see home offers both comfort and convenience. Buyer to verify all info. Call for your private showing today.
-
2026-02-25historical $1,650
-
2026-01-20$299,900 Active 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Spacious Brick Home Near Downtown Rogersville. Beautifully priced 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath brick home located close to downtown Rogersville, AL. This single-level home offers exceptional space and flexibility, featuring two primary bedrooms with en-suite baths, perfect for multi-generational living or guests. The New Roof and Newer HVAC are an added bonus. Enjoy easy access to Highway 72, providing a quick commute to Athens, Madison, Huntsville, or the Florence area. The home boasts a newly updated, stunning primary bathroom, generous living areas, and excellent functionality throughout. Outdoor features include a fenced backyard, covered carport, and a welcoming front porch—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. With its prime location, ample space, and outstanding value, this must-see home offers both comfort and convenience. Buyer to verify all info. Call for your private showing today.
-
2025-12-05$1,650
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $717 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,025 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$308/yr (+$26/mo · 43.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$717
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$5,090
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,222
- After-tax cash flow
- $594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lauderdale County
- NCES district ID
- 0102010
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,501
- Composite
- 27.93/100
- National rank
- #6863
- State rank
- #53 of 129 in AL
Livability — Rogersville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #153
- US rank
- #13925
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rogersville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,251
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.05%
- Current HPI
- 208.0064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+16257.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $269,900 SAARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $289,900 SAARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Rental Removed $1,650 REDFIN
- 2026-01-20 Listed $299,900 SAARMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,650 REDFIN
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2024): $717 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…