11040 Courville St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller bring all offers!!! House is sold as-is it is a perfect house for investors or a family to put a little TLC in. BATVAI
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1936
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Brewer Academy (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 468 students, 93% FRL); Clippert Academy (379 students, 82% FRL); Denby High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 537 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 495 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $70k implies a 1648% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.20%
- DSCR
- 2.61
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,807
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -16.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11323 Lansdowne St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,397 (+0%) | 2mo | $133,282 | $95 | 85 |
| 11336 Courville St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,425 (+2%) | 0mo | $62,500 | $44 | 85 |
| 9722 Wayburn St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,464 (+5%) | 2mo | $84,900 | $58 | 68 |
| 10185 Beaconsfield St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-7%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $56 | 68 |
| 15469 Troester St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,375 (-1%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $44 | 67 |
| 9973 E Outer Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,506 (+8%) | 2mo | $83,500 | $55 | 65 |
| 9817 Somerset Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,290 (-8%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $23 | 61 |
| 15419 Young St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-10%) | 3mo | $54,500 | $44 | 58 |
| 11742 Whitehill St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,228 (-12%) | 1mo | $61,000 | $50 | 57 |
| 15411 Young St St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,240 (-11%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $77 | 56 |
| 9922 Yorkshire Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (-4%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $56 | 55 |
| 9988 Somerset Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,206 (-14%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $108 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $23,220
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $56,647
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 495
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,386 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $630 | -5% $610 | +0% $590 | +5% $571 | +10% $551 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $481 | -5% $536 | +0% $590 | +5% $645 | +10% $700 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $626 | -0.5pp $608 | base $590 | +0.5pp $572 | +1.0pp $554 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 19d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 20d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 46d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 12651 Kelly Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 12655 Kelly Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 6d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 46d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $970 | $0.85 | 19d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 7d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 46d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 46d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 46d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 15238 Seymour St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9635 Everts St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 46d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 46d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 6d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 10400 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 46d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5911 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 46d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10370 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 9171 Bishop St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 46d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1329 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,400 | $0.84 | 19d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 46d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12716 Riad St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,473 | $1.12 | 46d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Motivated Seller bring all offers!!! House is sold as-is it is a perfect house for investors or a family to put a little TLC in. BATVAI
-
2026-05-05status Pending 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Motivated Seller bring all offers!!! House is sold as-is it is a perfect house for investors or a family to put a little TLC in. BATVAI
-
2026-04-01$69,900 Active 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Motivated Seller bring all offers!!! House is sold as-is it is a perfect house for investors or a family to put a little TLC in. BATVAI
-
2026-04-01$69,900 Active 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Motivated Seller bring all offers!!! House is sold as-is it is a perfect house for investors or a family to put a little TLC in. BATVAI
-
2010-04-05soldstatus $4,000
-
2010-04-05soldstatus $4,000
-
2010-03-24historical
-
2010-03-04$11,900
-
2010-03-04$11,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,306
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,331
- − Management
- −$1,331
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $6,367
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,528
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+487.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-04-05 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-04-05 Sold (MLS) $4,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-03-04 Listed $11,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-03-04 Listed $11,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,306 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…