1158 Beech Grv · Wickliffe, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity, Being "Sold As-Is!" This property has 1,366 square feet of living space on just under half an acre and is full of potential with the right vision and some TLC. Highlights include a spacious living room featuring a fireplace, a separate dining area, and a large backyard. There’s room to reimagine, renovate, or expand. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or restore, this property is a blank slate with loads of upside. Bring your vision and make it yours!
Key facts
- Large backyard
- New water heater
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Frame and stone construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Level, wooded lot with rolling slope; Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Cooktop; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Family room with fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#429 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Ballard County (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #61 of 165 in KY (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ballard County Elementary School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #208 of 676 statewide, top 34%, 467 students, 58% FRL); Ballard County Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 215 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ballard County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $100k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.43%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $9,194
- Equity at exit
- $23,901
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $37,596
- Equity at exit
- $24,916
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42087
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,085 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $303/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $295 | +0% $266 | +5% $238 | +10% $210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $181 | -5% $223 | +0% $266 | +5% $309 | +10% $352 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $317 | -0.5pp $292 | base $266 | +0.5pp $240 | +1.0pp $214 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-12pricedays on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $104,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-26$104,900 Active
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2025-08-29soldstatus $25,000 Closed 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Investor opportunity, Being "Sold As-Is!" This property has 1,366 square feet of living space on just under half an acre and is full of potential with the right vision and some TLC. Highlights include a spacious living room featuring a fireplace, a separate dining area, and a large backyard. There’s room to reimagine, renovate, or expand. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or restore, this property is a blank slate with loads of upside. Bring your vision and make it yours!
-
2025-08-07status Pending 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Investor opportunity, Being "Sold As-Is!" This property has 1,366 square feet of living space on just under half an acre and is full of potential with the right vision and some TLC. Highlights include a spacious living room featuring a fireplace, a separate dining area, and a large backyard. There’s room to reimagine, renovate, or expand. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or restore, this property is a blank slate with loads of upside. Bring your vision and make it yours!
-
2025-07-23price $37,000 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Investor opportunity, Being "Sold As-Is!" This property has 1,366 square feet of living space on just under half an acre and is full of potential with the right vision and some TLC. Highlights include a spacious living room featuring a fireplace, a separate dining area, and a large backyard. There’s room to reimagine, renovate, or expand. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or restore, this property is a blank slate with loads of upside. Bring your vision and make it yours!
-
2025-06-23$39,000 Active 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Investor opportunity, Being "Sold As-Is!" This property has 1,366 square feet of living space on just under half an acre and is full of potential with the right vision and some TLC. Highlights include a spacious living room featuring a fireplace, a separate dining area, and a large backyard. There’s room to reimagine, renovate, or expand. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or restore, this property is a blank slate with loads of upside. Bring your vision and make it yours!
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2023-10-23historical
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2023-10-05price $55,000
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2023-09-25price $74,500
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2023-09-12price $89,000
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2023-08-29$99,400 Active
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2018-03-09soldstatus $6,400
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2017-07-31$20,000
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2011-09-02soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $303 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $859 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$556/yr (+$46/mo · 183.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,019
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$303
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,042
- − Management
- −$1,042
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,631
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$392
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,804/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ballard County
- NCES district ID
- 2100210
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,202
- Composite
- 29.99/100
- National rank
- #6363
- State rank
- #61 of 165 in KY
Livability — Wickliffe
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #429
- US rank
- #20847
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wickliffe, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,369
Population outlook (Ballard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,166 people
- By 2030
- 8,092 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 7,905 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 7,648 · -6.3%
- By 2075
- 7,237 · -11.4%
- By 2100
- 6,537 · -19.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ballard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.1% · R 81.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.1pp toward R · 2008: -27.3pp · 2024: -64.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.4 2020: R+59.9 2016: R+57.2 2012: R+37.4 2008: R+27.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.04%
- Current HPI
- 223.1088
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+31.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $104,900 WKRMLS
- 2025-08-29 Sold (MLS) $25,000 WKRMLS
- 2025-08-07 Pending — WKRMLS
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $37,000 WKRMLS
- 2025-06-23 Listed $39,000 WKRMLS
- 2023-10-23 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2023-10-05 Price Changed $55,000 ImagineMLS
- 2023-09-25 Price Changed $74,500 ImagineMLS
- 2023-09-12 Price Changed $89,000 ImagineMLS
- 2023-08-29 Listed $99,400 ImagineMLS
- 2018-03-09 Sold (MLS) $6,400 WKRMLS
- 2017-07-31 Listed $20,000 WKRMLS
- 2011-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $303 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…