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7278 Hazelcrest Dr
C+ Composite 61.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$83,900

7278 Hazelcrest Dr · Hazelwood, MO 63042
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,254 sqft · Condo public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1965 $67/sqft · 6% above area Est $79k · 6% over $380/mo HOA · 26% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Recently remodeled and updated featuring all new kitchen cabinets, countertops, faucet, appliances (electric range, microwave, dishwasher and disposal), all new luxury vinyl plank flooring on main floor and upstairs bathroom. Newer windows installed by Window World (prior to my ownership). Newer carpeting on steps and bedrooms. Newer blinds, six panel doors/door hardware and lighting. Both bathrooms have new vanities, faucets, toilets, water lines and flooring. Upstairs bathroom has newer tub and tile surround/medicine cabinet. Most baseboard heaters are newer along with a few thermostats. There are 3 window/ wall acs! Master bedroom has a walk-in closet and new countertop. Nice fenced in p

Key facts

  • Newer carpeting
  • New kitchen cabinets
  • New appliances

Tags

NEW KITCHEN CABINETSNEW COUNTERTOPSNEW APPLIANCESNEWER WINDOWSNEWER CARPETINGNEW VANITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community features include sidewalks, street lights, public bus access, and storm sewer; 498 units in the community
  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: HOA: Hazelcrest; Monthly association fee of $380; HOA amenities include clubhouse and parking; Association fee covers grounds maintenance, parking/roads maintenance, common area maintenance, exterior maintenance, management, roof, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Community parking (association provides parking)
  • Security: Private entrance
  • Utilities: Community water; Public sewer; Electric service available/connected; Cable available; Water and sewer available/connected
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Updated/remodeled condition; Two levels; Private ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asbestos shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Courtyard; Private entrance; Private yard; Storage; No-step entry; Fenced yard with vinyl fencing; Level lot; Near public transit

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; All bedrooms located on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric cooling with wall unit(s)
  • Interior features: Kitchen/dining room combo; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds and window coverings; Insulated windows with screens; Tilt-in windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located on main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.2% in Hazelwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#395 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Combs Elementary (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,016 of 1,115 statewide, top 92%, 295 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $580 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,383 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.61%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,340
List price
$83,900
Delta
5.75%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$3,246
Equity at exit
$12,510
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$31,422
Equity at exit
$7,254

Cash invested: $23,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63042

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,444 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$440
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $701/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$380
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,156
Max offer price $83,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,975
Closing costs
$2,517
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7437 Hazelcrest Dr Unit H Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 7d 1 0.24mi
16 Mary Rose Ct Hazelwood, MO 3.0 2.0 1506 $1,706 $1.13 14d 1 0.51mi
8507 Tally Ho Dr Hazelwood, MO 2.0 1.5 1478 $1,300 $0.88 43d 5 0.54mi
240 Chez Vant Ct Hazelwood, MO 2.0 1.5 1440 $1,350 $0.94 43d 1 0.59mi
17 Valley Dr Florissant, MO 2.0 2.0 1356 $1,525 $1.12 43d 1 0.89mi
7025 Richwood Ln Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.0 936 $1,375 $1.47 17d 1 1.00mi
446 Olian Dr Hazelwood, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $975 $1.11 2d 1 1.03mi
116 Graham Rd Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1578 $1,495 $0.95 2d 1 1.03mi
5 Santa Cruz Dr Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 1410 $1,411 $1.00 16d 1 1.06mi
221 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 958 $1,295 $1.35 20d 1 1.10mi
1180 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 925 $1,225 $1.32 23d 1 1.12mi
263 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 888 $1,350 $1.52 43d 1 1.13mi
6698 Amora Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0–3.0 1.5 1625 $1,500 $0.92 43d 1 1.15mi
260 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,623 $1.49 20d 1 1.16mi
8412 Chalons Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1380 $1,370 $0.99 23d 1 1.16mi
1250 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,500 $1.30 14d 1 1.16mi
14 Bruce Dr Unit Bruce 14-4 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $975 $1.11 43d 1 1.19mi
13 Bruce Dr Unit Bruce 13-2 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $975 $1.11 43d 1 1.20mi
13 Bruce Dr Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $975 $1.11 23d 1 1.20mi
1455 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 4.0 1.0 1584 $1,721 $1.09 43d 1 1.21mi
8330 Woodhurst Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 7d 1 1.25mi
785 Florland Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 17d 1 1.25mi
532 Holiday Ave Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,350 $1.48 43d 1 1.26mi
858 Hazelvalley Dr Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,450 $1.59 43d 1 1.26mi
508 Saratoga Ln Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.0 988 $1,306 $1.32 23d 1 1.31mi
1465 W Duchesne Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 896 $1,500 $1.67 43d 1 1.31mi
537 Lynn Haven Ln Hazelwood, MO 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,675 $1.35 23d 1 1.33mi
8418 Bayberry Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,350 $1.05 21d 1 1.36mi
1600 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1095 $1,250 $1.14 20d 1 1.36mi
8437 January Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,350 $1.05 43d 1 1.36mi
36 Connolly Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,149 $1.12 23d 1 1.37mi
1545 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1337 $2,055 $1.54 3d 1 1.37mi
1280 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,600 $1.26 14d 1 1.38mi
171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,395 $1.38 12d 1 1.41mi
107 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,400 $1.36 23d 1 1.42mi
153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 19d 1 1.47mi
8439 Alder Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1176 $1,425 $1.21 23d 1 1.48mi
11 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,345 $1.20 23d 1 1.48mi
297 Saint Eugene Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$380 · $4,560/yr
Likely covers
waterelectric
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $83,900 Pending 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $83,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $83,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $83,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $83,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $83,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $83,900 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-05-18
    price $88,500 802-char remark
  9. 2026-05-14
    price $89,000 802-char remark
  10. 2026-05-03
    listed $89,900 Active 802-char remark
  11. 1980-07-01
    soldstatus
  12. 1979-02-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$701 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$814 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$113/yr (+$9/mo · 16.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,327
− Mortgage interest
−$4,700
− Property taxes
−$701
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,386
− Management
−$1,386
− HOA
−$4,560
− Depreciation
−$2,441
Taxable income
$1,733
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$416
After-tax cash flow
$2,312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Hazelwood

Score
62/100
State rank
#395
US rank
#16956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazelwood, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
17,813
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
17,813
Household income
$49,453
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
766.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 38% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.48%
Current HPI
234.7353
Rent YoY
▲ 4.45%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $83,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $87,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $88,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $89,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1980-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1979-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $701 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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