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820 6th St
D Composite 41.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,990

820 6th St · Rosenberg, TX 77471
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,566 sqft · Townhouse public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1935 10,798 sqft lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

UNBELIEVABLE Investment Opportunity! GREAT LOCATION in the heart of Downtown Rosenberg. Duplex property with detached rear quarters. 3 separate units and an outdoor storage shed. Recent Improvements and well-manicure grounds. Generous size rooms and spacious living areas. This property is unique and ready for its next owner. This opportunity will not last. HURRY AND CALL YOU REALTOR BEFORE THIS GEM IS GONE!!

Key facts

  • 3 separate units
  • Duplex property
  • Recent improvements

Tags

DUPLEX PROPERTYDETACHED REAR QUARTERS3 SEPARATE UNITSOUTDOOR STORAGE SHEDRECENT IMPROVEMENTSWELL-MANICURE GROUNDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($444/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $251k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $251k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Rosenberg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#922 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 716 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $251,180 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.53%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-53,658
Equity at exit
$44,729
10-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-72,301
Equity at exit
$25,938

Cash invested: $83,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77471

Home prices YoY
-19.3%
Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
716
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,512 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$249 /mo · $2,990/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$527
Net cashflow
$37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,465
Max offer price $299,990
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,998
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1317 Tobola St Rosenberg, TX 4.0 3.0 2568 $2,995 $1.17 5d 1 0.90mi
909 Klare Ave Rosenberg, TX 3.0 2.0 1836 $1,895 $1.03 43d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,990 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,990 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,990 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,990 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,990 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,990 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,990 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,990 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $299,990 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,990 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,990 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,990 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,990 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-06
    price $299,990 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    UNBELIEVABLE Investment Opportunity! GREAT LOCATION in the heart of Downtown Rosenberg. Duplex property with detached rear quarters. 3 separate units and an outdoor storage shed. Recent Improvements and well-manicure grounds. Generous size rooms and spacious living areas. This property is unique and ready for its next owner. This opportunity will not last. HURRY AND CALL YOU REALTOR BEFORE THIS GEM IS GONE!!

  15. 2026-04-07
    status Active 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    UNBELIEVABLE Investment Opportunity! GREAT LOCATION in the heart of Downtown Rosenberg. Duplex property with detached rear quarters. 3 separate units and an outdoor storage shed. Recent Improvements and well-manicure grounds. Generous size rooms and spacious living areas. This property is unique and ready for its next owner. This opportunity will not last. HURRY AND CALL YOU REALTOR BEFORE THIS GEM IS GONE!!

  16. 2026-04-01
    historical 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    UNBELIEVABLE Investment Opportunity! GREAT LOCATION in the heart of Downtown Rosenberg. Duplex property with detached rear quarters. 3 separate units and an outdoor storage shed. Recent Improvements and well-manicure grounds. Generous size rooms and spacious living areas. This property is unique and ready for its next owner. This opportunity will not last. HURRY AND CALL YOU REALTOR BEFORE THIS GEM IS GONE!!

  17. 2026-03-21
    listed $325,000 Active 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    UNBELIEVABLE Investment Opportunity! GREAT LOCATION in the heart of Downtown Rosenberg. Duplex property with detached rear quarters. 3 separate units and an outdoor storage shed. Recent Improvements and well-manicure grounds. Generous size rooms and spacious living areas. This property is unique and ready for its next owner. This opportunity will not last. HURRY AND CALL YOU REALTOR BEFORE THIS GEM IS GONE!!

  18. 2020-07-30
    soldstatus
  19. 2020-07-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,990 · $249/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,490 · $457/mo
Expected delta
+$2,500/yr (+$208/mo · 83.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,142
− Mortgage interest
−$16,804
− Property taxes
−$2,990
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,411
− Management
−$2,411
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$4,702
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,129
After-tax cash flow
$1,572/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar CISD
NCES district ID
4826580
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,213
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2452
State rank
#116 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rosenberg

Score
62/100
State rank
#922
US rank
#16414

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rosenberg, TX
County
Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
City population
115,151
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
45,325
Household income
$73,186
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1688.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 23% Two or more races 21% Black 12% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 46%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 35% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.06%
Current HPI
309.5425
Rent YoY
▼ -0.97%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $299,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $325,000 HARMLS
  • 2020-07-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-07-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,990 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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