🏷️ Likely Rental
17246 Burnham Ave · Lansing, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
GREAT INCOME PROPERTY WITH ROOM FOR HIGHER RENTS. Single-Family Ranch Style 2 Bedrooms/1 Bathroom Stove, Refrigerator, and New Carpet Provided 14' X 12' Master Bedroom with Walk In Closet and 12' X 10' 2nd Bedroom Eat In Style Kitchen Dining Room 20' X 12' Living Room Gas Forced Air Heat Washer/Dryer Hook ups Two Car Garage Fenced in Back Yard TENANT OCCUPIED W/ LEASE TILL 11/29/26 Tenant Pays $1,050 Rent/Month and has a $1,050.00 Security Deposit. Tenant Pays All Utilities, Phone, Cable, and Lawn Care Community Features Fifteen miles from downtown Chicago, IL Close to Major Highways via Torrence Avenue & I 80/I 94 interchanges
Key facts
- 2,744 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1954
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fees required; Community features include curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Side driveway; Garage door opener; Garage owned; Total 2 parking spaces (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers; Cable available
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Property currently being leased
- Construction: Approximately 71–80 years old; Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Stone foundation; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Lot approximately 34 x 80; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets in the neighborhood
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/table space; Laminate flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) with carpeted flooring; Bedroom 2 (lower level) 12 x 10 with carpeted flooring; Two bedrooms total
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Laminate in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Screens on windows; Foyer; Dining room; Family room; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the kitchen; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.8% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#296 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Thornton Fractnl So High School (math 11% / reading 14%, grade F, #504 of 693 statewide, top 73%, 1,927 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.53%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17222 Roy St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 945 (0%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $159 | 88 |
| 17157 Chicago Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 931 (-2%) | 4mo | $179,800 | $193 | 83 |
| 3137 176th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (+4%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $194 | 73 |
| 17115 Park Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (+9%) | 2mo | $179,999 | $175 | 72 |
| 1554 Burnham Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 945 (0%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $132 | 72 |
| 17053 Lorenz Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,070 (+13%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $112 | 63 |
| 3346 Bernice Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (+12%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $147 | 60 |
| 1647 Shirley Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+3%) | 4mo | $53,500 | $55 | 52 |
| 17617 Burnham Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 812 (-14%) | 2mo | $130,100 | $160 | 49 |
| 17831 Walter St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 854 (-10%) | 1mo | $185,900 | $218 | 44 |
| 1481 Lincoln Pl | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,047 (+11%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $81 | 41 |
| 17511 Maple Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+10%) | 5mo | $219,000 | $211 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $6,426
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $38,686
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60438
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,633 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,661/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $433 | +0% $400 | +5% $367 | +10% $333 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $271 | -5% $336 | +0% $400 | +5% $464 | +10% $529 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $459 | -0.5pp $430 | base $400 | +0.5pp $369 | +1.0pp $338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3020 178th St Unit C1 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3020 178th St Apt C7 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,357 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 17723 Exchange Ave Unit 17723-1N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,430 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 18335 Sherman St Unit 3 Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $118,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $118,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $118,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $118,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $118,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $118,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $118,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $118,000
-
2026-03-28$119,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,661 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,670 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 0.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,591
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$2,661
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,567
- − Management
- −$1,567
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $3,163
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$759
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,041/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #296
- US rank
- #5698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 28,806
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,806
- Household income
- $75,681
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 830.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.65%
- Current HPI
- 210.3398
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-0.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $118,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Listed $119,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2023): $2,661 · +17.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…