804 Woodworth Ave · Alma, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. You’ll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, you’ll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area—perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. It’s a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
Key facts
- Rich oak trim
- Outdoor deck
- Antique doors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($157/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.2% in Alma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#345 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Alma Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #288 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Luce Road Elementary School (304 students, 72% FRL); Donald L Pavlik Middle School (math 27% / reading 45%, grade F, #269 of 493 statewide, top 56%, 449 students, 69% FRL); Alma Senior High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 558 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $169k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.33%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,885
- List price
- $169,000
- Delta
- -3.91%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 E End St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,907 (+1%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $136 | 92 |
| 207 W End St | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 | 1,836 (-3%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $103 | 84 |
| 620 N State St | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,905 (+1%) | 12mo | $259,900 | $136 | 79 |
| 610 Woodworth Ave | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 1,961 (+4%) | 20mo | $227,500 | $116 | 66 |
| 716 Woodworth Ave | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,617 (-14%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $121 | 63 |
| 909 River Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (-8%) | 9mo | $156,000 | $90 | 61 |
| 309 Walnut | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,626 (-14%) | 14mo | $168,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 614 N River | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,802 (-5%) | 23mo | $166,500 | $92 | 52 |
| 985 FALKIRK Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,974 (+4%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $101 | 41 |
| 416 Mechanic St | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,014 (+6%) | 17mo | $130,000 | $65 | 37 |
| 115 S State St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,144 (+13%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $75 | 36 |
| 252 Ely St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,768 (-6%) | 22mo | $123,715 | $70 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-26,532
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-21,942
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48801
- Home prices YoY
- -32.0%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,495 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $13
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $130 | -5% $71 | +0% $13 | +5% $-45 | +10% $-104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-105 | -5% $-46 | +0% $13 | +5% $72 | +10% $131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $98 | -0.5pp $56 | base $13 | +0.5pp $-31 | +1.0pp $-75 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
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2026-06-21days on market $169,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $169,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-18pricestatus $169,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
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2026-05-31status $179,000 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-19price $179,000 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. Youll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, youll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area-perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. Its a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
-
2026-05-19price $179,000 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. Youll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, youll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area-perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. Its a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
-
2026-04-26status Active 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. You’ll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, you’ll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area—perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. It’s a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
-
2026-04-26status Back on Market 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. You’ll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, you’ll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area—perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. It’s a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
-
2026-04-24historical Active Under Contract 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. You’ll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, you’ll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area—perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. It’s a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
-
2026-04-24historical Accepting Backup Offers 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. You’ll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, you’ll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area—perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. It’s a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
-
2026-04-14$189,000 Active 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. Youll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, youll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area-perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. Its a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
-
2026-04-14$189,000 Active 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Step into this charming turn-of-the-century two-story home offering nearly 1,900 square feet of living space. With 4 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this home blends classic character with everyday comfort. Youll love the original hardwood floors, antique doors, and rich oak trim that give the home a warm, timeless feel. The layout provides plenty of space for both relaxing and entertaining. Outside, youll find a concrete driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a great outdoor deck and patio area-perfect for gatherings or quiet evenings at home. The fenced backyard adds privacy and space for pets, play, or gardening. Located in a desirable neighborhood just north of downtown Alma, this home is only a short distance from shopping, dining, and entertainment. Its a great opportunity to own a home full of character in a convenient location.
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2020-04-02soldstatus $95,000
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2020-04-02soldstatus $95,000
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2020-04-02soldstatus $95,000
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2019-09-25$99,900
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2019-09-25$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,535
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,435
- − Management
- −$1,435
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$2,694
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$647
- After-tax cash flow
- $803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alma Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2602640
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,651
- Composite
- 29.84/100
- National rank
- #6415
- State rank
- #288 of 540 in MI
Livability — Alma
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #345
- US rank
- #8809
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alma, MI
- City population
- 13,433
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,433
Population outlook (Gratiot County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,991 people
- By 2030
- 38,944 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 36,694 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 34,314 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 27,693 · -30.8%
- By 2100
- 20,809 · -48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gratiot
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.3) · D 33.7% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.7pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -31.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.3 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.16%
- Current HPI
- 210.3208
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+79.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $179,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $179,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-26 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-26 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-24 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $189,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-14 Listed $189,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2020-04-02 Sold (MLS) $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-04-02 Sold (MLS) $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-09-25 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-25 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…