CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5309 University Pl
B Composite 74.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

5309 University Pl · Detroit, MI 48224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 870 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1939 5,227 sqft lot $75/sqft · 15% above area Est $77k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* New Price * Charming 3br/1ba bungalow with hardwood floors and newer roof. Large fenced-in yard with detached two car garage. Second floor bedroom/bonus room (25x15) offers beautiful hardwood floors and wood paneling with a vaulted ceiling. Close to parks, restaurants and shopping.

Key facts

  • Second floor bedroom
  • Newer roof
  • Vaulted ceiling

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNEWER ROOFFENCED-IN YARDDETACHED TWO CAR GARAGESECOND FLOOR BEDROOMVAULTED CEILING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No additional amenities requiring separate grouping
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Security: No security features provided
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade finished area reported (1,185 square feet)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 138; Lot about 0.12 acres; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms included)
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Hardwood floors; Basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
17.75%
Cash-on-cash
40.91%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$77,049
List price
$65,000
Delta
-2.66%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5243 Marseilles St 0.09mi 3/1.0 961 (+10%) 7mo $77,500 $81 73
5243 Neff Ave 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-6%) 7mo $85,000 $104 72
6156 Lodewyck St 0.47mi 3/1.0 900 (+3%) 1mo $51,000 $57 72
6015 Hereford St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 886 (+2%) 7mo $85,000 $96 68
5981 University Pl 0.35mi 3/1.0 964 (+11%) 3mo $64,000 $66 63
5955 Guilford St 0.42mi 3/1.0 802 (-8%) 6mo $43,000 $54 63
6135 Marseilles St 0.43mi 3/1.0 988 (+14%) 0mo $55,000 $56 57
5007 Ashley St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 817 (-6%) 2mo $30,000 $37 57
6106 Oldtown St 0.53mi 3/1.5 961 (+10%) 1mo $132,000 $137 55
4356 Harvard Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 921 (+6%) 1mo $150,000 $163 52
4481 Radnor St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-9%) 5mo $32,000 $40 50
4163 University Pl 0.62mi 3/1.0 975 (+12%) 7mo $75,000 $77 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.8%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$25,975
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
4.39×
Total profit
$61,710
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,357 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $1,001/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $571
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $657 -5% $639 +0% $620 +5% $602 +10% $584
Rent -10% $513 -5% $567 +0% $620 +5% $674 +10% $728
Rate -1.0pp $653 -0.5pp $637 base $620 +0.5pp $604 +1.0pp $586

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 17d 1 0.24mi
5915 Farmbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,250 $1.25 25d 1 0.32mi
5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 802 $1,400 $1.75 18d 1 0.40mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.46mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 18d 1 0.47mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 13d 1 0.52mi
4865 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 630 $1,200 $1.90 44d 1 0.53mi
4837 Cadieux Rd Unit 9 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $1,200 $1.85 44d 1 0.54mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 3d 1 0.54mi
17137 Ontario St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 982 $1,123 $1.14 25d 1 0.54mi
4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 10 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 663 $1,200 $1.81 44d 1 0.55mi
4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 663 $1,200 $1.81 22d 1 0.55mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 44d 1 0.58mi
17710 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 984 $1,250 $1.27 44d 1 0.59mi
17720 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 986 $1,250 $1.27 44d 1 0.59mi
22144 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,350 $1.65 18d 1 0.69mi
22144 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,350 $1.65 3d 1 0.69mi
22148 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,250 $1.53 3d 1 0.69mi
22148 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,250 $1.53 18d 1 0.69mi
5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 44d 1 0.69mi
21401 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 944 $1,200 $1.27 25d 1 0.82mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 44d 1 0.88mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 25d 1 0.91mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 4d 1 1.00mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 1.02mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 44d 1 1.03mi
5028 Bedford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 6d 1 1.05mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 44d 1 1.05mi
890 Neff Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 25d 1 1.05mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 13d 1 1.06mi
5031 Bedford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 876 $1,870 $2.13 0d 1 1.07mi
5284 Devonshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 25d 1 1.08mi
20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,399 $1.27 15d 1 1.13mi
5112 Haverhill St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 1.14mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 6d 1 1.14mi
4627 Bedford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $945 $0.90 21d 1 1.16mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 4d 1 1.25mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 4d 1 1.29mi
5235 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 44d 1 1.32mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 18d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on marketlisting id $65,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $85,000 Active 270-char remark
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $85,000 Active 270-char remark
  17. 1998-11-24
    soldstatus $47,500
  18. 1998-08-18
    soldstatus $47,500
  19. 1998-07-17
    historical
  20. 1998-07-03
    listed $46,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,001 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,001 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,280
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,001
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,302
− Management
−$1,302
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$6,818
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,636
After-tax cash flow
$5,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+38.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
  • 1998-08-18 Sold (MLS) $47,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-07-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-07-03 Listed $46,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,001 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…