829 Inwood Forest Blvd · Carlyss, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$529,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This stunning, custom-built residence in the highly sought-after Inwood Forest Subdivision showcases exceptional craftsmanship and timeless Southern elegance. Impeccably maintained, this 5-bedroom, 4.5-bath home is gracefully situated on over half an acre, offering both privacy and refined living. The gourmet kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring double ovens, six-burner gas cooktop, a spacious island, abundant custom cabinetry- perfect for both everyday living and entertaining! The luxurious primary suite offers a sense retreat, complete with a spa-inspired bath ft a soaking tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and an expansive walk-in closet. The thoughtfully designed floor plan includes three bedrooms on main level and two bedrooms with a charming hangout space upstairs with built-in beds! Designed for entertaining, the outdoor living area boasts a full outdoor kitchen, a generous covered patio and a beautifully landscaped yard. The new Life Christian Academy is also being built that is walking distance from this desirable neighborhood! A rare opportunity to own a truly remarkable home- schedule your showing today! Flood insurance is only $771 a year with NO HISTORY of flooding!
Key facts
- Outdoor living area
- Full outdoor kitchen
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $530k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $530k).
- Recommended offer: $498k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 8.3% in Carlyss — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Richard W. Vincent Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #307 of 646 statewide, top 49%, 292 students, 77% FRL); W. W. Lewis Middle School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #62 of 218 statewide, top 29%, 777 students, 49% FRL); Sulphur High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 2,043 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($498k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.00%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $318,666
- List price
- $529,999
- Delta
- 66.32%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-2,575
- Equity at exit
- $79,025
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $105,588
- Equity at exit
- $45,825
Cash invested: $148,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70665
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,779
- Tax from tax record
- −$363 /mo · $4,361/yr
- Insurance
- −$221
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,365
- Net cashflow
- $1,305
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,605 | -5% $1,455 | +0% $1,305 | +5% $1,155 | +10% $1,005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $791 | -5% $1,048 | +0% $1,305 | +5% $1,562 | +10% $1,818 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,572 | -0.5pp $1,440 | base $1,305 | +0.5pp $1,168 | +1.0pp $1,028 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $132,500
- Closing costs
- $15,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1513 Briarwood St Sulphur, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3656 | $6,500 | $1.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $529,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $539,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $539,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $539,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $539,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $539,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $539,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $539,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $539,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $539,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $539,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $539,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $539,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $539,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $539,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $539,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $539,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $539,999 1203-char remark
Show marketing remark (1203 chars)
This stunning, custom-built residence in the highly sought-after Inwood Forest Subdivision showcases exceptional craftsmanship and timeless Southern elegance. Impeccably maintained, this 5-bedroom, 4.5-bath home is gracefully situated on over half an acre, offering both privacy and refined living. The gourmet kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring double ovens, six-burner gas cooktop, a spacious island, abundant custom cabinetry- perfect for both everyday living and entertaining! The luxurious primary suite offers a sense retreat, complete with a spa-inspired bath ft a soaking tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and an expansive walk-in closet. The thoughtfully designed floor plan includes three bedrooms on main level and two bedrooms with a charming hangout space upstairs with built-in beds! Designed for entertaining, the outdoor living area boasts a full outdoor kitchen, a generous covered patio and a beautifully landscaped yard. The new Life Christian Academy is also being built that is walking distance from this desirable neighborhood! A rare opportunity to own a truly remarkable home- schedule your showing today! Flood insurance is only $771 a year with NO HISTORY of flooding!
-
2026-04-15$550,000 Active 1203-char remark
Show marketing remark (1203 chars)
This stunning, custom-built residence in the highly sought-after Inwood Forest Subdivision showcases exceptional craftsmanship and timeless Southern elegance. Impeccably maintained, this 5-bedroom, 4.5-bath home is gracefully situated on over half an acre, offering both privacy and refined living. The gourmet kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring double ovens, six-burner gas cooktop, a spacious island, abundant custom cabinetry- perfect for both everyday living and entertaining! The luxurious primary suite offers a sense retreat, complete with a spa-inspired bath ft a soaking tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and an expansive walk-in closet. The thoughtfully designed floor plan includes three bedrooms on main level and two bedrooms with a charming hangout space upstairs with built-in beds! Designed for entertaining, the outdoor living area boasts a full outdoor kitchen, a generous covered patio and a beautifully landscaped yard. The new Life Christian Academy is also being built that is walking distance from this desirable neighborhood! A rare opportunity to own a truly remarkable home- schedule your showing today! Flood insurance is only $771 a year with NO HISTORY of flooding!
-
2020-12-11soldstatus 839-char remark
Show marketing remark (839 chars)
Custom Southern Acadian beauty located in Inwood Forest Subdivision. Kitchen is made for a chef! 6 burner gas stove top, double ovens, built in microwave and refrigerator. Extra large island, tumbled marble and granite. Off of the kitchen is a breakfast area with lots of windows. Brick arch wall is open to the living room with surround sound speakers, built ins and rustic wood columns. Master bedroom is a true luxury suite with separate tub and walk in shower, granite and double sinks, large custom walk in closet. Main level has 3 bedrooms, upstairs has 2 bedrooms and a playroom/office. Another set of stairs leads to the game room. Mud area with storage and drop area with hooks. 3 car garage, outdoor kitchen, huge back patio, fenced backyard, lush landscape, sprinkler system, alarm and so much more! Come enjoy this front porch!
-
2020-12-11soldstatus $515,000
Show marketing remark (839 chars)
Custom Southern Acadian beauty located in Inwood Forest Subdivision. Kitchen is made for a chef! 6 burner gas stove top, double ovens, built in microwave and refrigerator. Extra large island, tumbled marble and granite. Off of the kitchen is a breakfast area with lots of windows. Brick arch wall is open to the living room with surround sound speakers, built ins and rustic wood columns. Master bedroom is a true luxury suite with separate tub and walk in shower, granite and double sinks, large custom walk in closet. Main level has 3 bedrooms, upstairs has 2 bedrooms and a playroom/office. Another set of stairs leads to the game room. Mud area with storage and drop area with hooks. 3 car garage, outdoor kitchen, huge back patio, fenced backyard, lush landscape, sprinkler system, alarm and so much more! Come enjoy this front porch!
-
2020-03-09$529,500 839-char remark
Show marketing remark (839 chars)
Custom Southern Acadian beauty located in Inwood Forest Subdivision. Kitchen is made for a chef! 6 burner gas stove top, double ovens, built in microwave and refrigerator. Extra large island, tumbled marble and granite. Off of the kitchen is a breakfast area with lots of windows. Brick arch wall is open to the living room with surround sound speakers, built ins and rustic wood columns. Master bedroom is a true luxury suite with separate tub and walk in shower, granite and double sinks, large custom walk in closet. Main level has 3 bedrooms, upstairs has 2 bedrooms and a playroom/office. Another set of stairs leads to the game room. Mud area with storage and drop area with hooks. 3 car garage, outdoor kitchen, huge back patio, fenced backyard, lush landscape, sprinkler system, alarm and so much more! Come enjoy this front porch!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,361 · $363/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,361 · $363/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $78,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,688
- − Property taxes
- −$4,361
- − Insurance
- −$7,768
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,240
- − Management
- −$6,240
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$15,418
- Taxable income
- $7,804
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,873
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,785/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Carlyss
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #18031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carlyss, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,891
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.65%
- Current HPI
- 99.2379
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+2.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $539,999 SWLAR
- 2026-04-15 Listed $550,000 SWLAR
- 2020-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $515,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-11 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
- 2020-03-09 Listed $529,500 SWLAR
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,361 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…