319 Custom House St · Arnaudville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special available in the town of Arnaudville. Beautiful lot with a chain link fence around. There is a nice back patio and a shed that is on a concrete slab. The roof is metal and the exterior is brick. Property does need some work, but is priced to sell.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Brick exterior
- Concrete slab
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); 1 covered parking space; Total parking for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service by Entergy
- Home design: Single family residence; Fixer condition; City street frontage (paved)
- Construction: Brick veneer and frame construction
- Exterior features: Outdoor kitchen; Covered patio/porch; Shed(s); Chain link and partial fencing; Metal roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric stove
- Flooring: Tile; Wood; Wood laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Formica counters; Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#52 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- St. Landry Parish (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #54 of 98 in LA (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Arnaudville Middle School (math 22% / reading 41%, grade F, #108 of 218 statewide, top 50%, 177 students, 69% FRL); Beau Chene High School (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #149 of 265 statewide, top 56%, 891 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 142 units permitted in St. Landry Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Landry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.59%
- DSCR
- 3.70
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,604
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -65.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 575 Main St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-2%) | 4mo | $64,000 | $40 | 70 |
| 234 Saint Joseph St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,583 (-3%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $82 | 67 |
| 1009 Bushville Hwy | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,684 (+3%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $30 | 64 |
| 223 4th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,419 (-13%) | 2mo | $190,500 | $134 | 46 |
| 1040 Wilkins St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,710 (+4%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $120 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $44,324
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 64.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $108,259
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70512
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $914/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $848
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $882 | -5% $865 | +0% $848 | +5% $831 | +10% $814 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $722 | -5% $785 | +0% $848 | +5% $911 | +10% $975 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $878 | -0.5pp $863 | base $848 | +0.5pp $833 | +1.0pp $817 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254 Union St Arnaudville, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $60,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $60,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$65,000 Active 269-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$914
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $9,808
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,354
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Landry Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201560
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,635
- Composite
- 21.59/100
- National rank
- #8303
- State rank
- #54 of 98 in LA
Livability — Arnaudville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #7309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arnaudville, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,703
Population outlook (St. Landry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,114 people
- By 2030
- 82,110 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 79,445 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 75,855 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 65,684 · -21.0%
- By 2100
- 51,739 · -37.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 10% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Landry
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.8) · D 40.0% · R 58.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -18.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+11.9 2012: R+4.3 2008: R+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.35%
- Current HPI
- 132.9236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $60,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $65,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $914 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…