114 W Park St · Hobbs, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 2-story home on a corner lot featuring 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, and approximately 2,400 sq. ft. Conveniently located near downtown Hobbs and several schools. Includes a large shop with potential for a 4-car garage, workshop, or extra storage. Plenty of space inside and out! Call today to schedule your private showing.
Key facts
- Several schools
- Corner lot
- Large shop
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 4 covered parking spaces (4 total spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two-story
- Construction: Stucco exterior
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Irregular lot; Metal roof
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Blinds; Skylights
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (18.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#37 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
- Hobbs Municipal Schools (town): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #45 of 95 in NM (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Hobbs High (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #70 of 110 statewide, top 63%, 2,216 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 24% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hobbs Municipal Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 235 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 172 units permitted in Lea County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lea County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.98%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $380,576
- List price
- $239,000
- Delta
- -31.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-31,809
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-19,082
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88240
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,952 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $948/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $246 | -5% $178 | +0% $110 | +5% $43 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-44 | -5% $33 | +0% $110 | +5% $187 | +10% $265 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $231 | -0.5pp $171 | base $110 | +0.5pp $48 | +1.0pp $-15 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 E Alto Dr Hobbs, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2066 | $2,400 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 328-char remark
-
2026-06-15pricestatusdays on market $239,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-01-30price $260,000
-
2023-01-12price $250,000
-
2022-12-11$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,912 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- +$964/yr (+$80/mo · 101.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$948
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,874
- − Management
- −$1,874
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$2,805
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$673
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hobbs Municipal Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3501260
- Math proficiency
- 17% —
- Reading proficiency
- 31% —
- Median HH income
- $52,575
- Composite
- 24.53/100
- National rank
- #13068
- State rank
- #45 of 95 in NM
Livability — Hobbs
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #11817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hobbs, NM
- County
- Lea County · 41,557 people
- City population
- 41,557
- Metro
- Hobbs, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,557
- Household income
- $63,270
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 968.0
Population outlook (Lea County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,268 people
- By 2030
- 91,695 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 108,366 · +28.6%
- By 2050
- 126,264 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 170,606 · +102.5%
- By 2100
- 199,235 · +136.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 32% White 29% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 55%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 41% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lea
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.5% · R 80.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.2pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.6 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+49.7 2008: R+44.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -246.71%
- Current HPI
- 100.9905
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hobbs, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+44.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $239,000 NMMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $260,000 NMMLS
- 2023-01-12 Price Changed $250,000 NMMLS
- 2022-12-11 Listed $165,000 NMMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $948 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…