2751 S Reche Cyn #162 · Moreno Valley, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!
Key facts
- 1200 acre lot
- Built 1970
- Listed 59 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $942 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 3.9% in Moreno Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#838 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Moreno Valley Unified (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,050 of 1,400 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $81k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.78%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,159
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -5.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2751 Reche Canyon Rd #125 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-14%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $131 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $42,953
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.99×
- Total profit
- $110,596
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92324
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,058 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $942
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,010 | -5% $976 | +0% $942 | +5% $908 | +10% $874 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $779 | -5% $861 | +0% $942 | +5% $1,023 | +10% $1,105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $992 | -0.5pp $967 | base $942 | +0.5pp $916 | +1.0pp $890 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-04-22status Active 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!
-
2026-04-22price $99,000 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!
-
2026-04-03$97,500 Active 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!
-
2026-03-24historical $97,500 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!
-
2024-05-07soldstatus $81,000 Closed Sale 752-char remark
Show marketing remark (752 chars)
Come on in and find the Cozy Home located in the wonderful City of Colton. As you enter the park, you'll be greeted by the park residents who. The mobile home has a total of 2BED 1BATH, with its own personal touches including all its appliances. All blinds and curtains are new and will be staying in the home. As you enter the home, a well sized additional space at the entry for either a small office or storage room. Entering into the home, a nice open living room area with a dining area to the right corner side. Laminate flooring throughout the entire home completed in 2022. Kitchen Cabinetry was replaced in 2020. Washer/Dryer located in the kitchen area near the exit door to the carport. HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.
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2024-03-15status Pending Sale 752-char remark
Show marketing remark (752 chars)
Come on in and find the Cozy Home located in the wonderful City of Colton. As you enter the park, you'll be greeted by the park residents who. The mobile home has a total of 2BED 1BATH, with its own personal touches including all its appliances. All blinds and curtains are new and will be staying in the home. As you enter the home, a well sized additional space at the entry for either a small office or storage room. Entering into the home, a nice open living room area with a dining area to the right corner side. Laminate flooring throughout the entire home completed in 2022. Kitchen Cabinetry was replaced in 2020. Washer/Dryer located in the kitchen area near the exit door to the carport. HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.
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2024-02-28$75,000 Active 752-char remark
Show marketing remark (752 chars)
Come on in and find the Cozy Home located in the wonderful City of Colton. As you enter the park, you'll be greeted by the park residents who. The mobile home has a total of 2BED 1BATH, with its own personal touches including all its appliances. All blinds and curtains are new and will be staying in the home. As you enter the home, a well sized additional space at the entry for either a small office or storage room. Entering into the home, a nice open living room area with a dining area to the right corner side. Laminate flooring throughout the entire home completed in 2022. Kitchen Cabinetry was replaced in 2020. Washer/Dryer located in the kitchen area near the exit door to the carport. HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.
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2017-10-20soldstatus $44,000 Closed Sale
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2017-09-23historical Active Under Contract
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2017-05-30$44,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,701
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,976
- − Management
- −$1,976
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $10,343
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,482
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,821/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moreno Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625800
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,495
- Composite
- 28.36/100
- National rank
- #12131
- State rank
- #1050 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Moreno Valley
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #838
- US rank
- #23203
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 212,104
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,365
- Household income
- $71,078
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2195.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 24% White 11% Black 8% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 69%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 49% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -270.99%
- Current HPI
- 451.2973
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+120.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $99,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $97,500 CRMLS
- 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $97,500 CRMLS
- 2024-05-07 Sold (MLS) $81,000 CRMLS
- 2024-03-15 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-02-28 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2017-10-20 Sold (MLS) $44,000 CRMLS
- 2017-09-23 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2017-05-30 Listed $44,999 CRMLS
Property tax history
-16.1%/yrLatest (2015): $57 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…