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2751 S Reche Cyn #162
B Composite 71.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

2751 S Reche Cyn #162 · Moreno Valley, CA 92324
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1970 1,200 ac lot $101/sqft · 15% below area Est $105k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!

Key facts

  • 1200 acre lot
  • Built 1970
  • Listed 59 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $942 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 3.9% in Moreno Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#838 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Moreno Valley Unified (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,050 of 1,400 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $81k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.71%
Cash-on-cash
40.78%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,159
List price
$99,000
Delta
-5.86%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2751 Reche Canyon Rd #125 0.00mi 2/2.0 840 (-14%) 11mo $110,000 $131 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.7%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$42,953
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
43.1%
Equity multiple
4.99×
Total profit
$110,596
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92324

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$942

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,010 -5% $976 +0% $942 +5% $908 +10% $874
Rent -10% $779 -5% $861 +0% $942 +5% $1,023 +10% $1,105
Rate -1.0pp $992 -0.5pp $967 base $942 +0.5pp $916 +1.0pp $890

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-04-22
    status Active 690-char remark
    Show marketing remark (690 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!

  17. 2026-04-22
    price $99,000 690-char remark
    Show marketing remark (690 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!

  18. 2026-04-03
    listed $97,500 Active 690-char remark
    Show marketing remark (690 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!

  19. 2026-03-24
    historical $97,500 690-char remark
    Show marketing remark (690 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy home located in the desirable City of Colton. Situated within a friendly community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers comfort and functionality throughout. Upon entry, you’ll find a versatile bonus space ideal for a small office or additional storage. The home opens up to a spacious living room with a designated dining area off to the side. Laminate flooring runs throughout, completed in 2022.The kitchen features updated cabinetry installed in 2020, along with a convenient laundry area and direct access to the carport. The HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.A well-maintained home with thoughtful updates ready for its next owner!

  20. 2024-05-07
    soldstatus $81,000 Closed Sale 752-char remark
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Come on in and find the Cozy Home located in the wonderful City of Colton. As you enter the park, you'll be greeted by the park residents who. The mobile home has a total of 2BED 1BATH, with its own personal touches including all its appliances. All blinds and curtains are new and will be staying in the home. As you enter the home, a well sized additional space at the entry for either a small office or storage room. Entering into the home, a nice open living room area with a dining area to the right corner side. Laminate flooring throughout the entire home completed in 2022. Kitchen Cabinetry was replaced in 2020. Washer/Dryer located in the kitchen area near the exit door to the carport. HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.

  21. 2024-03-15
    status Pending Sale 752-char remark
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Come on in and find the Cozy Home located in the wonderful City of Colton. As you enter the park, you'll be greeted by the park residents who. The mobile home has a total of 2BED 1BATH, with its own personal touches including all its appliances. All blinds and curtains are new and will be staying in the home. As you enter the home, a well sized additional space at the entry for either a small office or storage room. Entering into the home, a nice open living room area with a dining area to the right corner side. Laminate flooring throughout the entire home completed in 2022. Kitchen Cabinetry was replaced in 2020. Washer/Dryer located in the kitchen area near the exit door to the carport. HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.

  22. 2024-02-28
    listed $75,000 Active 752-char remark
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Come on in and find the Cozy Home located in the wonderful City of Colton. As you enter the park, you'll be greeted by the park residents who. The mobile home has a total of 2BED 1BATH, with its own personal touches including all its appliances. All blinds and curtains are new and will be staying in the home. As you enter the home, a well sized additional space at the entry for either a small office or storage room. Entering into the home, a nice open living room area with a dining area to the right corner side. Laminate flooring throughout the entire home completed in 2022. Kitchen Cabinetry was replaced in 2020. Washer/Dryer located in the kitchen area near the exit door to the carport. HVAC system was replaced in 2017 and serviced in 2022.

  23. 2017-10-20
    soldstatus $44,000 Closed Sale
  24. 2017-09-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  25. 2017-05-30
    listed $44,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,701
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,976
− Management
−$1,976
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$10,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,482
After-tax cash flow
$8,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moreno Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0625800
Math proficiency
23% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$55,495
Composite
28.36/100
National rank
#12131
State rank
#1050 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Moreno Valley

Score
55/100
State rank
#838
US rank
#23203

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
212,104
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
57,365
Household income
$71,078
Rent vs Own
45.3% rent · 54.7% own
Severe rent burden
2195.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 24% White 11% Black 8% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 49% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -270.99%
Current HPI
451.2973
Rent YoY
▲ 2.50%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $99,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $97,500 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $97,500 CRMLS
  • 2024-05-07 Sold (MLS) $81,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-03-15 Pending CRMLS
  • 2024-02-28 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
  • 2017-10-20 Sold (MLS) $44,000 CRMLS
  • 2017-09-23 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2017-05-30 Listed $44,999 CRMLS

Property tax history

-16.1%/yr

Latest (2015): $57 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…