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1021 S Holly Ln
D Composite 41.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,500

1021 S Holly Ln · Midwest City, OK 73110
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 620 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1955 7,200 sqft lot $177/sqft · 39% above area Est $121k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ideally located in Midwest City, this updated 3-bedroom home offers a seamless commute with quick access to major highways and is just minutes from Tinker Air Force Base. The interior has been refreshed with newer paint and flooring throughout, featuring a versatile third bedroom that can easily function as a spacious second living area or home office to suit your needs. The kitchen is bathed in natural light and boasts newer cabinetry paired with a stylish subway tile backsplash. Each bedroom maintains its unique character with built-in closet shelving, while the convenience of an interior laundry room leads directly to the outdoors. Additional updates include a brand-new HVAC system installed in 2025, offering enhanced efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard that provides ample space for relaxation and play.

Key facts

  • Newer cabinetry
  • Updated home
  • 7,200 sq ft lot

Tags

UPDATED HOMEQUICK ACCESS TO HIGHWAYSVERSATILE THIRD BEDROOMNEWER CABINETRYSUBWAY TILE BACKSPLASHBUILT-IN CLOSET SHELVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-107/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (1.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Willow Brook Es (346 students, 0% FRL); Classen Ms of Advanced Studies (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #6 of 345 statewide, top 1%, 855 students, 0% FRL); Southeast Hs (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #355 of 447 statewide, top 80%, 854 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 8% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Oklahoma City average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,571 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.35%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,861
List price
$109,500
Delta
-9.40%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3317 Willow Creek Dr 0.37mi 2/1.0 620 (0%) 3mo $48,500 $78 80
3325 Brookside Dr 0.39mi 2/1.0 620 (0%) 16mo $105,000 $169 69
914 N Locust Ln 0.12mi 2/1.0 704 (+14%) 23mo $90,000 $128 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-18,326
Equity at exit
$16,327
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-16,751
Equity at exit
$9,468

Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73110

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$906 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$574
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,255/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$-9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $917
Max offer price $107,926
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $53 -5% $22 +0% $-9 +5% $-40 +10% $-71
Rent -10% $-80 -5% $-45 +0% $-9 +5% $27 +10% $63
Rate -1.0pp $46 -0.5pp $19 base $-9 +0.5pp $-37 +1.0pp $-66

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,375
Closing costs
$3,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7801 NE 10th St Oklahoma City, OK 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 940 $999 $1.06 3d 23 0.60mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 126 Midwest City, OK 1.0 1.0 519 $700 $1.35 25d 1 0.73mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 104 Midwest City, OK 1.0 1.0 735 $800 $1.09 12d 1 0.73mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 340 Midwest City, OK 1.0 1.0 519 $700 $1.35 12d 1 0.73mi
8517 E Reno Ave Oklahoma City, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $859 $1.03 6d 1 0.75mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 803 $850 $1.06 13d 34 0.75mi
1168 N Douglas Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,020 $1.41 18d 1 0.75mi
8032 E Reno Ave Oklahoma City, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0 770 $850 $1.10 4d 3 0.94mi
2212 Felix Pl Midwest City, OK 1.0 1.0 650 $645 $0.99 25d 1 1.19mi
1250 N Air Depot Blvd Midwest City, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 692 $909 $1.31 6d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,500 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,500 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,500 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,500 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,500 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,500 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,500 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,500 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,500 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,500 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,500 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,500 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,500 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,500 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $114,900 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    Ideally located in Midwest City, this updated 3-bedroom home offers a seamless commute with quick access to major highways and is just minutes from Tinker Air Force Base. The interior has been refreshed with newer paint and flooring throughout, featuring a versatile third bedroom that can easily function as a spacious second living area or home office to suit your needs. The kitchen is bathed in natural light and boasts newer cabinetry paired with a stylish subway tile backsplash. Each bedroom maintains its unique character with built-in closet shelving, while the convenience of an interior laundry room leads directly to the outdoors. Additional updates include a brand-new HVAC system installed in 2025, offering enhanced efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard that provides ample space for relaxation and play.

  16. 2026-04-01
    price $119,900 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    Ideally located in Midwest City, this updated 3-bedroom home offers a seamless commute with quick access to major highways and is just minutes from Tinker Air Force Base. The interior has been refreshed with newer paint and flooring throughout, featuring a versatile third bedroom that can easily function as a spacious second living area or home office to suit your needs. The kitchen is bathed in natural light and boasts newer cabinetry paired with a stylish subway tile backsplash. Each bedroom maintains its unique character with built-in closet shelving, while the convenience of an interior laundry room leads directly to the outdoors. Additional updates include a brand-new HVAC system installed in 2025, offering enhanced efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard that provides ample space for relaxation and play.

  17. 2026-03-17
    listed $124,900 Active 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    Ideally located in Midwest City, this updated 3-bedroom home offers a seamless commute with quick access to major highways and is just minutes from Tinker Air Force Base. The interior has been refreshed with newer paint and flooring throughout, featuring a versatile third bedroom that can easily function as a spacious second living area or home office to suit your needs. The kitchen is bathed in natural light and boasts newer cabinetry paired with a stylish subway tile backsplash. Each bedroom maintains its unique character with built-in closet shelving, while the convenience of an interior laundry room leads directly to the outdoors. Additional updates include a brand-new HVAC system installed in 2025, offering enhanced efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard that provides ample space for relaxation and play.

  18. 2022-07-13
    soldstatus $85,000
  19. 2022-07-08
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!

  20. 2022-07-03
    status Pending 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!

  21. 2022-06-28
    status Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!

  22. 2022-06-10
    status Pending 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!

  23. 2022-04-07
    listed $95,000 Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!

  24. 2021-05-03
    soldstatus $75,000
  25. 2021-04-29
    soldstatus $75,000 Sold
  26. 2021-03-18
    status Pending
  27. 2021-03-11
    listed $81,400 Active
  28. 2020-03-03
    soldstatus $48,000
  29. 2020-02-28
    soldstatus $48,000 Sold
  30. 2020-02-25
    status Pending
  31. 2020-02-08
    listed $50,000 Active
  32. 2007-12-19
    historical
  33. 2006-07-31
    soldstatus $48,000
  34. 2006-07-21
    soldstatus $47,900
  35. 2005-12-14
    listed $47,900
  36. 2005-06-24
    listed $56,500
  37. 2003-09-02
    soldstatus $27,000
  38. 2003-04-12
    listed $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,255 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,255 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,869
− Mortgage interest
−$6,134
− Property taxes
−$1,255
− Insurance
−$548
− Repairs & maintenance
−$869
− Management
−$869
− Depreciation
−$3,185
Taxable loss
−$1,992
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$478
After-tax cash flow
$371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oklahoma City
NCES district ID
4022770
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,606
Composite
7.0/100
National rank
#9970
State rank
#254 of 270 in OK

Livability — Midwest City

Score
71/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#6637

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midwest City, OK
County
Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
City population
57,386
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
32,348
Household income
$51,228
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
911,875 people
By 2030
982,413 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,130,468 · +24.0%
By 2050
1,288,422 · +41.3%
By 2075
1,711,482 · +87.7%
By 2100
2,088,448 · +129.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.25%
Current HPI
257.0791
Rent YoY
▲ 2.99%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+325.6% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $114,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $119,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $124,900 MLSOK
  • 2022-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-08 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MLSOK
  • 2022-07-03 Pending MLSOK
  • 2022-06-28 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2022-06-10 Pending MLSOK
  • 2022-04-07 Listed $95,000 MLSOK
  • 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-29 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MLSOK
  • 2021-03-18 Pending MLSOK
  • 2021-03-11 Listed $81,400 MLSOK
  • 2020-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2020-02-28 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MLSOK
  • 2020-02-25 Pending MLSOK
  • 2020-02-08 Listed $50,000 MLSOK
  • 2007-12-19 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2006-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2006-07-21 Sold (MLS) $47,900 MLSOK
  • 2005-12-14 Listed $47,900 MLSOK
  • 2005-06-24 Listed $56,500 MLSOK
  • 2003-09-02 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MLSOK
  • 2003-04-12 Listed $27,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,255 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…