1021 S Holly Ln · Midwest City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ideally located in Midwest City, this updated 3-bedroom home offers a seamless commute with quick access to major highways and is just minutes from Tinker Air Force Base. The interior has been refreshed with newer paint and flooring throughout, featuring a versatile third bedroom that can easily function as a spacious second living area or home office to suit your needs. The kitchen is bathed in natural light and boasts newer cabinetry paired with a stylish subway tile backsplash. Each bedroom maintains its unique character with built-in closet shelving, while the convenience of an interior laundry room leads directly to the outdoors. Additional updates include a brand-new HVAC system installed in 2025, offering enhanced efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard that provides ample space for relaxation and play.
Key facts
- Newer cabinetry
- Updated home
- 7,200 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-107/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $91k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Willow Brook Es (346 students, 0% FRL); Classen Ms of Advanced Studies (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #6 of 345 statewide, top 1%, 855 students, 0% FRL); Southeast Hs (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #355 of 447 statewide, top 80%, 854 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 8% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Oklahoma City average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.35%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,861
- List price
- $109,500
- Delta
- -9.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3317 Willow Creek Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 620 (0%) | 3mo | $48,500 | $78 | 80 |
| 3325 Brookside Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 620 (0%) | 16mo | $105,000 | $169 | 69 |
| 914 N Locust Ln | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+14%) | 23mo | $90,000 | $128 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-18,326
- Equity at exit
- $16,327
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-16,751
- Equity at exit
- $9,468
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73110
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $906 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,255/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $-9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $53 | -5% $22 | +0% $-9 | +5% $-40 | +10% $-71 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-80 | -5% $-45 | +0% $-9 | +5% $27 | +10% $63 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $46 | -0.5pp $19 | base $-9 | +0.5pp $-37 | +1.0pp $-66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7801 NE 10th St Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 940 | $999 | $1.06 | 3d | 23 | 0.60mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 126 Midwest City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 519 | $700 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 104 Midwest City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $800 | $1.09 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 340 Midwest City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 519 | $700 | $1.35 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8517 E Reno Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $859 | $1.03 | 6d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 803 | $850 | $1.06 | 13d | 34 | 0.75mi |
| 1168 N Douglas Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,020 | $1.41 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8032 E Reno Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $850 | $1.10 | 4d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 2212 Felix Pl Midwest City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $645 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1250 N Air Depot Blvd Midwest City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 692 | $909 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,500 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $114,900 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Ideally located in Midwest City, this updated 3-bedroom home offers a seamless commute with quick access to major highways and is just minutes from Tinker Air Force Base. The interior has been refreshed with newer paint and flooring throughout, featuring a versatile third bedroom that can easily function as a spacious second living area or home office to suit your needs. The kitchen is bathed in natural light and boasts newer cabinetry paired with a stylish subway tile backsplash. Each bedroom maintains its unique character with built-in closet shelving, while the convenience of an interior laundry room leads directly to the outdoors. Additional updates include a brand-new HVAC system installed in 2025, offering enhanced efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard that provides ample space for relaxation and play.
-
2026-04-01price $119,900 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Ideally located in Midwest City, this updated 3-bedroom home offers a seamless commute with quick access to major highways and is just minutes from Tinker Air Force Base. The interior has been refreshed with newer paint and flooring throughout, featuring a versatile third bedroom that can easily function as a spacious second living area or home office to suit your needs. The kitchen is bathed in natural light and boasts newer cabinetry paired with a stylish subway tile backsplash. Each bedroom maintains its unique character with built-in closet shelving, while the convenience of an interior laundry room leads directly to the outdoors. Additional updates include a brand-new HVAC system installed in 2025, offering enhanced efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard that provides ample space for relaxation and play.
-
2026-03-17$124,900 Active 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Ideally located in Midwest City, this updated 3-bedroom home offers a seamless commute with quick access to major highways and is just minutes from Tinker Air Force Base. The interior has been refreshed with newer paint and flooring throughout, featuring a versatile third bedroom that can easily function as a spacious second living area or home office to suit your needs. The kitchen is bathed in natural light and boasts newer cabinetry paired with a stylish subway tile backsplash. Each bedroom maintains its unique character with built-in closet shelving, while the convenience of an interior laundry room leads directly to the outdoors. Additional updates include a brand-new HVAC system installed in 2025, offering enhanced efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard that provides ample space for relaxation and play.
-
2022-07-13soldstatus $85,000
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2022-07-08soldstatus $85,000 Sold 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!
-
2022-07-03status Pending 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!
-
2022-06-28status Active 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!
-
2022-06-10status Pending 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!
-
2022-04-07$95,000 Active 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
This adorable home has been a great rental and would make someone a great investment property or starter home. 2 Bedrooms and 1 bath. 1 Car Garage and large fenced yard. Home was freshly painted inside and out in 2020. New carpet in 2020 also. Washer/Dryer/ Stove/Refrigerator are included with the purchase. Come look at this cute home and see what it has to offer!
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2021-05-03soldstatus $75,000
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2021-04-29soldstatus $75,000 Sold
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2021-03-18status Pending
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2021-03-11$81,400 Active
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2020-03-03soldstatus $48,000
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2020-02-28soldstatus $48,000 Sold
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2020-02-25status Pending
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2020-02-08$50,000 Active
-
2007-12-19historical
-
2006-07-31soldstatus $48,000
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2006-07-21soldstatus $47,900
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2005-12-14$47,900
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2005-06-24$56,500
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2003-09-02soldstatus $27,000
-
2003-04-12$27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,255 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,255 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$1,255
- − Insurance
- −$548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$869
- − Management
- −$869
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable loss
- −$1,992
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$478
- After-tax cash flow
- $371/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oklahoma City
- NCES district ID
- 4022770
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,606
- Composite
- 7.0/100
- National rank
- #9970
- State rank
- #254 of 270 in OK
Livability — Midwest City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midwest City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 57,386
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,348
- Household income
- $51,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1440.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.25%
- Current HPI
- 257.0791
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.99%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+325.6% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $114,900 MLSOK
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $119,900 MLSOK
- 2026-03-17 Listed $124,900 MLSOK
- 2022-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-08 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MLSOK
- 2022-07-03 Pending — MLSOK
- 2022-06-28 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2022-06-10 Pending — MLSOK
- 2022-04-07 Listed $95,000 MLSOK
- 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-29 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MLSOK
- 2021-03-18 Pending — MLSOK
- 2021-03-11 Listed $81,400 MLSOK
- 2020-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-28 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MLSOK
- 2020-02-25 Pending — MLSOK
- 2020-02-08 Listed $50,000 MLSOK
- 2007-12-19 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2006-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2006-07-21 Sold (MLS) $47,900 MLSOK
- 2005-12-14 Listed $47,900 MLSOK
- 2005-06-24 Listed $56,500 MLSOK
- 2003-09-02 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MLSOK
- 2003-04-12 Listed $27,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,255 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…