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606 Wilkins St
B+ Composite 77.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

606 Wilkins St · Rochester, NY 14621
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,317 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1930 3,237 sqft lot $76/sqft · 20% below area Est $126k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

With over 1300 square feet, this handyman special with most of the major work done is brimming with potential! 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, half bathroom already roughed in, and a new roof, siding, bathroom, and gutters. Easy access to major amenities. Most drywall work has been completed too. Finish out the rest and walk into instant equity! This would make a great investment or owner occupied property!

Key facts

  • New siding
  • New bathroom
  • New gutters

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW SIDINGNEW BATHROOMNEW GUTTERSEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story existing residence; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 39 x 83)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater (listed under appliances)
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms including living areas (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Varies by room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Additional interior features noted in remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Basement available (full basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,550/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $100k implies a 354% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.59%
Cash-on-cash
26.06%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,595
List price
$99,900
Delta
-20.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
207 Herald St 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-2%) 1mo $60,000 $47 90
1295 North Street St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,347 (+2%) 2mo $70,000 $52 79
1271 North St 0.25mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,276 (-3%) 2mo $128,900 $101 75
235 Ernst St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,164 (-12%) 2mo $170,000 $146 65
623 Avenue D 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,254 (-5%) 2mo $70,000 $56 59
116 Barberry 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,220 (-7%) 2mo $175,000 $143 59
73 Kosciusko St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,470 (+12%) 2mo $55,000 $37 58
227 Newcomb St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,372 (+4%) 1mo $225,000 $164 55
56 Northlane Dr 0.63mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,232 (-6%) 2mo $90,142 $73 51
82 Kosciusko St 0.47mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,137 (-14%) 3mo $174,000 $153 48
749 Avenue D 0.49mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,508 (+14%) 1mo $80,000 $53 46
34 Zygment St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,137 (-14%) 2mo $182,000 $160 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$30,669
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
35.6%
Equity multiple
5.07×
Total profit
$113,716
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14621

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $619/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$607

Break-even live

Break-even rent $781
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1320 $1,400 $1.06 44d 1 0.13mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1169 $950 $0.81 10d 1 0.19mi
25 Trust St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1003 $1,600 $1.60 3d 1 0.29mi
811 Portland Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1616 $1,300 $0.80 14d 1 0.34mi
100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1456 $1,100 $0.76 44d 1 0.40mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,775 $1.68 44d 1 0.45mi
239 Weyl St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,600 $1.32 19d 1 0.47mi
207 Lux St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1728 $2,150 $1.24 10d 1 0.47mi
47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1250 $1,900 $1.52 21d 1 0.71mi
Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 896 $1,100 $1.23 14d 1 0.74mi
117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1460 $1,975 $1.35 10d 1 0.79mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1289 $1,950 $1.51 21d 1 0.83mi
52 Frances St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1256 $1,595 $1.27 44d 1 0.86mi
32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 652 $1,485 $2.28 3d 8 1.02mi
86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,030 $1.14 21d 1 1.04mi
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,500 $1.28 3d 1 1.07mi
95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,630 $1.98 3d 1 1.11mi
222 Ellison St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 14d 1 1.14mi
1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 936 $1,800 $1.92 23d 1 1.17mi
59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1728 $1,800 $1.04 3d 1 1.19mi
493 Hollenbeck St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 936 $1,275 $1.36 14d 1 1.29mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 44d 1 1.29mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 21d 1 1.29mi
152 Gibbs St Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 950 $1,875 $1.97 14d 3 1.36mi
195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1413 $1,265 $0.90 3d 1 1.39mi
128 Gibbs St Unit 136 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,795 $1.99 10d 1 1.40mi
128 Gibbs St Unit 130 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,875 $1.88 10d 1 1.40mi
395 Alexander St Unit UN12 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1226 $2,200 $1.79 14d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-02
    listed $99,900 Active 407-char remark
  17. 2013-08-05
    listed $19,900
  18. 2011-07-19
    listed $24,900
  19. 1998-09-23
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$619 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,154 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$535/yr (+$45/mo · 86.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,600
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$619
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$6,004
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,441
After-tax cash flow
$5,848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
32,381
Household income
$35,383
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
2756.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.66%
Current HPI
254.1805
Rent YoY
▲ 8.88%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+354.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-08-05 Listed $19,900 UNYREIS
  • 2011-07-19 Listed $24,900 UNYREIS
  • 1998-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $619 · -50.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…