921 N Wayne St · Milledgeville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy Home Conveniently Located Close to 441, GCSU, and Downtown Milledgeville! Home is a One Bedroom, One Bathroom, with an Extra Room Being Used as a Bedroom. Good Sized Lot in Great Area! Other Structure at Back of Lot Will Most Likely Need to Be Torn Down.
Key facts
- Replaced water line
- Large lot
- Newer blinds
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.2 acres
- Financial info: Listing available for Cash, Conventional, and FHA financing; Property sold as-is; agent owned
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; House structure; Built in 1966; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Grassed yard; City lot; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating with forced air; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Other interior features; One-level layout; Crawl space basement; Family room and additional flexible room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.3% in Milledgeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#134 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (town): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #152 of 174 in GA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lakeview Primary (835 students, 89% FRL); Oak Hill Ms (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #372 of 470 statewide, top 80%, 986 students, 89% FRL); Baldwin High School (math 10% / reading 21%, grade F, #290 of 424 statewide, top 69%, 1,311 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 72% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 202 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $90k implies a 318% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.53%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,051
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -1.26%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 W Charlton St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (-5%) | 3mo | $87,000 | $104 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,304
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $29,187
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31061
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 382
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,070 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $882/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $314 | -5% $288 | +0% $263 | +5% $237 | +10% $212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $178 | -5% $221 | +0% $263 | +5% $305 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $308 | -0.5pp $286 | base $263 | +0.5pp $240 | +1.0pp $216 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Jacqueline Ter NW Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 46d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1920 Karen Cir Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $985 | $0.88 | 46d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1900 N Jefferson St NE Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 450 W Franklin St Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 46d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 621 S Wilkinson St Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 46d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$89,900 New 1049-char remark
-
2022-10-31historical
-
2022-10-21price $53,900
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2022-09-23price $54,900
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2022-08-11price $59,900
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2022-08-04price $64,900
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2022-07-25price $74,900
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2022-06-14price $79,900
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2022-06-08$89,900 New
-
2022-03-18soldstatus $21,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Cozy Home Conveniently Located Close to 441, GCSU, and Downtown Milledgeville! Home is a One Bedroom, One Bathroom, with an Extra Room Being Used as a Bedroom. Good Sized Lot in Great Area! Other Structure at Back of Lot Will Most Likely Need to Be Torn Down.
-
2022-01-31status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Cozy Home Conveniently Located Close to 441, GCSU, and Downtown Milledgeville! Home is a One Bedroom, One Bathroom, with an Extra Room Being Used as a Bedroom. Good Sized Lot in Great Area! Other Structure at Back of Lot Will Most Likely Need to Be Torn Down.
-
2021-12-15price $44,900
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Cozy Home Conveniently Located Close to 441, GCSU, and Downtown Milledgeville! Home is a One Bedroom, One Bathroom, with an Extra Room Being Used as a Bedroom. Good Sized Lot in Great Area! Other Structure at Back of Lot Will Most Likely Need to Be Torn Down.
-
2021-12-02$49,900 New
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Cozy Home Conveniently Located Close to 441, GCSU, and Downtown Milledgeville! Home is a One Bedroom, One Bathroom, with an Extra Room Being Used as a Bedroom. Good Sized Lot in Great Area! Other Structure at Back of Lot Will Most Likely Need to Be Torn Down.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $882 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $882 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,839
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$882
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,027
- − Management
- −$1,027
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $1,802
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$432
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 1300210
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,615
- Composite
- 13.61/100
- National rank
- #9508
- State rank
- #152 of 174 in GA
Livability — Milledgeville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #9206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milledgeville, GA
- County
- Baldwin County · 41,764 people
- City population
- 41,764
- Metro
- Milledgeville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,764
- Household income
- $54,263
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1630.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,602 people
- By 2030
- 45,481 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 44,310 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,129 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 36,819 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 29,320 · -35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.8pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+1.7 2012: D+5.5 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.16%
- Current HPI
- 241.3758
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.05%
- Metro
- Milledgeville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+80.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $89,900 GAMLS
- 2022-10-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2022-10-21 Price Changed $53,900 GAMLS
- 2022-09-23 Price Changed $54,900 GAMLS
- 2022-08-11 Price Changed $59,900 GAMLS
- 2022-08-04 Price Changed $64,900 GAMLS
- 2022-07-25 Price Changed $74,900 GAMLS
- 2022-06-14 Price Changed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2022-06-08 Listed $89,900 GAMLS
- 2022-03-18 Sold (MLS) $21,500 GAMLS
- 2022-01-31 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-12-15 Price Changed $44,900 GAMLS
- 2021-12-02 Listed $49,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $882 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…