902 S Calvin Rd · Spokane Valley, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this affordable South Valley Townhome! Located in the desirable CV school district, close to all shopping and amenities. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1504sqft and two large living rooms, perfect for entertaining. Attached garage to store all of your toys and a large backyard for Fido to roam. Currently leased through March 2027. This is the investment you’ve been waiting for!
Key facts
- Cv school district
- Attached garage
- Large backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-431 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (24.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (35.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (35.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.0% in Spokane Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#31 in WA, #512 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Central Valley School District (urban): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #55 of 291 in WA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $152k; list at $315k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.86%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $432,312
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- -27.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1105 S Rees Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (-1%) | 16mo | $579,000 | $387 | 79 |
| 14411 E 5th Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-7%) | 2mo | $479,900 | $342 | 75 |
| 919 S Calvin Rd | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+1%) | 20mo | $365,000 | $240 | 74 |
| 404 S Reese Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,595 (+6%) | 8mo | $470,000 | $295 | 69 |
| 1214 S Progress Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (+6%) | 1mo | $450,000 | $283 | 68 |
| 1113 S Bannen Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (+11%) | 12mo | $443,000 | $266 | 62 |
| 1319 S Bolivar Ln | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 | 1,482 (-2%) | 20mo | $427,500 | $288 | 60 |
| 1304 S Best Rd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+13%) | 13mo | $412,000 | $242 | 55 |
| 401 S Lucille Ct | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,317 (-12%) | 4mo | $375,000 | $285 | 47 |
| 521 S Blake Rd | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,412 (-6%) | 10mo | $407,000 | $288 | 44 |
| 15217 E 15th Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,688 (+12%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $207 | 37 |
| 624 S Blake Rd | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+12%) | 18mo | $380,000 | $226 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-84,508
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -47.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.50×
- Total profit
- $-132,246
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99037
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,043 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$261 /mo · $3,133/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $-431
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-252 | -5% $-341 | +0% $-431 | +5% $-520 | +10% $-609 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-592 | -5% $-511 | +0% $-431 | +5% $-350 | +10% $-269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-272 | -0.5pp $-351 | base $-431 | +0.5pp $-512 | +1.0pp $-595 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 S Rees Ct Unit 212 Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 13914 E 14th Ln Unit 13916 Veradale, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,950 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1510 S Progress Rd Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $3,350 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 15307 E 4th Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,050 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 15720 E 4th Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $2,001 | $1.96 | 15d | 19 | 0.93mi |
| 15821 E 4th Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $1,665 | $1.77 | 15d | 6 | 0.94mi |
| 402 N Mayhew Ln Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,495 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 319 S Woodlawn Ln Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1490 | $1,895 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 218 Woodlawn Ln Unit 1 Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1457 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 13610 E Broadway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $2,435 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2804 S Marcus Ln City of Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1184 | $2,463 | $2.08 | 15d | 23 | 1.24mi |
| 15922 E Valleyway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1039 | $1,570 | $1.51 | 15d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 16122 E Valleyway Ave Unit B303 Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12625 E Main Ave Unit 8 Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1370 | $1,899 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 12403 E 3rd Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,580 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 215 S Conklin Rd Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,020 | $1.90 | 15d | 11 | 1.35mi |
| 224 N Conklin Rd Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $2,350 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 16102 E Broadway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $1,710 | $1.93 | 15d | 16 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $315,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $315,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $315,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$315,000 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Don't miss this affordable South Valley Townhome! Located in the desirable CV school district, close to all shopping and amenities. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1504sqft and two large living rooms, perfect for entertaining. Attached garage to store all of your toys and a large backyard for Fido to roam. Currently leased through March 2027. This is the investment you’ve been waiting for!
-
2026-04-01$315,000 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Don't miss this affordable South Valley Townhome! Located in the desirable CV school district, close to all shopping and amenities. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1504sqft and two large living rooms, perfect for entertaining. Attached garage to store all of your toys and a large backyard for Fido to roam. Currently leased through March 2027. This is the investment you’ve been waiting for!
-
2001-08-30soldstatus $152,500
-
1994-12-30soldstatus $79,000
-
1993-07-01soldstatus $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,133 · $261/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,133 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$3,133
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,961
- − Management
- −$1,961
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$10,928
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,623
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Valley School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301110
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,824
- Composite
- 53.62/100
- National rank
- #3107
- State rank
- #55 of 291 in WA
Livability — Spokane Valley
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spokane Valley, WA
- County
- Spokane County · 496,401 people
- City population
- 129,511
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,522
- Household income
- $87,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 361.0
Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 531,314 people
- By 2030
- 549,278 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 577,822 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 598,188 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 630,744 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 622,360 · +17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spokane
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.98%
- Current HPI
- 314.9207
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.21%
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+133.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $315,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $315,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $152,500 Public Records
- 1994-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 1993-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,133 · -4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…