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351 Squirrel Rd #114
D Composite 44.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

351 Squirrel Rd #114 · Auburn Hills, MI 48326
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,425 sqft · SingleFamily · 22 Days on market
Built 1987 4,356 sqft lot $865/mo HOA · 37% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath mobile home in the heart of Auburn Hills! Conveniently located near Oakland University, this home offers easy access to shopping, dining, entertainment, and major expressways. Enjoy nearby outdoor recreation including the popular Auburn Hills Skate Park and local recreational parks. Spacious layout with comfortable living areas, generous bedrooms, and a functional floor plan perfect for everyday living. Great opportunity for affordable living in a prime Oakland County location! * * Please note- buyers must submit application through the park, prior to purchase.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1987
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot described as irregular; approximately 0.1 acre
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly association fee of $865; Community clubhouse

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built with asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access; Shed on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Range hood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Range hood; Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $704 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 4.4% in Auburn Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#151 in MI, #3,766 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Avondale School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #162 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Recommended offer $39,301 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.85%
Cap rate
27.46%
Cash-on-cash
75.60%
DSCR
4.36
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,750
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
351 N Squirrel Road Lot 178 Rd 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+5%) 5mo $56,500 $38 83
151 Rosetta Ct 0.53mi 3/2.5 1,448 (+2%) 12mo $285,000 $197 60
2921 Auburn Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,413 (-1%) 19mo $220,000 $156 54
3421 Parkways Blvd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,366 (-4%) 19mo $260,000 $190 54
3071 Churchill Rd 0.33mi 3/2.5 1,614 (+13%) 10mo $312,000 $193 52
3207 Waukegan St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,505 (+6%) 0mo $248,073 $165 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
69.4%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$32,088
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
71.9%
Equity multiple
6.51×
Total profit
$61,525
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48326

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,335 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$865
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$704

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,444
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $731 -5% $718 +0% $704 +5% $690 +10% $676
Rent -10% $519 -5% $612 +0% $704 +5% $796 +10% $888
Rate -1.0pp $724 -0.5pp $714 base $704 +0.5pp $694 +1.0pp $683

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 N Squirrel Rd Auburn Hills, MI 2.0–3.0 2.5–3.0 1475 $2,320 $1.57 0d 15 0.22mi
3250 Auburn Rd Unit The Carmichael Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 885 $2,150 $2.43 0d 1 0.52mi
192 Raleigh Ave Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1700 $2,400 $1.41 44d 1 0.56mi
27 S Squirrel Rd Unit 305 Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 885 $2,245 $2.54 2d 1 0.56mi
124 Optimist Auburn Hills, MI 3.0 2.0–2.5 2123 $3,042 $1.43 0d 5 0.74mi
2862 Tall Oaks Ct Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 987 $1,520 $1.54 2d 6 1.24mi
806 Bloomfield Village Blvd Unit K Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 881 $1,500 $1.70 44d 1 1.29mi
3161 Bloomfield Ln Auburn Hills, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 937 $1,499 $1.60 0d 22 1.30mi
676 Sheffield Rd Auburn Hills, MI 3.0 1.5 1421 $2,495 $1.76 0d 1 1.33mi
3200 South Blvd Bloomfield Hills, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1782 $4,250 $2.38 0d 1 1.47mi
920 Heritage Dr Bloomfield Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1804 $3,600 $2.00 0d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$865 · $10,380/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $39,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $42,500 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $42,500 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,500 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $42,500 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $42,500 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $42,500 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,500 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,500 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $42,500 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $42,500 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,500 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,500 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,500 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $42,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    Welcome home to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath mobile home in the heart of Auburn Hills! Conveniently located near Oakland University, this home offers easy access to shopping, dining, entertainment, and major expressways. Enjoy nearby outdoor recreation including the popular Auburn Hills Skate Park and local recreational parks. Spacious layout with comfortable living areas, generous bedrooms, and a functional floor plan perfect for everyday living. Great opportunity for affordable living in a prime Oakland County location! * * Please note- buyers must submit application through the park, prior to purchase.

  17. 2026-05-27
    listed $42,500 Active 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    Welcome home to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath mobile home in the heart of Auburn Hills! Conveniently located near Oakland University, this home offers easy access to shopping, dining, entertainment, and major expressways. Enjoy nearby outdoor recreation including the popular Auburn Hills Skate Park and local recreational parks. Spacious layout with comfortable living areas, generous bedrooms, and a functional floor plan perfect for everyday living. Great opportunity for affordable living in a prime Oakland County location! * * Please note- buyers must submit application through the park, prior to purchase.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,019
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,242
− Management
−$2,242
− HOA
−$10,380
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$8,963
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,151
After-tax cash flow
$6,295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Avondale School District
NCES district ID
2603690
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,549
Composite
37.33/100
National rank
#4442
State rank
#162 of 540 in MI

Livability — Auburn Hills

Score
76/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#3766

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn Hills, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
24,514
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,514
Household income
$85,190
Rent vs Own
48.3% rent · 51.7% own
Severe rent burden
986.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Asian 15% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.32%
Current HPI
178.7685
Rent YoY
▼ -2.27%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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