2507 Emery St · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Appreciation +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Part of 40 property rental package. Contact Agent for details!
Key facts
- 5,401 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
- Listed 173 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($888 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $316 of equity ($415 loan paydown + $-99 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.65%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,065
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- 39.32%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2527 Emery St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,310 (+0%) | 7mo | $29,000 | $22 | 92 |
| 2528 Attaway Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,284 (-2%) | 0mo | $22,500 | $18 | 84 |
| 2630 Emery St | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,392 (+6%) | 15mo | $32,000 | $23 | 67 |
| 2642 Woodford St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,303 (-0%) | 16mo | $44,900 | $34 | 60 |
| 1802 Midway St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,208 (-8%) | 2mo | $49,900 | $41 | 57 |
| 2427 Corol St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,402 (+7%) | 21mo | $40,000 | $29 | 50 |
| 2618 Drexel | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,158 (-11%) | 17mo | $50,000 | $43 | 39 |
| 2936 Penick St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,238 (-5%) | 22mo | $46,000 | $37 | 34 |
| 2916 Woodford St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (+13%) | 10mo | $25,000 | $17 | 33 |
| 4122 Fairfax Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,133 (-13%) | 13mo | $55,000 | $49 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $17,968
- Equity at exit
- $16,927
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $48,978
- Equity at exit
- $19,957
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71103
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $888 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $537/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2520 Merwin St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $700 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2551 Claiborne Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1202 | $945 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2222 Carleton St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $750 | $0.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2714 DuPont St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $565 | $0.58 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2134 Queens Hwy Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1374 | $1,475 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2531 Drexel St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $950 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1749 Caroline St Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $975 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $850 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1632 Malcolm St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,150 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3240 Jackson St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $700 | $0.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5218 Fairfax Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $825 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1954 State St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5306 Prentiss Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $975 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1353 Glen Oak Pl Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $850 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1353 Glen Oak Pl Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $800 | $0.72 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1430 Grigsby St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $775 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2644 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1340 Lincoln St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $850 | $0.76 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1340 Lincoln St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $950 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $725 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1719 Lakeshore Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $950 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1421 Clover St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $675 | $0.75 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3022 Lillian St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $695 | $0.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3628 Sumner St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2811 Samford Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $850 | $0.53 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3323 Darien St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $785 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3420 Darien St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $665 | $0.55 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3515 Stonewall St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $600 | $0.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2042 Laurel St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $800 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3802 Baltimore Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,025 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1416 Natalie St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3827 Baltimore Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3100 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1001 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3827 Maryland Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2025-12-27$60,000 Active 62-char remark
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
Part of 40 property rental package. Contact Agent for details!
-
2012-08-31soldstatus $737,000
-
1985-03-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $537 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $537 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,655
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$537
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,007
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$722
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- City population
- 164,123
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,142
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Hispanic 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.17%
- Current HPI
- 26.3904
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-91.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-27 Listed $60,000 NTREIS
- 2012-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $737,000 Public Records
- 1985-03-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $537 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…