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9516 NW 122nd Ter
D- Composite 39.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

9516 NW 122nd Ter · Oklahoma City, OK 73099
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,236 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2021 Good condition 6,011 sqft lot Est $204k · 5% over $18/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This thoughtfully upgraded 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a 2-car garage features an open-concept layout designed for daily living. The spacious living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining area, creating an inviting gathering space. The kitchen offers abundant cabinetry, a breakfast bar, and upgraded upper cabinetry extending above the refrigerator for additional storage and a custom look. The primary suite features a large bedroom, oversized walk-in closet, and spacious bathroom with an added vanity drawer upgrade for improved functionality. Two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, exercise room, or hobbies. What truly sets this home apart are the

Key facts

  • Abundant cabinetry
  • Granite countertops
  • Breakfast bar

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTABUNDANT CABINETRYGRANITE COUNTERTOPSBREAKFAST BARPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEOVERSIZED WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exempt; Occupied by owner; No storm shelter; Existing property
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA/VA, and VA financing; Loan qualification possible
  • HOA & community: Mandatory association with $210 monthly fee (includes common area maintenance)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Security: Security system; Smoke alarm; Garage door lift
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-level home; Property faces north; Model home
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof (replaced 2021); Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Rain gutters; Wood fencing; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range/oven; Breakfast bar and eating space; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (includes primary bedroom)
  • Flooring: Combination flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one with tub & shower)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Inside utility; Electric fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Inside utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-182/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (16.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Piedmont (rural): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 270 in OK (top 3%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Stone Ridge Es (math 49% / reading 41%, grade D-, #60 of 845 statewide, top 7%, 594 students, 0% FRL); Piedmont Ms (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #39 of 345 statewide, top 12%, 772 students, 0% FRL); Piedmont Hs (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #24 of 447 statewide, top 5%, 1,422 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1574 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,334 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.30%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,940
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12921 Florence Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+1%) 1mo $203,500 $163 81
12853 Torretta Way 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+1%) 1mo $211,600 $170 78
12829 Torretta Way 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+1%) 1mo $210,838 $169 78
12817 Torretta Way 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+1%) 1mo $212,000 $170 78
12824 Torretta Way 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+1%) 1mo $211,600 $170 76
12912 Florence Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+11%) 1mo $221,388 $161 64
12933 Florence Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+11%) 1mo $226,350 $165 64
12924 Florence Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+11%) 2mo $219,300 $160 64
12837 Torretta Way 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+11%) 1mo $217,988 $159 61
12849 Torretta Way 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+11%) 1mo $218,750 $159 61
12916 Florence Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+13%) 2mo $226,000 $161 60
12820 Torretta Way 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+11%) 2mo $226,850 $165 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-39,019
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-47,940
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73099

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
1574
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,793 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,362/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$18
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$-15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,813
Max offer price $212,322
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $107 -5% $46 +0% $-15 +5% $-76 +10% $-137
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-86 +0% $-15 +5% $56 +10% $127
Rate -1.0pp $93 -0.5pp $40 base $-15 +0.5pp $-71 +1.0pp $-128

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11709 Jude Way Yukon, OK 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,661 $1.14 25d 1 0.34mi
11628 Annette Dr Yukon, OK 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,555 $1.25 25d 1 0.36mi
11625 Krew Way Yukon, OK 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,595 $1.09 6d 1 0.38mi
11620 Krew Way Yukon, OK 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,725 $1.18 4d 1 0.40mi
12845 Torretta Way Yukon, OK 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,745 $1.20 13d 1 0.42mi
12845 Torretta Way Yukon, OK 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,745 $1.20 19d 1 0.42mi
12816 Torretta Way Yukon, OK 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,730 $1.19 6d 1 0.45mi
9109 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,845 $1.32 25d 1 0.65mi
9109 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,845 $1.32 23d 1 0.65mi
12008 Brinley Reign Dr Yukon, OK 3.0 2.0 1382 $1,850 $1.34 25d 1 0.66mi
9017 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,695 $1.41 25d 1 0.69mi
11505 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 21d 1 0.75mi
11608 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK 3.0 2.5 1259 $1,545 $1.23 16d 1 0.76mi
11608 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK 3.0 2.5 1259 $1,495 $1.19 12d 1 0.76mi
11606 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK 3.0 2.0 1215 $2,850 $2.35 25d 1 0.76mi
8922 NW 109th Ter Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,600 $1.13 25d 1 1.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$18 · $216/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $215,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,362 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,362 · $197/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,520
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,362
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,722
− Management
−$1,722
− HOA
−$216
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$3,874
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$930
After-tax cash flow
$748/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, upgraded home with a good condition score and cosmetic rehab level is ready for a new owner. It offers a spacious open-concept layout and modern updates, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Piedmont
NCES district ID
4023970
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$83,943
Composite
36.08/100
National rank
#4762
State rank
#9 of 270 in OK

Livability — Oklahoma City

Score
80/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1635

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oklahoma City, OK
County
Canadian County · 154,341 people
City population
498,656
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
91,014
Household income
$88,030
Rent vs Own
26.1% rent · 73.9% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,062 people
By 2030
195,170 · +12.1%
By 2040
239,293 · +37.5%
By 2050
285,457 · +64.0%
By 2075
403,766 · +132.0%
By 2100
498,766 · +186.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Canadian

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
+11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.04%
Current HPI
244.6836
Rent YoY
▲ 1.19%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $215,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+145.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,362 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…