🌊 Lakefront
91 Michigan Ln Unit M91 · Goodview, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,300
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, scenic views, community events, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Basketball court
- Scenic views
- Built 2026
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $29,300
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
- Home design: Condominium/Unit at 91 Michigan Ln Unit M91, Winona, MN; Spec home (plan 91594)
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1216
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (both full)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Active listing (spec/plan 91594)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $29k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#236 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Winona Area Public School District (town): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #244 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.0%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in Winona County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $203 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $879 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winona County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 48.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 150.94%
- DSCR
- 7.72
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.44×
- Total profit
- $69,260
- Equity at exit
- $4,369
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 23.26×
- Total profit
- $182,624
- Equity at exit
- $2,533
Cash invested: $8,204 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55987
- Rents YoY
- 18.0%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,563 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$154
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $440/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $1,032
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,052 | -5% $1,042 | +0% $1,032 | +5% $1,022 | +10% $1,012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $909 | -5% $970 | +0% $1,032 | +5% $1,094 | +10% $1,155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,047 | -0.5pp $1,039 | base $1,032 | +0.5pp $1,024 | +1.0pp $1,017 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,325
- Closing costs
- $879
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $29,300 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,300 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,300 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,300 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,300 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $29,300 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 402-char remark
-
2026-06-12$29,300 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,751
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,641
- − Property taxes
- −$440
- − Insurance
- −$146
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,500
- − Management
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$852
- Taxable income
- $12,671
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,041
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winona Area Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2744070
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,678
- Composite
- 31.15/100
- National rank
- #6058
- State rank
- #244 of 301 in MN
Livability — Goodview
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #5015
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Goodview, MN
- County
- Winona County · 34,072 people
- Metro
- Winona, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,072
- Household income
- $61,624
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1525.0
Population outlook (Winona County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,614 people
- By 2030
- 50,243 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 48,142 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 45,872 · -9.4%
- By 2075
- 42,416 · -16.2%
- By 2100
- 40,031 · -20.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winona
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.0pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: -4.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.9 2020: D+0.4 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+12.9 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -166.61%
- Current HPI
- 193.7509
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 17.99%
- Metro
- Winona, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…