8211 DENWOOD Dr #6 · Sterling Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming and well-maintained 1 bedroom 1 bathroom condo located in a lovely and quiet neighborhood. The bright living space faces a vast backyard with no neighbors, offering peace and privacy. The share basement includes convenient coin-operated laundry facilities, as well as a designated storage area for your belongings. You'll enjoy the serenity of the surroundings while still being close to shopping and dining. This condo is perfect for those looking for comfort and convenience in a great location. Will consider land contract.
Key facts
- Vast backyard
- Close to dining
- Quiet neighborhood
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.9% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Warren Consolidated Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #373 of 540 in MI (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Black Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,110 of 1,397 statewide, top 81%, 421 students, 73% FRL); Carleton Middle School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #383 of 493 statewide, top 78%, 659 students, 76% FRL); Cousino Senior High School (math 25% / reading 53%, grade F, #328 of 713 statewide, top 46%, 1,279 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 48% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $80k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.33%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,410
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -15.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8251 Denwood Dr Unit G1 | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+23%) | 3mo | $96,030 | $107 | 66 |
| 12042 15 Mile Rd | 1.31mi | 1/1.0 | 704 (-4%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $128 | 58 |
| 6027 Peck Ave | 1.02mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 746 (+2%) | 4mo | $104,000 | $139 | 53 |
| 35226 Tall Oaks Dr | 0.81mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+9%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $169 | 44 |
| 35274 Terrybrook Dr | 0.88mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+9%) | 2mo | $129,000 | $161 | 43 |
| 35122 Terrybrook Dr | 0.82mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+9%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $163 | 42 |
| 11720 15 Mile Rd Unit A9 | 1.19mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+23%) | 2mo | $129,000 | $143 | 33 |
| 11810 Ina Dr #70 | 1.14mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 900 (+23%) | 0mo | $124,000 | $138 | 33 |
| 11810 15 Mile Rd | 1.24mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+23%) | 3mo | $116,500 | $129 | 32 |
| 34821 Valleyview Dr. Dr Unit D7 | 1.12mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+23%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $156 | 32 |
| 35252 Terrybrook Dr | 0.88mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+15%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $173 | 32 |
| 11820 Seaton Dr #1 | 1.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+23%) | 5mo | $122,500 | $136 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $24,447
- Equity at exit
- $35,971
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $66,700
- Equity at exit
- $55,436
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 48312 5947
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,260 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$212
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $258 | +0% $230 | +5% $203 | +10% $175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $131 | -5% $180 | +0% $230 | +5% $280 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $270 | -0.5pp $251 | base $230 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34792 Oceanview Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 756 | $1,275 | $1.69 | 7d | 6 | 0.56mi |
| 34911 Van Dyke Ave Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 93d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 11221 14 Mile Rd Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,149 | $1.40 | 7d | 6 | 0.65mi |
| 8484 Brougham Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,595 | $1.86 | 7d | 37 | 1.00mi |
| 5800 Streefkerk Dr Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $883 | $1.58 | 16d | 3 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail $212/mo · $2,544/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $80,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $80,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $80,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $80,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $80,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $80,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $80,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-23$80,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $80,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $80,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $80,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-18pricedays on market $80,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $85,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $85,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $85,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $85,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $85,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $85,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $85,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $85,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $85,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $85,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $85,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $85,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $85,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $85,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $85,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $87,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,500 Active 68 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,115
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,209
- − Management
- −$1,209
- − HOA
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,744
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$418
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 1-bedroom condo is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Modern fans improve air circulation and reduce energy costs ↑
- Both Replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and reduces allergens ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635190
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,259
- Composite
- 25.09/100
- National rank
- #7533
- State rank
- #373 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sterling Heights
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #4545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sterling Heights, MI
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+119.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $87,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $87,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Listed $92,980 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Listed $92,980 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-23 Listed $93,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $93,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-22 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-10-18 Price Changed $84,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $84,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-09-06 Listed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-06 Listed $92,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-09-02 Sold (MLS) $39,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-07-24 Listed $39,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-07-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-01-19 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…