3226 Lyndale Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$159,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT OPPORTUNITY! Great investment property. Rented and tentant would like to stay and write long term lease. QUALIFIED SECTION 8 HOUSING; PARKING PAD IN REAR; GREAT FOR INVESTOR OR COULD USE FOR ONE FAMILY!
Key facts
- Built 1923
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area recorded by assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $197 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-909 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 113% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $160k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.24%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,940
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3236 Lyndale Ave | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+6%) | 2mo | $161,855 | $150 | 88 |
| 3217 Ravenwood Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (+2%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $120 | 88 |
| 3307 Elmora Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (-12%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $173 | 74 |
| 3427 Ravenwood Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (-12%) | 0mo | $120,900 | $135 | 72 |
| 3238 Ravenwood Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,158 (+14%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $60 | 71 |
| 3315 Lyndale Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 896 (-12%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $162 | 69 |
| 3338 Elmora Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-12%) | 2mo | $149,500 | $167 | 69 |
| 3802 Lyndale Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,050 (+3%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 3131 Chesterfield Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,068 (+5%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 3805 Elmora Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (+8%) | 1mo | $11,700 | $11 | 51 |
| 3316 Cardenas Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+13%) | 2mo | $63,000 | $55 | 50 |
| 3332 Brendan Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 870 (-15%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $147 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $12,378
- Equity at exit
- $41,953
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $66,772
- Equity at exit
- $46,972
Cash invested: $44,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21213
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,748 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,988
- Closing costs
- $4,798
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3213 Elmley Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,395 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 3218 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3222 Lyndale Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 12d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3221 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3315 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $1,650 | $1.84 | 17d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3317 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2113 Belair Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,795 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3326 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3335 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3322 Ravenwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,800 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3339 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,600 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3343 Ravenwood Ave Unit 3343 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $1,855 | $1.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3512 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1472 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3610 Elmley Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2828 Lake Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3436 Cardenas Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,395 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3902 Erdman Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3914 Erdman Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,319 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3646 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,475 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2311 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3515 Parklawn Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2410 E Federal St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2837 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,675 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2817 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2848 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1323 N Kenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3028 Kenyon Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,395 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1310 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 12d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1310 N Ellwood Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2626 E Preston St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,800 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3544 Chesterfield Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,635 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1832 E 28th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,495 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3305 Dudley Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1215 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,795 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1802 E 28th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2430 E Biddle St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1814 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3566 Dudley Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1627 Rutland Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,350 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1627 Rutland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-02status $159,950 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,950 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,950 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-26historical $159,950
-
2023-06-28soldstatus $60,000
-
2022-07-18historical
-
2022-07-02$75,000 Active
-
2007-04-09soldstatus $103,000
-
2007-02-16soldstatus $103,000 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY! Great investment property. Rented and tentant would like to stay and write long term lease. QUALIFIED SECTION 8 HOUSING; PARKING PAD IN REAR; GREAT FOR INVESTOR OR COULD USE FOR ONE FAMILY!
-
2007-01-22historical 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY! Great investment property. Rented and tentant would like to stay and write long term lease. QUALIFIED SECTION 8 HOUSING; PARKING PAD IN REAR; GREAT FOR INVESTOR OR COULD USE FOR ONE FAMILY!
-
2006-04-09$107,575 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY! Great investment property. Rented and tentant would like to stay and write long term lease. QUALIFIED SECTION 8 HOUSING; PARKING PAD IN REAR; GREAT FOR INVESTOR OR COULD USE FOR ONE FAMILY!
-
1993-10-07soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,464 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,464 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,975
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,960
- − Property taxes
- −$2,464
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,678
- − Management
- −$1,678
- − Depreciation
- −$4,653
- Taxable income
- $743
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$178
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,063/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,058
- Household income
- $51,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 427.4453
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+699.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Coming Soon $159,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-02 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-16 Sold (MLS) $103,000 MRIS
- 2007-01-22 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-04-09 Listed $107,575 MRIS
- 1993-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,464 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…