1302 5th St · Statesville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious Single Family Home. Large Kitchen. Living Room, Separate Dining Room. One Car Garage and Storage Room. Three Bedroom, One Bath. New Roof in 2019. House Needs Heat Source. Some Fixing-up and Renovation Needed.
Key facts
- Immediate cash flow
- Long-term upside
- 6,969 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R5MFM
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One story
- Construction: Shingle/Shake and vinyl exterior materials; Crawl space foundation; Built on-site
- Exterior features: Concrete, gravel, and paved road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace; 1 total room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Crawl space foundation access (utility/storage)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.5% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
- Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 471 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $155k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.81%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,656
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1316 4th St | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,244 (+10%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $181 | 73 |
| 926 Winston Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (-2%) | 6mo | $219,500 | $196 | 68 |
| 1114 5th St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,257 (+11%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $111 | 68 |
| 504 Fayetteville Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-8%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $214 | 67 |
| 1701 5th St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,082 (-5%) | 5mo | $218,000 | $201 | 67 |
| 914 Wilmington Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (+9%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $177 | 65 |
| 1121 Wilmington Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,106 (-3%) | 6mo | $226,500 | $205 | 64 |
| 405 Winston Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,234 (+9%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $194 | 63 |
| 1021 4th St | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,266 (+11%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $190 | 62 |
| 933 Wallace St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (+7%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $70 | 59 |
| 620 W Bell St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+6%) | 6mo | $238,000 | $197 | 46 |
| 626 W Bell St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+6%) | 7mo | $238,000 | $197 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,870
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,761
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28677
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 471
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,675 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $663/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017 Caldwell St Statesville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 321 Vernon Ln Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 333 Vernon Ln Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 620 W Bell St Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,850 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 708 W Front St Statesville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $985 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 804 Jost St Unit 70 Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1446 | $1,923 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 626 Walnut St Unit D Statesville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1090 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 627 Cherry St Unit F Statesville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 548 Greenway Dr Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 548 Greenway Dr Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 10d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-03-27$155,000 Active
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2022-07-06soldstatus $61,000
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2022-07-05soldstatus $61,000 Closed 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Spacious Single Family Home. Large Kitchen. Living Room, Separate Dining Room. One Car Garage and Storage Room. Three Bedroom, One Bath. New Roof in 2019. House Needs Heat Source. Some Fixing-up and Renovation Needed.
-
2022-05-29historical Active Under Contract 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Spacious Single Family Home. Large Kitchen. Living Room, Separate Dining Room. One Car Garage and Storage Room. Three Bedroom, One Bath. New Roof in 2019. House Needs Heat Source. Some Fixing-up and Renovation Needed.
-
2022-05-23price $65,000 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Spacious Single Family Home. Large Kitchen. Living Room, Separate Dining Room. One Car Garage and Storage Room. Three Bedroom, One Bath. New Roof in 2019. House Needs Heat Source. Some Fixing-up and Renovation Needed.
-
2022-05-20status Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Spacious Single Family Home. Large Kitchen. Living Room, Separate Dining Room. One Car Garage and Storage Room. Three Bedroom, One Bath. New Roof in 2019. House Needs Heat Source. Some Fixing-up and Renovation Needed.
-
2022-04-30historical Active Under Contract 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Spacious Single Family Home. Large Kitchen. Living Room, Separate Dining Room. One Car Garage and Storage Room. Three Bedroom, One Bath. New Roof in 2019. House Needs Heat Source. Some Fixing-up and Renovation Needed.
-
2022-04-22$67,500 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Spacious Single Family Home. Large Kitchen. Living Room, Separate Dining Room. One Car Garage and Storage Room. Three Bedroom, One Bath. New Roof in 2019. House Needs Heat Source. Some Fixing-up and Renovation Needed.
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2018-06-29soldstatus $195,000
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2016-05-27soldstatus $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $663 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,271 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$608/yr (+$51/mo · 91.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,105
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$663
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,608
- − Management
- −$1,608
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $2,259
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$542
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iredell-Statesville Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702310
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,201
- Composite
- 44.98/100
- National rank
- #2703
- State rank
- #51 of 178 in NC
Livability — Statesville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #557
- US rank
- #20505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Statesville, NC
- County
- Iredell County · 182,638 people
- City population
- 78,393
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,819
- Household income
- $62,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1174.0
Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,510 people
- By 2030
- 206,171 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 227,781 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 245,102 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 280,896 · +44.4%
- By 2100
- 294,375 · +51.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Iredell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.76%
- Current HPI
- 243.0445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+19.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $155,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-05 Sold (MLS) $61,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-29 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-23 Price Changed $65,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-20 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-30 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-22 Listed $67,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2016-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $663 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…